Friday 31 August 2012

NRL Round 26 Cronulla Sharks v North Queensland Cowboys Preview

The "match-of-the-day" is at Shark Park as a battered and bruised Cronulla side return home after losing to the Melbourne Storm in the last 30 seconds on their MNF clash. It was definitely a tough loss for them to have at this point of the season but Sharks fans need not worry too much about that loss. If anything, it was a positive performacne as they were making mistakes during the game but were able to stick with the Storm. More importantly, they were able to dominate them in the forwards and the Sharks showed that they will be playing to this strength for the remainder of the season. It is very fitting then that the "match-of-the-day" is a battle between two sides that are certain to play finals football the following week. The Cowboys are starting to look like a very dangerous team and just have to hope that their away record can reverse and they can find how to win in Sydney. They will know their fate come this game as to where they are able to finish on the table. If either the Sea Eagles or Rabbitohs lose, they could sneak into the top 4 and whilst losing a home semi final, they would grab a "second chance" if they were to lose in Week 1. If both of those sides win however, we could be faced with a "non event" as the Cowboys may opt to rest a few players in order to freshen them up the following week. The Sharks are in a similar position yet are unable to finish any higher than where they currently are now (6th) but a loss here and a win to the Raiders would demote them to 7th and then they would lose a home field advantage in Week 1 of the Finals. It would be unlikely that the Sharks would rest any players here, they are just getting their squad back to full fitness and working back towards the early season form that saw them riding high in the competition. The uncertainty around the final make up of the squads will not withdraw from the spectical that this clash is. This game will be a great preview for the finals and will be played with an intensity that the top side continually reach for to get over their opponents. The winners of all this are the fans and maybe if we take a deeper look into this contest, we can unearth a winner to make this game even more enjoyable.

Cronulla Sharks
The Sharks had a few late withdrawals in their clash over the Storm but they are definitely going to take the field in this clash. As far as the two sides that were named from last week to this one, there is no change. However the final team that took the field for MNF was minus Matthew Wright at fullback and Anthony Tupou in the second row for the second straight week. There is also some news floating around that either Wade Graham or Nathan Gardener, or even both, will make a return from injury to the side. The Sharks have also named an extended bench of five and you would think that Tyson Frizell would be the player that misses out. But coach Shane Flanaghan must be uncertain over this decision as Frizell's form this season since coming into the side has been great. He has carried the ball forward with great momentum and has proved extremely hard to stop. It is mentioned above, the strength within this side is definately their forwards. They are a hard pack to stop at the best of times and create a lot of room for Todd Carney and Jeff Robson to build off and get the ball to the outside backs. The backs are a weakness in defence for the Sharks and teams will look to exploite this at all costs, often catching them out wide or pressuring them from kick returns. Cutting out the mistakes that they made on MNF would go a long way to improving this Sharks side.


North Queensland Cowboys

The Cowboys turned in a great performance against the Knights at home as there were times in the game where the Knights looked as though they were going to be able to produce something special and beat the Cowboys. But the real class prevailed in the end and Thurston and Bowen lead the side around the park very well. They were also assisted by the Cowboys monster forward pack that was able to continually break past the advantage line and gain a quick play the ball. Of course this is when the Cowboys are at their best, in a very fast paced game. You would think that there is no need to change a winning formula but coach Neil Henry has made a few tweaks. Michael Morgan is recalled after being a late withdrawal and his replacement for that game, Anthony Mitchell has moved back to the bench. Ricky Thorby is out of the clash altogether as he was for the Knights game and his replacement there, Jason Taumalolo is named on the bench. Those are the only two changes to the side but Henry has added Blake Leary and James Segeyaro to an extended bench of 7 to obviously suggest that depending on other results, the Cowboys could be resting a few players come kick off. It will be interesting to see what does happen because a move like that can often mean a sudden loss of momentum to a side.

Recent History
Overall = Sharks 20 - Cowboys 9
Last 5 games = Sharks 2 - Cowboys 3
At Toyota Stadium = Sharks 10 - Cowboys 2


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Sharks $1.52 Cowboys $2.60
Centrebet = Sharks $1.52 Cowboys $2.60
Sportsbet = Sharks $1.52 Cowboys $2.60
Betfair = Sharks $1.50 Cowboys $2.70
Sportingbet = Sharks $1.52 Cowboys $2.60


Verdict

Judging by the prices listed above, the bookies know that the Cowboys are going to rest a few players. They are always well in the know because at the end of the day they will lose money otherwise. So will the Sharks rest any players as well? They are still a good price if the Cowboys will be weaker so get on while you can. The Sharks would want to finish 6th as well to get that home final. Expect a bold showing from the Cowboys though and they will make the Sharks work for this win. Sharks to get a good win and build more momentum heading into Week 1 of the Finals.


Suggested Bet

Sharks @ $1.52

Smaller Margin = Sharks 1-12 @ $3.10 - The Sharks do not generally win games by scoring a lot of points. Their games are built around scoring a few points and allowing their tough defence to get them over the line. I expect this game to be no different.

Be specific on a margin = Sharks 7-12 @ $5.50 - Obviously you are biting a little more off here but there is plenty of value to be won in doing so. If you are going to follow the 1-12 bet then also consider this. Note that 1-6 is @ $6.


Good luck!

Scooby

NRL Round 26 NZ Warriors v Canberra Raiders Preview

The last day of Super Sunday kicks off across the ditch in NZ as the woeful Warriors are at home trying to salvage any pride that they can before the seasons end. They are hosting a Raiders side that has come from nowhere to rocket into the Top 8 and be a contender to still be alive in Week 1 of the Finals. If the season had gone to plan as everyone had predicted, the roles would be a little different to what we are seeing here and it would be the Warriors with their attention on the finals. Things have not gone according to plan and the Warriors have had a season to forget as their coach has been sacked and their players appear to be putting in minimal effort in their performances. Their crowds are down and they are struggling to gain any interest as they are almost becoming a laughing stock of the NRL. They were tipped to be real contenders after being runners up last season to Manly. They even still have a very talented roster so there is really no excuse to their current predicament. They could take something away from the Raiders because it was only a few weeks ago that they appeared to be dead and burried, but they have clawed their way back to be contenders. At the end of the day, you just have to be in the Top 8 to be a contender and thats exactly what the Raiders will be doing. They will know going exactly what they have to do. If they Tigers are winners on Saturday night, they will need a win to get in ahead of them and their result will also be impacted by the Broncos on Friday night. If they want to take the easier option, they can just win this game and then there will be no troubles in the world and they can focus on the finals. Based on the Warriors recent performances, they will not have too much do to get a win. As punters, we should aim to go out on Sunday with a bang and try to get a few bets up.


NZ Warriors

Stand in coach Tony Iro has wielded the axe on a few under performing stars this week in their last game and perhaps the last time he is in charge of this side. Konrad Hurrell returns in the centres to takes Lewis Brown's (and his accustomed) position back as Brown is dropped back to the bench. It is interesting to note that he is departing the club at the end of the season to link up with former coach Ivan Cleary at the Panthers. Another departing player, James Maloney has been dropped to the bench and his place at 5/8 is taken by Feleti Mateo who moves from second row. No doubt there is some angst at the club over Maloney's departure to the Roosters in 2013 as he signed this deal a year out from the end of this current contract. Mateo's spot in the second row is taken by Simon Mannering who makes a return from injury. Halfback Shaun Johnson is also out of this game but he is probably out due to injury after suffering a sickening head knock in the Dragons game. Pita Godinet is the new half after moving from hooker. Alehana Mara promoted from the interchange to hooker to cover for Godinet's move. The final change to this side is the recall of Ben Matulino into the starting side at prop and the demotion of Russell Packer back to the bench. Iro has named a bench of 7 so there will be a few players to drop off prior to kick off. Maybe the Warriors should aim to lift their performance to reward those few fans who will turn up to this game to cheer them on. Please also note that a great clubman, Michael Luck, is playing his final NRL and retiring at the end of the season. If they do not win for the few fans that will turn up to watch this game, they should win for him.

Canberra Raiders
The Raiders are flying high at the moment and have found some form of consistency within their lineup. This is no doubt a different side to the one that we saw for the middle part of this season. There is no need for coach David Furner to make changes to his lineup for this game after a very dominating performance against the Bulldogs last Friday. This is a very young and talented roster that is starting to believe in their potential. But they will be tested here. Yes it is only the Warriors but it is a must win game that will have the pressure on them. Their young halves are starting to come into their own and their outside backs have speed to burn and can definitely finish a good move when needed. A bonus is they can also get on the end of an attacking kick and score a try. This form of successful play is only created though off the back of dominating forward play. They have some serious size up front that isn't afraid of a battle. If they are on, they can easily dominate an opposition back but they also have to remember that their job also crosses over into defence. At times that can switch off and Furner has to ensure that his bench do not drop the intensity when they come onto the field.


Recent History

Overall = Warriors 12 - Raiders 15
Last 5 games = Warriors 2 - Raiders 3
At Mt Smart Stadium = Warriors 9 - Raiders 5


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Warriors $2.50 Raiders $1.55
Centrebet = Warriors $2.47 Raiders $1.57
Sportsbet = Warriors $2.50 Raiders $1.55
Betfair = Warriors $2.60 Raiders $1.58


Verdict

The Raiders will know what lies ahead of them before they take the field. If they are going to play on into the finals, they need to win this game with a dominating display. If they don't they risk their position into next week. Even though the Raiders beat the Bulldogs in impressive fashion last week, I am still not sold on their squad. Then again, they are only facing the Warriors here. Who knows, maybe the coaching shake up and a host of changes to their squad will yield a better performance. But for the sake of placing a bet, you cannot go past the Raiders in this game, based only on how poor the Warriors have been. I do expect this contest to be a close one.


Suggested Bet

Raiders @ $1.58 (with Betfair)

Close call = Raider 1-12 @ $3.10 - If the Raiders do win this game, they will want to win it by 13+, but the Warriors may have other ideas. Maybe an improved performance is on the cards and it may be closer than people think.

Ferguson Success = Blake Ferguson First Try @ $13 - The reason for this bet is his opponent, Ben Henry. He is a second rower playing out in the centres and he has been caught out a few times this year. Expect Ferguson to make it no easier for him.


Good luck!

Scooby

NRL Round 26 Wests Tigers v Melbourne Storm Preview

All attention will turn to Super Saturday this week as the Tigers fight to keep their season alive against the Storm. At the end of this game, the fate of a lot of teams will be known. The Tigers have a mountain to climb as well, even before they begin to think about finals football. It has been a disappointing season to date, despite their horrific injury toll. They have generally had a side that should be in a better position than what they are. They are desperately searching for answers now and cannot afford to switch off for a minute in this game. There has been a lot of questions asked this week of coach Tim Sheens and even his time at the club does appear to be numbered. The equation is simple, win and the pressure is placed on the Raiders to beat the Warriors for a finals spot. However, they also have a poor points difference to worry about. Small steps, get the win and then go from there. Down in Melbourne they are going into this clash on the back of a MNF performance that saw them beat the Sharks in the last minutes. It was a good win to get especially when they played poor football (by their standards) for most of the game. They will have some motivation as there is still a possibility they can steal the Minor Premiership away from the Bulldogs if they were to faulter against the Roosters and the Storm were to win this game. Either way, they are assured a top 2 finish and a home semi final in Week 1 of the Finals. This may lead the Storm to rest a few players that have been doing it tough in recent weeks, none more so than Billy Slater who is appear to cop a knock early in MNF. There is a lot to be answered in this game and interest will be high from all fans of rugby league.


Wests Tigers

The Tigers have again decided to reshuffle their lineup in the hope that it will allow them to get a good combination that allows them to get a win. This week they have not been helped by the injuries that have come at the wrong part of the season for them. There is a reshuffle of players in the backline as Tim Moltzen moves from 5/8, Beau Ryan from fullback to centre and Chris Lawrence from centre to 5/8. It is an interesting move as the Benji-Moltzen halves experiment only lasted 1 week, after working together a few times before. Then again, the halves has been a problem for the Tigers for some time now and Benji Marshall is obviously struggling with playing halfback and needs to go back to 5/8, there is just no one else to fill the 7 jersey (or so it appears). Liam Fulton has suffered an injury and has been ruled out of the side this week. He was already playing hooker in place of Farrah and his place in the side is taken by Masada Iosefa who comes off the bench. Don't be worried about his ability, this bloke can certainly play. The only other change to the side is the promotion of Tom Humble from NSW Cup to fill the vacant spot on the bench. They still have a very capable forward pack but need to prove themselves this week. Perhaps playing at Leichhardt Oval can give them the lift that they need.


Melbourne Storm

It is mentioned above that the Storm may rest a few players in this clash. They are guaranteed to host a home final and can not finish any lower than 2nd, so perhaps this is the best opportunity for them to give their players one more freshen up before the finals. It would make sense, especially after they are going into this game on the back of a very tough MNF game and have a very short turn around. As it is though, the Storm have named a lineup. This has come to be expected as teams participating in MNF generally name the same side as their is minimal time to make a full assessment on injuries before teams are to be submitted on Tuesday afternoon. What coach Craig Bellamy will do though is anyones guess. If they did rest players, they could risk losing some momentum. However with the class of player within their side, you think that this occasion would be highly unlikely.

Recent History
Overall = Tigers 8 - Storm 13
Last 5 games = Tigers 3 - Storm 2
At Leichhardt Oval = Tigers 6 - Storm 2


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Tigers $2.25 Storm $1.65
Centrebet = Tigers $2.20 Storm $1.70
Sportsbet = Tigers $2.20 Storm $1.70
Betfair = Tigers $2.38 Storm $1.70


Verdict

This game takes on two betting suggestions. If the Storms stars play, the Tigers will lose. If they are rested and left out of the side, then I consider the Tigers to be a big chance of winning. Either way, this game will be a close contest. The one question mark hanging over the Storm is their pack and the Tigers certainly have a decent pack of forwards. This will be a good game to watch and everything is on the line now for the Tigers. 


Suggested Bet

"Big 3" IN - Storm @ $1.70 or Storm 1-12 @ $3.10

"Big 3" OUT - Tigers @ $2.38 (with Betfair) or Tigers 1-12 @ $3.75

Cover all your bases = Either side Under 6.5 points @ $2.90 - It will be a close contest and could even come down to the last kick of the football. If the game plays out this way, this bet could definitely collect for punters.

Good luck!
Scooby

Thursday 30 August 2012

NRL Round 26 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs v Sydney Roosters Preview

The Bulldogs are about to be crowned Minor Premiers for season 2012 but first they must get through this tricky encounter against the Roosters. Last week saw their first loss in 13 matches and it was at the hands of the Raiders in the nations capital. The most disappointing aspect of the loss though was the fashion in which it occurred. They were diabolical at times and some players would have been left looking for some very deep holes in the ground following their performances. They were outplayed and outclassed by a side that would've been left in their shadow if it was their best day. Problem was though, it wasn't. A lot of people have also been very forgiving of that performance and suggested that it was "the loss that they had to have". A loss is never something you want, but it could be a positive that they got such a poor performance out of their system now, rather than in a game which means far more. The Roosters also produced a "shocking" performance (of the good kind) by ambushing the Tigers on a milestone day for their club. It was Anthony Minichiello's 250th game for the club and captain Braith Anasta's last home game before switching to the Tigers. So the motivation was high for them in that game and you cannot be sure of what it will be in this game. They are only playing for pride and there will be a collective sigh of relief when the fulltime whistle goes in this game as it concludes a very disappointing year for the club. There is still a lot of speculation about the future of Brian Smith as well and it isn't good to see a change room full of unhappy, young players. It would be some feat if they could beat the Bulldogs here and if they are, they'll require a far better effort from last week. The Bulldogs are assured a home semi final but their motivation will lie within the opportunity to lift the Minor Premiership shield in front of their loyal home fans. No doubt coach Des Hasler will have his comments ready to ensure that the Bulldogs do not get caught up in their own hype.


Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

It is a confidence builder within this side to have players named again after a disappointing performance. It sends a message that their coach has faith in them but no doubt some players needed to be told that another performance like that would not be tolerated. As hooker Michael Ennis was rested in that clash, he is immediately slotted straight back into this weeks side at hooker and replacement Joel Romelo is dropped from the side altogether. That is the only change but their is an extended bench of 5 named and it appears as though Martin Taupau will be the player that misses out again. Then again, you can never be sure with Hasler's approach. They will obviously be looking to put that performance behind them as quick as possible as it was definitely out of character for them. They need to go back to their impressive forward play that has them promoting the ball to the halves with a lot of room to move.

Sydney Roosters
The Roosters were very happy with their performance on the weekend and no doubt a lot of Roosters fans walked away from that game pleased, but also frustrated. They have every right to be and it is puzzling as to why it has taken so long for them to produce a performance like this one. As a reward for their performance, Brian Smith has named an unchanged lineup for their last game of the season. Amazingly though, Smith has been reluctant to change their forward pack this year and continued to press on with a very young, but imposing forward pack. As the season has gone on though, they have certainly learnt what it takes to be a winner each week of the NRL. It has been a disappointing season for them but a win would go a long way to motivating them for 2013.

Recent History
Overall = Bulldogs 76 - Draw 5  - Roosters 78
Last 5 games = Bulldogs 3 - Roosters 2
At ANZ Stadium = Bulldogs 9 - Roosters 2


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Bulldogs $1.18 Roosters $5.00
Centrebet = Bulldogs $1.16 Roosters $5.50
Sportsbet = Bulldogs $1.18 Roosters $5.10
Betfair = Bulldogs $1.21 Roosters $5.00


Verdict

The Bulldogs are one of the sides to beat in the semi finals and for good reason. Forget their last game against the Raiders, a loss like that can refocus the side now on bigger and better things. They will want to get through this match with relative ease and gain back some of the scintillating momentum that has seem them attack without fear. The Roosters are just hanging out for the end of the season and the last thing that the Bulldogs want here is a tough game. It will be a good test of their forwards early on though. Regardless, the Bulldogs should win by a comfortable margin here.


Suggested Bet

Bulldogs 13+ @ $1.65

Large line = Bulldogs -16.5 @ $2.10 - The Bulldogs are giving a lot of points away here and punters have taken the Roosters with the start here. They are probably expecting to see an improved performance by their side but they only beat the Tigers remember. You will soon be reminded what a class side the Bulldogs are.

Bounce back from hell = Jonathan Wright @ $13 - This bloke had an absolute shocker last week against the Raiders and nothing will boost his confidence more than landing the first try in this game. He isn't one of my favorite players to pick but you can imagine how Des would've broken into his psyche. 


Good luck!

Scooby

NRL Round 26 Gold Coast Titans v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Preview

The Titans watched their season slip away in disappointing fashion with a loss to the Panthers. They were out classed and out played by a side that is still sitting down second last at the table. The odds were against them already but they were still a chance to make a good run for the finals. With a star studded roster at their hand, their season can only be described as a disappointment. They should be in the position that the Sea Eagles are now in heading into the final game. Manly are in the top 4 and are now pushing to cement a spot in the semi finals that can yield them a "second chance" if needed. Along with the Bulldogs, they are the side to beat at this point in the season. They have a fantastic roster that is full of representative players who are hungry to be the first side since the early 90's to go "back-to-back". All players and teams that have been asked the question over recent weeks have said that they are a side that should be feared. Motivation will be very low for the Titans but the implications for Manly are very important. Part of their fate will be known by the result of the Rabbitohs/Knights game on Friday night. The highest that the Sea Eagles can finish is 3rd but a loss could mean they finish back in 5th. No players should be rested and even fans of the Bulldogs and Storm will be watching this game with great interest. Punters should be intrigued though, for the last Super Saturday of the year they should want to head out on a high.


Gold Coast Titans

Some of the Titans players have finally succumbed to injury and have been left out of this clash. Perhaps it is because there is nothing left to play for in this clash other than pride. Disappointing to date, that is all that is left as the Titans press towards 2013 and hopefully a better season than 2012. There is no point in coach John Cartwright dropping players for the last round in order to change their attitude or on the basis of their performance. Nate Myles has been named in the front row but he very likely to miss this clash as there is news around that he is suffering a number of injuries. As there is an extended bench of 5 named, perhaps his replacement will come from there. Hooker Matt Srama is also out of this clash with injury and his place in the side is taken by Beau Fallon who has been playing well from the bench since his Titans debut against the Raiders. Ashley Harrison is the third player that is out of this clash with injury and Ben Ridge is moved from the second row to lock and Mark Minichiello moves from the bench into the starting side to cover Ridge's move. As two players are promoted from the bench, the new faces on the interchange are Ryan James and Dominique Peyroux. The Titans have nothing to lose here so perhaps they will play with a little more freedom and throw the ball around with a careless nature to get a win and really enjoy themselves.

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Unlike the Titans, the Sea Ealges have a lot to play for. In saying that though, they cannot finish higher than 3rd and no lower than 5th. They will also have a very good idea of what is required of them to steal 3rd away from the Rabbitohs as they play on Friday night and this game is on Saturday. There are a few players that are definitely feeling the effects of a long season and a their representative duties so a rest in this game would definitely help them recover a little more in time for the semi finals next week. There is also the issue of which team they will play in the first week depending on certain results could also impact their performance in this game. It doesn't appear as though the Sea Eagles would be too worried about their opponents as they are one of the sides to beat at the moment. There are no changes to the side this week that got a good win against the Broncos on Friday night at Brookvale Oval. The one worrying thing though in their recent performances was their inability to score points in the second half. Obviously they haven't been in a position where they have needed to but it will be interesting to see how they react when they are pushed. You can see them rising to the task based alone on the talent within their squad.


Recent History

Overall = Titans 4 - Sea Eagles 5
Last 5 games = Titans 3 - Sea Eagles 2
At Skilled Park = Titans 2 - Sea Eagles 2


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Titans $5.00 Sea Eagles $1.18
Centrebet = Titans $4.50 Sea Eagles $1.22
Sportsbet = Titans $4.50 Sea Eagles $1.22
Betfair = Titans $5.00 Sea Eagles $1.24


Verdict

It appears as though the Sea Eagles will be able to hand this game with relative ease given the distance between both sides on the table and the motivation beyond this week. The Sea Eagles will also want to avoid a situation where they can possibly drop out of the top 4 and have to play "sudden death" football. They have the class across the park and banking on last weeks performance, the Titans should pose too much of a threat. Strange things do happen in the last round of the competition and with nothing to play for, the Titans will certainly have a lot of confidence about their play. Despite all this, Manly are a classier outfit and one of the genuine threats for the title. Their true side will prevail.


Suggested bet

Sea Eagles -11.5 @ $1.75

Go for more = Sea Eagles 13+ @ $1.85 - There isn't too much value from the suggested bet but it is value nonetheless. The Sea Eagles should get a good lead against the Titans and cruise to a victory. An easier game is what is wanted with the semi finals next week.

Lion hearted = Jamie Lyon First and/or Last try scorer @ $11 - This guy is playing some fantastic football of late and when given the ball in room, he can create anything. The right side attack for Manly is also very strong so if this guy doesn't score, expect him to create something for Whare ($11).


Good luck!

Scooby

Wednesday 29 August 2012

NRL Round 26 Brisbane Broncos v Penrith Panthers Preview

Whilst the NSW viewers will have the pleasure of watching the Rabbutohs-Knights clash on TV, a lot of fans from other clubs not involved in this game will be frantically updating the score from this clash. There is a lot riding on this game and the result could very well inspire other teams on the weekend to winning performances. The Broncos have been on a slide for a long time now and it has seen them plumet down the NRL Power Rankings.  More worrying for Broncos fans at this point of the season is that what exactly is wrong at the club isn't clear at all. Coach Anthony Griffin has been saying in the last two losses at the hands of the Storm and Sea Eagles, that there has been a lot off effort in his sides performances. Effort is great but they are not getting the win. They are one side that is definitely lacking a "killer blow". In years gone by, Lockyer was the player that filled that void but it is time for a new "star" to stand up. They have a great forward pack that is well lead by Sam Thaiday and they are getting over the advantage line with each carry they have. Perhaps their halves are not doing the job required of them. If they are not careful, the Panthers could spring a surprise on them and ruin their title aspirations. The Panthers have been out of contention for some time now and have been building towards 2013 and beyond. Things are seemingly tracking along nicely and it is promising for Panthers fans to see their side so committed when there is little to play for. They have officially avoided the spoon and definitely didn't deserve it, let's just see if they can keep their motivation for one more week. It will certainly make Penrith a happier place to train during the preseason if they did. This game is very crucial for a number of reasons and no doubt there is a lot of money that can be won as well.

Brisbane Broncos
The Broncos are desperate for answers now and there has been a lot of moves within their side to perhaps light a spark that will set get them on a good run towards the finals. Josh Hoffman has been shifted from the wing back to fullback whilst Corey Norman has vacated the fullback position to move back to 5/8. Ben Hunt, the player that has been the 5/8 in recent weeks has gone back to the bench. The vacant wing spot is taken by Dale Copely who makes a return from injury. Unfortunately for the Broncos, it was an experiment that didn't work for them. Alex Glenn made a good return from injury against the Sea Eagles and he is back into the starting side this week in the second row. Ben Te'o has dropped back to the bench and he will definitely add a lot of impact when he comes onto the field. Luke Capewell, Mitchell Dodds and Dunamis Lui are the players that are dropped from the extended bench altogether. So where will the spark come from now for the Broncos? They just need to ensure that they use the space created by the forwards to give their exciting backs room to move.

Penrith Panthers
The Panthers will be relieved when the fulltime siren goes at the conclusion of this game, hopefully though, they will also be excited for 2013. Coach Michael Cleary is definitely sending a message to his players that their performance and off field behaviour will be the deciding factors in their performance here. A unchanged 17 has been named and there is just a minor change to the 18th man this week as Travis Robinson is replace by Ryan Simpkins. Consistency is definitely a key for the Panthers and with Lachlan Coote developing his new role at 5/8 with every performance, it is slowly being worked into their game. They have to work hard now to maintain a consistent performance. Forwards are also the key here. They are a big pack and they will definitely have their work cut out for them here. Their minds may be elsewhere after avoiding the spoon, although with the reputation of Cleary, you would think that this would not be the case.

Recent History
Overall = Broncos 28 - Draw 1 - Panthers 15
Last 5 games = Broncos 3 - Panthers 2
At Suncorp Stadium = Broncos 8 - Panthers 5

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Broncos $1.22 Panthers $4.50
Centrebet = Broncos $1.23 Panthers $4.35
Sportsbet = Broncos $1.20 Panthers $4.70
Betfair = Broncos $1.24 Panthers $5.00

Verdict
The Broncos have everything to play for against a side that has very little. They are also faced with the possibility that this will be Petero Civoniceva's last home game for the club. It is all in front of them. The Panthers have turned in some very good performances recently and it is a credit to how far they have come. Yes it has been a disappointing season to date but they have a few positives to take away. The Broncos will be too strong at home and desperate to build some momentum heading into the finals. If they get away to a good lead, this could also get a little ugly if the Panthers players switch off.

Suggested Bet
Broncos -12.5 @ $1.90

Winning margin for value = Broncos 13-18 @ $5 - It could very easily get to 19+ ($2.60) but if you are looking for value then this is a good option. If you are looking for a big value but want to play it safe 13+ is @ $1.90 (same as the Suggested Bet).

Welcome back Alex = Alex Glenn First Try @ $15 - He is back in the starting side after a very long lay off and is a very damaging ball runner. Expect him to be a handful for the Panthers and he is always an option when they run the ball to the line.

Good luck!
Scooby

NRL Round 26 Newcastle Knights v South Sydney Rabbitohs Preview

The final NRL round for season 2012 is here and it is definitely a time to celebrate all that is good in Rugby League. It has definitely been a season to remember and fans have been treated to a very enjoyable season. It is also time for fans to recognise the great service that some retiring players have given to their clubs and the game as a whole. Enough of the sentimental stuff though because there is a lot riding on a few games this weekend. The race is still wide open for the Top 8 as 3 teams try to take the final 2 spots. The top 6 are set but there is a lot of jousting for position between those sides that want to finish within the top 4 and receive a "second chance" in Week 2 of the Semi Finals. Not only that, there is a lot of uncertainty over which teams will face one another in Week 1. This equation is what awaits the Rabbitohs in this clash. They are currently 3rd following a dominating display against the woeful Eels and are ahead of the Sea Eagles only on points difference. They can finish as high as 3rd and as low as 5th. This is motivation enough to ensure they come into this game with the right attitude. They have a very tough task ahead of them. Yes they are playing a side in the Knights that are only playing for pride, but they are facing the Knights on "Old Boy's" day. It is a fixture that they have never previously lost on. Surely though, a spot in the Top 4 for the Rabbitohs and their drive towards the semi finals will be motivation for them to get over the line. There is a lot riding on this game and it will be a great way to start the last "full" weekend of rugby league for  2012.

Newcastle Knights
The Knights are building each week to bigger and better things for 2013 and beyond. They have obviously not fulfilled the expectations of the general public after the arrival of Wayne Bennett was announced, yet they are looking better with each performance. They have suffered their fair share of injuries as well although this is no excuse. After a good performance to push the Cowboys to another level to get the victory, you cannot help but think there is something still lacking from their side. They are without an "X-factor" that can change games in an instance and they also do not have an imposing forward pack. Their forwards will definitely be tested this week. It is a good thing for them though that they have named the same side to last week and a side that has been relatively the same for the second half of the season. It is a day where they are going to run out in front of former Knights players but they are also playing a last game for the season in front of their home fans. The loyal Newcastle people have stuck solid with their team this season and should be rewarded with a good performance and a win here.

South Sydney Rabbitohs
It was mentioned in this weeks Power Rankings, a lot of people are still questioning the potential o the Rabbitohs and their ability to be a real contender for the title. They should have had a few critics silenced with their win against the Eels as it was done in dominating fashion and they held them to only one try. They will be tested here but this is a game that should be won if they are wanting to be recognised as contenders. Their side this week has only one change to the starting side but it is in fact, the same side that started against the Eels. Eddy Pettybourne has been named to start this week and Chris McQueens has been moved back to the bench. Pettybourne will offer a lot to the starting side and a forward pack that is aiming to assert their dominance early. There is 7 players named on the bench and none is more interesting than the recall of Issac Luke who was dropped to NSW Cup for disciplinary reasons. It is a great stance taken by coach Michael Maguire that is aimed at changing the culture within the club since his arrival. It will be interesting to see if he actually does play but replacement hooker Nathan Peats has done nothing wrong is his recent appearances to be dropped. Souths also have Inglis at the back that is arguably in his career best form. He is dominating games at this point and the Rabbitohs halves need to ensure that they get the ball to him with as much room as possible.

Recent History
Overall = Knights 25 - Rabbitohs 8
Last 5 games = Knights 2 - Rabbitohs 3
At Hunter Stadium = Knights 16 - Rabbitohs 3

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Knights $2.40 Rabbitohs $1.60
Centrebet = Knights $2.30 Rabbitohs $1.65 
Sportsbet = Knights $2.45 Rabbitohs $1.57
Betfair = Knights $2.50 Rabbitohs $1.65

Verdict
The Rabbitohs destiny is in their own hands at this point. If they are going to go on and win this competition, they are going to have to win far harder games than this one. The Knights are in front of their home fans on "Old Boy's" day and they will be tough to beat. But that is exactly what the Rabbitohs need to do, win the tough games. It will be a great hit out for them ahead of the semi finals now. Don't think that the Knights will be playing for nothing, Bennett will ensure that they use this game as a momentum builder into 2013. The Rabbitohs also have a far superior pack of forwards that has outplayed this side only a few weeks ago at ANZ Stadium. Then they have a bloke at the back who is arguably one of the best players the game has ever seen. Scary thing is, he is only getting better! Souths to get a win but they'll have to work for it.

Suggested Bet
Rabbitohs @ $1.65

Close Margin = Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $3.10 - Its all mentioned above about how close this game can be. Night football will also pose a bit of a problem in having a high scoring contest. You can definitely see this game being an arm wrestle until the end.

Red Hot form = Inglis First and/or Last try scorer @ $9 - He is playing very well and is finding the line with ease at the moment. No doubt the price offered here is definitely value considering the noise he is creating with each game.

Good luck!
Scooby

Monday 27 August 2012

NRL Round 26 Power Rankings


ROUND 26

The NRL season will finally reached its end this week and a lot of fans will be left wondering about the season that might've been. However, there is reason to celebrate for all fans this weekend. There are a few veteran players calling it a day and are playing their last games for the only club that they have ever played for. It would be great to go out and give these players the send off that they deserve. Apart from that though, the race for the final few spots is still on and teams are getting desperate for a win to get them over the line. This generally produces some really good football and you can be sure that Round 26 will cap off what has been a fantastic season that has been full of action throughout. Go further north on the table towards the Top 6 and there is still a fight between teams for crucial positions in the semi finals that can give a side home field advantage and even a "second chance" if a loss occurs. Get ready to say goodbye to the NRL regular season but ready yourself for a great final round that will be a fantastic lead in to the NRL finals. 

1 (1) Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs = The Bulldogs winning streak came to an end in bizarre fashion as they were thumped by the Raiders in Canberra. They still are one of the sides to beat and teams should now be even warier of the Bulldogs now after this lost.

(2) Manly Warringah Sea Eagles = Another good win by Manly over a side that they could potentially face in the finals. They play good, tough football and are happy to defend a lead.  One problem though must be their low scoring in the second half in recent weeks.


(3) Melbourne Storm = Came from behind to get a win over the Sharks in the last minute of MNF for the season. It was two points that ensures they will either finish 1st or 2nd but they must be worried about the amount of errors they had. Always a team to be feared with the "Big 3" running hot for them.



(4) South Sydney Rabbitohs = Back into the winners circle with a dominating display over the Eels. Yes it was only the Eels, but it was a far better performance than just scraping home. Inglis is on fire! They need to play with confidence within the halves as their forwards are doing the work up front.

(5) North Queensland Cowboys = Produced a performance that is worthy of their place on the table. When Bowen and Thurston are clicking, the Cowboys look like one of the hardest teams in the competition to beat. Their forwards are another pack that is getting the job done up front.

(6) Cronulla Sharks = Were extremely unlucky to lose in the fashion that they did on MNF. They were the better side. But at least this wasn't a semi final loss. They face the Cowboys this week and will be up for a challenge. It is semi final time for the Sharks now.


(9) Canberra Raiders = Only a few weeks ago the Raiders looked dead and buried. But something has changed down in the nations capital and they are now inside the Top 8 and it is theirs to lose. They must beat the Warriors in NZ to cement their spot. Once they get there, anything is possible. Just which Raiders side will turn up?



(10) Brisbane Broncos = The Broncos losing streak continues, at least this week it was a better performance. Or was it? They did score the last try right on the bell to almost give a misconception to the scoreboard. They are trying but are lacking confidence. It is definitely resting upon the shoulders of their halves who are not directing the side.

(8) Gold Coast Titans = The Titans should be embarrassed at how their season has ended. They had to win to keep their finals hopes alive and they were beaten by a side that was more desperate for a victory. Only playing for pride to end an under performing season.

10 (12) St George Illawarra Dragons = The Dragons did what they had to do against the Warriors. Win so that Ben Hornby and Dean Young would remember their last ever Dragons home game. They did more than beat the Warriors and showed an attacking spark which has been lacking from their play this season.

11 (7) West Tigers = The Tigers are virtually out of the finals and only have themselves to blame. They were woeful against the Roosters and like the Titans, they were outplayed by a side that was more desperate than them. If they beat the Storm, they are a chance to make the finals. Even if they did, can you see them lasting past Week 1?


12 (11) Newcastle Knights = Were not disgraced against the Cowboys but still are a side that is lacking a certain factor from their play to make them a team to be feared. They are now focused on 2013 and should aim to reward their loyal fans with a win in front of them on Friday night on "Old Boy's Day".  

13 (14) Penrith Panthers = Have officially avoided the spoon and produced a performance that can only have Panthers fans excited for next season. Things are starting to come together and the mood within the club will be better during the off season because of their recent run. Still work to do though to be a contender for 2013.

14 (15) Sydney Roosters = Produced a performance that surprised everyone, but no one more than the Tigers. This is the play that their young side should have been producing in their last 10 games. One game to go and their focus should be on winning 2 on the trot to end a poor season.


15 (13) Parramatta Eels = Have officially "won" the wooden spoon for 2012 with a pounding loss to the Rabbitohs. They were dominated in every area of the game and are just hanging out for the end of the season. One game to go and their motivation will be high to send Hindmarsh and Burt out of the game as winners.


16 (16) NZ Warriors = The NRL should use all its power and strip the Warriors of their points so that they win the spoon. They are a terrible side to watch and there was not only a trouble with the coach, but the players as well. They have under performed and depending on the new coach, some players should be sacked altogether.

Sunday 26 August 2012

NRL Round 25 Melbourne Storm v Cronulla Sharks Preview

There has certainly been a very bizarre weekend in rugby league thus far in Round 25. Some favorites have been well beaten whilst other side have watched their season slip away. Before we can focus on the final round of the season though, we must turn our attention towards a cracking contest between two Top 8 sides. Every game except the Dragons/Warriors game, has meant something this weekend. This clash is no different and there is a lot riding on this contest. The Sharks were on a slide but then they produced a good effort against the Warriors, only to fall a week later to the Knights. But they still came out last week in front of their home fans and held one of the best attacking sides, the Rabbitohs, to only 6 points and out muscled them up front. It was a very pleasing performance for a side that was not making any progress and would possibly go into the finals without any momentum. That performance will definitely put them in a good position here. The Storm have been in a similar situation but were able to claw their way out of their slump to go back to producing their quality performances that we are accustomed to seeing. They have gotten themselves back to second on the table and they have a shot of stealing the minor premiership away from the Bulldogs, if they were to falter again in Round 26. That is enough inspiration on its own but there is also a home semi final on the line. If the Storm were to lose their two remaining games, it would be extremely possible that either the Rabbitohs or Sea Eagles could sneak into second spot and grab a home semi final. There is a lot on the line for both sides and that only ensures that this game will be a great clash. It would also serve as a great preview as the finals are under two weeks away. After every game that has occurred this weekend, nothing would surprise. You can be certain though, this will be a spectacle, fit for Monday Night Football.

Melbourne Storm

The Storm turned out a very decent performance in their last start to get a one point victory over the Broncos at home. It was a close game, but in the end it was the class of Cooper Cronk that delivered when it mattered most. There was no real need to change a winning formula but coach Craig Bellamy has made a few changes to his side to possibly add more power up front. At the end of the day, they are facing a side that dominated a more than capable South Sydney pack. Bryan Norrie has been promoted into the starting side at front row for Jesse Bromwich. Both players are dynamic and love the "tough stuff" but Norrie certainly adds more size. The other change is in the second row with Kevin Proctor coming into the side and Sika Manu dropping back to the bench. As there will be a tough battle up front, the Storm forwards have to ensure that they allow their halves enough time to get the ball to the outside backs. This is one area where the Storm outpoint the Sharks. They have speed to burn and are great in defence. Of course, this all means nothing if their forwards do not continually get over the advantage line and set a platform early.



Cronulla Sharks


The Sharks would have been very pleased with almost every aspect of their win over the Rabbitohs. The good thing though is that they still have a few things within their side to work on. Of course this is made easier by the fact that they have named exactly the same side to face the Storm. With only one or two players at most to return to the lineup, this will probably be the side that attempts to make a good run for the title. But there are also a few question marks hanging over a few areas of their side. None more so than their outside backs. Yes, they can score points when needed, but unless they are put in that position by either Carney or Robinson, they won't get across the line. If their forwards do not win the battle up front, then the outside backs will be on the back foot throughout. So where do they look to for a leader? Obviously Paul Gallen but he can not do this job on his own. They need the same commitment from all their players that they have had in some of their most impressive wins this season.



Recent History

Overall = Storm 15 - Sharks 9
Last 5 games = Storm 4 - Sharks 1
At AAMI Stadium = Storm 2 - Sharks 0


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Storm $1.38 Sharks $3.10
Centrebet = Storm $1.41 Sharks $3.00
Sportsbet = Storm $1.40 Sharks $3.05
Betfair = Storm $1.35 Sharks $3.50


Verdict


First and foremost, punters must not overlook the fact that the Sharks defeated the Storm earlier this season. That win was also in the absence of Gallen. That loss also ended the undefeated run of the Storm since the beginning of the season. But there is a different set of circumstances heading into this game. Back in that game, players could have been forgiven for focusing on SOO. Now the only focus is on the finals. This will be a great test to see where both sides are at. So compare the two sides together and you'll see that the Storm should get the win over the Sharks. Their outside backs alone posses more positives than the Sharks and have a forward pack that will relish the opportunity to face the Sharks. It will be a very tough battle though, so expect this game to be a very close contest.

Suggested Bet


Storm @ $1.41 (with Centrebet)

MNF delivers  = Storm 1-12 @ $2.80 - It's all mentioned above, this game will be a close call. At least close enough for a 1-12 margin to get up. That is said thinking that a "good" Sharks side will show up.

Left side, strong side = Will Chambers First and/or Last try scorer @ $11 - The Storm definitely posses the strike power out wide to trouble the Sharks. More importantly to this bet is that fact that they really like to insert Slater as a ball player out wide to deliver to this bloke in great attacking position.

Good luck!

Scooby