Wednesday 26 September 2012

NRL Grand Final Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs v Melbourne Storm Preview

Well here it is folks, the game that teams had set out to make at the beginning of November 2011. A game that would win you the competition and crowned Premiers for season 2012. A lot of events have happened in season 2012 and all that becomes meaningless, as 80 minutes is what stands between these two teams and the "holy grail". The Bulldogs have been the "Cinderella Story" as they missed the finals in 2011. They acquired Des Hasler in a controversial move from the Sea Eagles and underwent a massive transformation. When you think about it, he inherited exactly the same squad that was under performing and got his players to buy into his coaching theory. A lot of people questioned whether or not the Bulldogs could make season 2012 successful and very few would have thought that they could have made it this far, let alone stand a chance of winning the competition. Then during the season, Ben Barba emerged as one of the real superstars of the modern game. He was rightly awarded the Dally M for NRL Player of the Year and has set a new benchmark for opposition players to reach. Many perceived his weakness in defence and defusing high kicks. But he has worked hard on his game and under Hasler's guidance, he has made this one of his strengths. It is fitting that he goes against a player who has made the number 1 jersey his own in all area's of football, both at club and representative level, Billy Slater. He would be a player that Barba would openly admit, he watched video's of and tried to model his game on him. Slater is one of the Storm's "Big 3" and is a leader of his team and a big reason why they are where they are today. Of course his season has been limited by injury but he has still pushed on. While he may not be at 100%, he is still able to dominate games in ways that only he knows how. Supporting him is the "other two", Cameron Smith and Cooper Cronk. Each of the "Big 3" bring their unique, individual brilliance to this side that allows them to get a victory in the toughest of situations. Then again, they are also very well supported by the players around them. Then of course, you have the coach, Craig Bellamy. While he didn't succeed at representative level, you cannot doubt his ability to coach and transform very ordinary players into workhorses. He brings out the best in all of his players and it shows in their attitude and enthusiasm in playing for him. No matter what is written, there is also the added motivation of the Storm having their Premiership titles stripped after their breaches of the NRL's salary cap. The "Big 3" & coach Craig Bellamy were all present when the premierships were won and stripped. They are saying that it is in the past but what would be a better way to show that they are over it then by winning here? All 24 players that take the field on Sunday will have their eyes on the big prize and so should punters. You may get sick of all that is written in the lead up to this game but enjoy it for what it is, a great spectacle where you can win yourself some money.

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
The Bulldogs come into this game off 3 very impressive victories, but more importantly, the last two were in the finals against sides that could always post as a danger. They were tougher and stronger than Manly whilst they grounded the Rabbitohs into the ground and made sure that they didn't get up once they were knocked down and out of the contest. Their forwards faced two very strong opposition packs but lifted above it all to assert their dominace on the game. Obviously, a lot comes down to the ball movement of the side around the field and the room it opens up, but each week their defence is growing stronger. In the two semi final games thus far, they have kept the opposition sides scoreless in the second half and at this point of the season, defence wins you the games. They have been tenacious in their hits and the opposition halves are placed under more pressure as their forwards are not going over the advantage line consistently. They will have their work cut out for them this week attempting to halt the Storm forwards and Cameron Smith. If there is any player within this competition who knows how to get over the advantage line, it is him. Considering how well Isaac Luke played, Smith will be loving the opportunity he gets in this game. The Bulldogs lineup remains the same and they have been a model for consistency this season. They also have a far stronger bench going into this game and Hasler interchanges his forwards very well. Again, Dene Halatau has been named as the sides 18th man and with the Canterbury side being knocked out of the NSW Cup, perhaps he may be a chance of playing. There were whispers around last week that Corey Payne might have been a late withdrawal but this never occurred. 

Melbourne Storm
The Storm are driven by the "Big 3" but they are also complimented very well by the players around them. One of the real strengths of the Storm side this season is their outside backs and the speed and agility they possess. They are a handful to deal with at the worst of times, the last thing you need as a defender is to try and stop them when they have room to move. They have this big, sweeping play where Slater comes from the back and is an extra ball player which creates room for the centres and wingers to move. This is a play that they will look to use from the opening minutes. Closer into the ball you have some very big forwards that are lead very well by Smith (sorry to mention it again but it is a major factor!). Proctor, Bromwich and Manu are all underrated players that could be considered as missing links when they are off the field, especially Proctor and Bromwich. Proctor was named to start from the bench last week but was called into the starting side at the expense of Manu. Bromwich is always strong up front and partners Bryan Norrie very well. Todd Lowrie is named at lock this week and could be considered a possible problem when they have him, Smith and Hinchcliffe on the field together. Whilst they are very good defenders, they are not an imposing side and wouldn't exactly strike fear in opposition ball runners. Then again, the way that the Storm dominate the ruck, they become a more mobile side and can play the game at their own pace. The Storm have named an extended bench of 8 this week and the new additions are Rory Kostjayson, Mahe Fonua, Siosaia Vave and Anthony Quinn. Sisa Waqa was a late withdrawal from the side that played the Sea Eagles and he copped a knock late in the warm up to his knee. His place in the game was taken by Fonua and he would probably replace him again if he was unfit to take the field. 

Recent History
Overall  = Bulldogs 15 - Storm 14
Last 5 games = Bulldogs 2 - Storm 3
At ANZ Stadium = Bulldogs 0 - Storm 3

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Bulldogs $2.10 Storm $1.75
Centrebet = Bulldogs $2.05 Storm $1.80
Sportsbet = Bulldogs $2.02 Storm $1.82
Betfair = Bulldogs $2.16 Storm $1.85

Verdict
This is arguably one of the closest and hardest Grand Finals that we have witnessed in recent years. You can make a case for both sides winning the game and it could almost certainly come down to the last kick of the ball. I encourage you to go with your gut feeling and use this guide, like I hope you have use all of my NRL previews, to make up your own mind on the game. For what it is worth though, I am going to back the Bulldogs for a number of reasons. Firstly, they have a far superior forward pack and capable of dominating the Storm forwards throughout. They were the reason why the Storm faced a weakened Manly side in their qualifying final. Secondly, their ball movement is second to none. They promote the ball to their outside backs through attacking forward play and they have the ability to create holes in the defence with a simple pass. Thirdly, I believe they posses a stronger defence. Whilst you could say that it is alarming that all of the points conceded have been in the first half, they are able to tighten up in the middle of the field and force teams either to the outside or into mistakes. I am certainly not discounting the Storm as a genuine threat in this game. I expect the "Big 3" to rise to another level and bring the rest of their side to their level. But it is extremely hard for me to go past the Bulldogs and there is a lot of value surrounding them.

Suggested Bet
Bulldogs @ $2.16

No Margin for error = Bulldogs 1-12 @ $3 - Backing the Bulldogs and backing a close contest, then this is the margin that you would want to see. This also offers plenty of value. It would be very surprising to see a 13+ margin unless one side gets away and the other gives up towards the end of the match.

Line up for a double = Bulldogs +2.5/Over 36.5 @ $3.60 - It does seem like I am being very optimistic in choosing the total score to be over 37 points but winners of the GF in recent years have averaged around 30-points. In saying this, defence could be highlighted but there is plenty of value here. A small note, Bulldogs +2.5/Under 36.5 is @ $3.25.

Clive Churchill Medal = Be very careful when picking this option. I say this because this award is chosen by Australian Test Selectors and the best player in the match may not always be favoured because selectors might not want a non-Australian player to win the award. I am referring to the issue a few years ago when the Storm "won" the GF and Cronk was named CCM when many thought that Kiwi Adam Blair was undoubtedly the best Storm player. So where does this leave us in a selection? You have to pick a player that will have an enormous impact on the game and could prove the different in winning. Immediately the Storm's "Big 3" pop into your mind if the Storm were going to get a win and outside of them I could only think of Ryan Hoffman for the CCM as he won MOM honors in their Week 1 victory over the Rabbitohs. For the Bulldogs, you couldn't go past Ben Barba. He has been a great influence on his side but I think that if the Bulldogs were to win, it could be one of their forwards who get the award. This is where the value becomes enticing but many of them are not Australian born players. Of those, I would favor James Graham, Greg Eastwood and Frank Pritchard. Michael Ennis and Josh Reynolds would also play an influential role in the victory and for a smokey, Krisnan Inu. He was great against the Rabbitohs and will need a big performance to hold his opposition centre down.

Billy Slater $8
Cooper Cronk $5.50
Cameron Smith $7
Ryan Hoffman $11
Ben Barba $6
James Graham $11
Greg Eastwood $21
Michael Ennis $21

First Try Scorers = You would have to choose one or two players from both side here to allow for a few options. The Storm have a very good sweeping play to their right hand side which offers Will Chambers ($13) and Justin O'Neill ($13). This is the same play that is mentioned above and Slater comes from no where to be an extra ball player or running option. Going on the defensive lapses from the Dogs I would also like a nibble at Cameron Smith ($21) close to the line. For the Bulldogs, options are running all over the field and first and foremost you are going to have to take a look at Ben Barba ($7) although he does appear to be a little short. I also like the Bulldogs right hand side attack that features Krisnan Inu ($13) and Sam Perrett ($13) as they like to kick across to this side when the option is available. This is also the weaker side for the Storm side defensively, as well as in the air. For a value bet for the Bulldogs, second rower Josh Jackson ($26) is good close to the line and does always pop up on a kick chase when attacking the line.

Good luck!
Scooby

Sunday 23 September 2012

NFL Week 3 Betting Preview

There has been two weeks pass by of great NFL action and this week is going to be no different. There is only a limited time for teams to make their impact and this week is going to be no different. I wouldn't say that teams are beginning to shape their season but some are definitely not reaching their potential just yet and others are exceeding themselves. It has been a tough few weeks to try and pick a clear week but you cannot help but be excited at the potential match ups. Each week brings a new battle to our screens and hopefully some more money into our pockets. Lets take a look at the games that are thrown at us this week.


St Louis Rams @ Chicago Bears

The Bears have had a mix season to date and go into this game against the Rams with a 1-1 record (as do the Rams). As in seasons gone by though, the pressure is firmly on the shoulder of QB Jay Cutler. Some days he looks unbeatable and others he looks as though he is not cut out to make it in the NFL. He is the one thing standing in the way of the Bears being a title contender. If he gets his game right, they could go "all the way". Their last start was a dismal performance to the Packers where they lost 23-10 and only produce 163-yards on offence. As admitted by Bears coach Lovie Smith, "his squad is in for a very tough contest", as the Rams overcame a 15 point deficit to beat the Redskins. It was the sides first victory under new coach Jeff Fisher and it was a great performance that had their defence holding RG3 and the Redskins to only one score in the second half. Both sides go into this game with a few injuries to key players and both will probably be without their RB. All things considered, the Bears should get home very tightly in this contest.


TAB Sportsbet = Rams $3.75 Bears $1.25

Centrebet = Rams $3.45 Bears $1.33
Sportsbet = Rams $3.75 Bears $1.29
_______


Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys started the season on fire, turning in a very dominating performance to hand the NY Giants a loss at home to begin the season. Romo was playing well and leading his offence around the park whilst the defence were defending their line very well and bringing a lot of pressure to the Giants and Manning. But then they went up to Seattle and were suffocated by a very stiff Seahawks defence and went down by 20 points and only managed one TD. This is the type of inconsistency that has plagued a very talented roster for some years now and they are well aware of what has to be done to rectify their performance. They will have no easy contest as they have to face a Buccaneers team that could very well be 2-0 had it not been for a horror 4th quarter where they gave up 25 points and went down to the Giants 41-34. Much like the Cowboys, they are aware of what went wrong and will be out for a better performance this week. They must restrict Romo but his eyes will be alight at the prospect of facing a defence that gave up a record 510-yards on passing to Manning. The problems on the defensive side of things pose a big problem for the Buccaneers and it is hard to have them in this game against a Cowboys team that should be refocused this week.


TAB Sportsbet = Buccaneers $4.00 Cowboys $1.22
Centrebet = Buccaneers $4.00 Cowboys $1.26
Sportsbet = Buccaneers $4.05 Cowboys $1.27
_______


San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings


The 49ers can thank their defence for the 2-0 start to the season that they have enjoyed as they have been good enough to restrict to teams to minimal yards (two great QBs as well is Rogers and Stafford). They can not afford to take their foot off the accelerator either and must put the Vikings to the sword. 49ers players seem capable of lifting to another level and their fans are starting to believe that they have a side that is capable of winning the Superbowl. The Vikings went down last week to the Colts by 3 points and it wasn't easy to take as the FG was kicked with 8 seconds remaining on the clock. They are back at home this week and have an impressive record here against the 49ers, a side that has not won at the Metrodome since 1992. Despite this, I still expect the 49ers to be too strong and take their season to 3-0.


TAB Sportsbet = 49ers $1.30 Vikings $3.35
Centrebet = 49ers $1.30 Vikings $3.60
Sportsbet = 49ers $1.31 Vikings $3.60
_______


Kansas City Chiefs @ New Orleans Saints

This game features two winless sides that are desperate to grab a victory before it is too late. Being 0-2 shouldn't ring any alarm bells just yet but if this is allowed to go one for to long, things might begin to snowball and they could find themselves at the wrong end of their respective divisions. The Saints are obviously still struggling with the suspension of players and coaches following the offseason controversy, but they are trying to make amends. Last week you thought that they would have been a good chance of beating the Panthers in Carolina but things did no go according to plan. Bree's wasn't at his best and he was picked off twice which placed even more pressure on a defensive unit that can leak points very easily. They can score a lot of points, they just have not been able to limit their opponents scoring. The Chiefs haven't exactly been at their best this season yet either. Last week they were thumped by the Bills despite QB Matt Cassell throwing 2 TD's. This all came after a poor performance against Atlanta. So is there any light at the end of the tunnel for the Chiefs? Not just yet. The Saints should get their season back on track with a win.


TAB Sportsbet = Chiefs $4.25 Saints $1.20

Centrebet = Chiefs $4.00 Saints $1.26
Sportsbet = Chiefs $4.25 Saints $1.24
_______


Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals

This is one of two games this week that features unbeaten sides. The Eagles have a lot of expectation riding on them and it all depends on the fitness of QB Michael Vick. Whilst they have managed to remain 2-0, they can consider themselves lucky having 9 turnovers in two weeks. They need to bring pressure towards Vick and force him into making mistakes. The Eagles offensive line will also have added pressure on them considering they have just lost their starting centre. Arizona have managed 7 sacks to date and will be aiming to add to this tally. The Eagles will also have to pressure Kevin Klob who was the starting QB for the Eagles back in 2010. As the story goes, he was injured in Week 1 and Michael Vick was given the starting role and has never look back since. He has now been traded away and finds himself at his new home up against his former side. The Eagles should get a win by a very slim margin but a win by the Cardinals would not shock. They can lift another level when at home and will need to establish a running game that releases pressure on Klob and his WR's.

TAB Sportsbet = Eagles $1.60 Cardinals $2.25
Centrebet = Eagles $1.57 Cardinals $2.45
Sportsbet = Eagles $1.52 Cardinals $2.57
_______
Atlanta Falcons @ San Diego Chargers
The second of the "undefeated clashes" promises to be a titanic battle between two sides that will be hoping to make the playoffs. It is a very interesting game that has people wondering where this game will be won. Falcons QB Matt Ryan is the highest rated QB so far this season and they boast 3 receivers who have run for over 120-yards so far this season. Whilst there is a greater emphasis on the passing game with a new offensive coordinator, they are narrowing down their options by having a running game that is ranked 28th overall and averaging less than 3.0-yards a carry. If they do not look to call upon this facet of their game, the Chargers defence will have a field day bringing mountains of pressure upon Ryan. To make matters worse, the Falcons may be without RB Mike Turner following his recent arrest. But the Chargers defence has not been the best this season and they need to limit the amount of points and yards they offer. If they are able to limit the Falcons, Chargers QB Philip Rivers has the opportunity to run riot over this game. He has the second best completion percentage at 73.9% (Ryan's is 70.3%) and they have been labelled "super unselfish" in the direction they sometimes take. This just sets the stage for a very interesting game. I am inclined to think that Charger's are a quality team yet still unproven and a waste of talent. Then again, the Falcons are yet to set the world on fire and playing at home, the Chargers just might have the edge over them.

TAB Sportsbet = Falcons $2.50 Chargers $1.50
Centrebet = Falcons $2.38 Chargers $1.60
Sportsbet = Falcons $2.47 Chargers $1.57
_______


Other winners that I am picking:

Browns
Detroit
Colts
Jets
Redskins
Broncos
Steelers
Patriots
Packers

Good luck!
Scooby

Thursday 20 September 2012

NRL Week 3 Finals Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs v South Sydney Rabbitohs Preview

This game has been billed as Sydney's Grand Final and it could almost be with the quality of football that lies ahead in this game. Both sides are blessed with two of the biggest supporter bases around and all fans will be coming out of the wood work to get a glimpse of their side in action. The crowd will be packed and rightly so as this game could very well be one of the games of the season. Heading into this season, you would not have picked either side as a team that would be playing for a spot in the Grand Final but thanks to two incoming coaches to the club, the attitude and level of football has changed for the better. The Bulldogs are undoubted deserved of their place in this match but so to are the Rabbitohs. It has been a long wait for their supporters, 41 years to be precise and they now have some of their fans believing that this could be the year for them. But standing in their way will be a very strong Bulldogs outfit. They have class all around the field and whilst they do not possess a very strong halves pairing, they play a brand of football that doesn't rely on them to much but rather uses the forwards as their main ball players. This way they are getting the ball to the outside backs with more room to move. The likes of Josh Morris and Ben Barba are now more potent as they can move into the back line in more than one spot on the field. This is where the Rabbitohs defence has to be on guard. They almost have to be as good as their opposition, the Bulldogs. They are very strong in defence and have displayed one of the best defensive records this season. This is another reason why they have recorded the season they have. In the game against the Sea Eagles, they held their line very well and were as bruising as every at the line. By continually "bashing" the Sea Eagles runners, they were able to dominate the middle of the field. This also went a long way to putting the Sea Eagles players off their game. This will not happen as easily this time around and the Rabbitohs will be looking for a very physical battle up front. Playing the Storm in Week 1 of the Finals has perhaps been a positive as they were handed a thumping. Their forwards were able to walk away from that game with their pride a little battered and a reason to refocus them heading into the game against the Raiders. While they were at their dominating best, they were also only playing a side that many would consider very fortunate to be there. You will also hear the line this week about the Rabbitohs "not being able to beat a Top 4 side" (they did beat the Bulldogs earlier this season) and whilst this may be true in some part, it means very little now. All that matters is the 80 minutes of football they now have in front of them. That is all either side can focus on and they need to worry about winning that before they even think about training for the Grand Final a week later. This game is going to be a real delight to watch and with only 2 weeks left in the season, time is running out to win more money this season. So lets aim to finish on a high and take a closer look at the game.


Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

Enjoying a week out of the spotlight would have suited the Bulldogs very nicely after a very physical game against the Sea Eagles. That game defined semi final football and the Bulldogs can only be better for the rest. Heading into this game, vision has surfaced of the Bulldogs working on their wrestling tactics which would be aimed at slowing down the ruck and not allowing the Rabbitohs to get rolling over the advantage line. It is no surprise that the Bulldogs have done this and they will not be the only side doing it in the lead up to their games, it is just another way of selling the game by the media. At the end of the day, the Bulldogs have to resort to playing the football that has gotten them so far this season. As mentioned above, they have used a different style of play that has their halves taking a lesser role in the attacking movement. A lot of responsibility does fall on the shoulders of Michael Ennis but he will relish the opportunity. He did leave the field with a rib injury during the game against Manly but was able to recover and retake the field at the beginning of the second half. Canterbury have therefore named an unchanged lineup heading into this clash and they will definitely be pleased to again have the same side taking the field. It has been a major factor in them playing consistent football. Dene Halatau is named as the 18th man but he will probably be the man who is left out prior to kickoff. Expect the Bulldogs to be in the right frame of mind with Des Hasler being experienced and proven at this point of the season. 


South Sydney Rabbitohs

After an embarrasing and ill-disciplined effort against the Storm, the Rabbitohs got their season back on track against the Raiders. Some of their tries were impressive and it can only act as a positive as they will no be full of confidence. Obviously though they will face a far superior opposition compared to the Raiders and this is semi final football. They learnt the hard way in their loss to the Storm that you need to be on your game for the entire duration of the contest. They gave away penalties at crucial times in the game and at crucial points on the field which only acted to get the Storm into very good field position. They also gave away two soft tries from scrums. They will be on guard against the Bulldogs and need to stick to their game plan if they are to get through with a win. They have strengths all over the field and should look to use all of them but they need to have a structure in place. Their forwards possess the majority of their potency and they are lead very well by Issac Luke. He was very good getting out of the ruck and getting the forwards over behind the Raiders defensive line. This only creates more space for their outside who will relish the extra room to move. Greg Inglis is one player who can pop up when it matters most and surprise the Bulldogs. He is at his damaging best this season and the battle between himself and Barba will be a thrilling contest. They could even be the two players who could determine this outcome. In terms of team news, Matt King is out of the game and didn't even play against the Raiders. His place in that game was taken by Chris McQueen and he is named to start in the centres. He certainly offers a lot to the Rabbitohs in defence and can get up very high and underneath a bomb to score or set up a try. Issac Luke has also officially been named to start in the number 9 jersey and Nathan Peats has been relegated to the bench. Jason Clark has been named to make a start from the bench after being a late withdrawal from the game with an ankle injury. The extended bench features six players and also include Justin Hunt who was named last week but didn't play. It will also be interesting to see the final makeup of Michael Maguire's side as last week he threw up a few changes prior to kick off that seemed to give them more power to start the game.


Recent History

Overall = Bulldogs 76 - Draw 4 - Rabbitohs 64
Last 5 games = Bulldogs 4 - Rabbitohs 1
At ANZ Stadium = Bulldogs 11 - Rabbitohs 3


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Bulldogs $1.47 Rabbitohs $2.75
Centrebet = Bulldogs $1.48 Rabbitohs $2.72
Sportsbet = Bulldogs $1.50 Rabbitohs $2.65
Betfair = Bulldogs $1.52 Rabbitohs $2.90


Verdict

This is one game that I am still undecided on. You can make a case for both sides winning this game and as a punter, it is never a position you want to be in. Lucky though, there are several options that can almost be like placing an each-way bet. But for the sake of making a decision, I am going to make a case for both sides and let you guys choose a clear winner if you want. If not, check the suggested bets for other options.

Why the Bulldogs can win = They have one of the best defences in the competition and are a tough side. They have proven themselves this year against the top sides and play a style of play that can throw off other teams. Then you have Ben Barba and Josh Morris who can create something from nothing.
Why the Rabbitohs can win = Big forwards and Greg Inglis! They will be rolling over the advantage line and Issac Luke will be dynamic out of dummy half. Inglis also has the ability to impact on the game more than most players running around at the moment. Plus, they'll be riding a wave of emotion after not appearing in a Grand Final since 1971!

Suggested Bet
Tri Bet either team under 6.5 points @ $2.75

Safety Net Bet = Dozen start Bulldogs +12 @ $1.09 or Rabbitohs +12  @ $1.37 - This way you can take the team that you want and banking on a very close contest, you should collect a win here.

Superstar Try fest! = Try Scorer Ben Barba (First & Last @ $6)  and/or Greg Inglis (First $ Last @ $8) - Both are in great form and either player is going to be a great chance of scoring first. They both have the potential to also get over the line last and score a match winner.

Good luck!
Scooby

Wednesday 19 September 2012

NRL Finals Week 3 Melbourne Storm v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Preview

The NRL stage is set for two cracking games of football this weekend as 4 teams try to qualify for the two spots in the Grand Finals on September 30th. The dream that every team started out striving for at the beginning of November 2011 is now only 160 minutes away from completion. Unfortunately, the lead up to both games this week has been somewhat overshadowed by the performance of the referees and video referees. Hopefully people can more past it but it certainly is an ugly cloud hanging over the head of the NRL Finals. For what it is worth, the two decisions in the Manly-Cowboys game didn't "rob" the Cowboys, it simple changed the momentum of the game and gave Manly a better chance of winning the match. Even Cowboys players admitted that Manly was the better side and that will be a big boost to their confidence heading into this game. The Sea Eagles and Storm have a great history of fierce battles and this game will be no different. No one will ever forget the "Battle of Brookvale" which resulted in a brawl between Glenn Stewart and Adam Blair. Things have come a long way since that incident but many people have never forgotten it and will almost hope that tempers flair up again this week to add extra feeling to the battle. Not that it will be needed. The Storm have enjoyed a week off and it has allowed them to regroup as a team and their players would have relished the opportunity to rest their weary bodies. They would have also been happy for the Sea Eagles and Cowboys to bash one another and face a team that would only have 7 days to recover. But Manly are a side that has been here before and definitely knows how to win at this stage of the season. They were surprised by the Bulldogs in Week 1 but were able to grind out a very tough win over the Cowboys with some very impressive defence. They were also complemented out wide by their back three who were able to score all of their tries for them. This is something that the Storm will have to look to dominate. If you were to pick apart their performance and allow and area for Melbourne to target, it would be the ease at which Manly gave up metres to the big Cowboys forwards. James Tamou (226m) and Matt Scott (184m) were very dominating in the middle of the field and the Sea Eagles forwards definitely struggled. You can certainly not afford to have a weakness anywhere on the field at this point of the season and both teams will be working at hard at training this week to fix any problems that there may be. Both sides have been here before and know what is required of them. So sit back, place a few bets (hopefully winners!) and enjoy the suspense and excitement that the NRL has to offer.


Melbourne Storm

The Storm have had a week off to freshen up for this game and will be definitely better for it. Whilst there is an argument for either having or not having the week off, you can say that without a doubt, the last thing you would have wanted was a game that the Sea Eagles had against the Cowboys. The Storm would've been sitting at home, very comfortable and watching with a ripe smile on their face. Heading into this game though they need to go back to the Storm side that we have been accustomed to. This means that they are very strong in defence and their attack is lead around well by the Big 3. In terms of the team for this week, Anthony Quinn has been ruled out with injury and his spot is taken on the wing by speedster Justin O'Neill as Will Chambers moves into the centres. The forward pack see's Jason Ryles named on the bench and Bryan Norrie is named to start in his place. Of course Ryles was a non starter in the game against the Rabbitohs and Norrie was the player who started in his place so this isn't much of a change at all. Todd Lowrie is named to make a return from injury and Rory Kostjasyn is relegated to an extended bench alongside Lowrie, but only one of those players will play in this game. The Storm's extended bench of 7 also includes Mahe Fonua who is there to cover one of the Storm's outside backs. There has been a few question's asked of the Storms forwards and this game should be no different. They are not as mobile as they once were and unless Smith is leading from the front, they struggle to make any real ground. Of course once you think that you are playing the Storm into the corners, they rely on other area's of their game and this includes the fantastic play of Slater and Cronk. Cronk's kicking game is going from strength to strength, and whilst not at his best, Slater is always dangerous in attack and defence. But all this will be jepordised if the Storms forwards cannot get a good platform set in attack and are strong in the middle of the field in defence. 

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Despite a tough game against the Cowboys, the Sea Eagles pulled through very well. There was a lot of speculation about the fitness of Jamie Lyon but he pulled through the game with relative ease and was at his best throughout. They are boosted this week by the return of Steve Matai from suspension and Dean Whare is shifted back out to the wing. Michael Oldfield departs the side altogether but it was after scoring two tries in the win over the Cowboys. Apart from that, the Sea Eagles side is unchanged. This also includes the extended bench named with George Rose again the likely man to miss the final side. Since the finals began, there has been a few suggestions around that this Manly side niggle their way through matches. This can be put down to the toughness and pride they have within their side. Not also that Manly have never lost a Grand Final Qualifier since 1975! But it is not as though this side will show up to the ground and the win is theirs. There will be a great battle throughout this game as each side attempts to assert their dominance on the other. It will be crucial to the outcome of the match and the key for the Sea Eagles is to limit the impact that Smith has on the game. Once they do this, they must also pressure Cronk. Perhaps being a good niggling side will serve them well at this point of the game. 

Recent History
Overall = Storm 12 - Sea Eagles 10
Last 5 games = Storm 2 - Sea Eagles 3
At AAMI Park = Storm 1 - Sea Eagles 0

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Storm $1.60 Sea Eagles $2.40
Centrebet = Storm $1.65 Sea Eagles $2.30
Sportsbet = Storm $1.60 Sea Eagles $2.40
Betfair = Storm $1.66 Sea Eagles $2.48


Verdict

This is a very tough game to pick and you can make a case for either side winning this match. Including this game, the Sea Eagles would have had three very tough games even before they have made the Grand Final. Their players will be struggling but you can never count them out based on some of the performances that they are capable of. The Storm will be wary of this and they certainly have players within their side that can single handedly shape the outcome of this contest. You need to think you selection through very carefully before investing your hard earned money on this match. I will be backing the Storm to get over the line here based on the fact that they've had a week off whilst Manly had a very tough contest and will have only 7 days to recover. Plus they have to travel down to Melbourne where the Storm are always difficult to beat. In tipping the Storm though, the Manly players will not fear the Storm based on their class, players, home ground advantage, etc. They have been here before and they know how to beat the Storm. This game will be a very exciting contest for fans to watch and expect a very close game which ever way the result goes.

Suggested Bet
Storm @ $1.66 (with Betfair)

Tri your bets = Either team Under 6.5 points @ $2.65 - It is stated above that which ever way this game goes, it should be a very close contest. This value offers plenty for punters without declaring a clear winner. 

Precise decision = Storm 1-6 @ $5.50 - If you are going to lean the way of the Storm and want some value, you would need to consider this bet very carefully. The Storm have the players to rise to the occasion in pressure situations and a one point victory would suit this bet very well.

Good luck!
Scooby

Sunday 16 September 2012

NFL Week 2 Betting Preview

Week 1 is done and dusted and Week 2 of NFL action kicked off early with a contest between division rivals Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears. It was a good week of football between the sides and certain teams put their hand up as contenders. Others though, were not as convincing and it appears as this season could be a struggle for them. Betting wise, there were a few surprises but things mainly went to plan for the favorites. It was great to see future Hall of Fame QB Peyton Manning back in full flight and throwing his 400th career TD. There is no rest heading into this week though as teams will be hoping to continue their good performance or perhaps resurrect a bad one. So sit back and relax this week as the action doesn't slow down. Surprises are still bound to happen but lets see if we can jag a winner or two as the competition continues to take shape.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New York Giants

The Giants were the first Superbowl Champions to lose the opening game to the following season in some time. It was made worse by the fact that it was at the hands of division rivals the Dallas Cowboys in one of two meetings that they will have this season. They have had plenty of time to think about that performance heading into this game and will try to resurrect a very ugly performance. They face a Tampa side that started the season in winning form after a win over a Carolina Panthers side that had very high expectations mainly riding on the back of Cam Newton. They pressured the young QB by sacking him three times and picking him off twice, a good defensive effort for a team that leaked a lot of easy points last season. This could be a problem for the Giants who also had Eli Manning sacked three times by the Cowboys. Throw in the fact that Newton is far more mobile and perhaps there could be some pressure put on the offensive lineman for the Giants. But the Giants can produce when it matters most and having Manning will be a bonus at any stage of the game, regardless of how much pressure he is under. The Buccaneers have to be wary of the Giants defensive unit who will want to bring the heat onto unproven QB Josh Freeman who only has a career rating of 79.3 (52 TD & 46 INT). Expect the Giants to bounce back in this game and get their first win of the season.


TAB Sportsbet = Buccaneers $3.70 Giants $1.25

Centrebet = Buccaneers $3.60 Giants $1.30
Sportsbet = Buccaneers $3.85 Giants $1.28
_______


Baltimore Ravens @ Philadelphia Eagles

The Ravens are a team that has promised so much for so long now yet they are still without a Superbowl title in recent years to show for the talent on their roster. Things are starting to look up now though for the Ravens fans as QB Joe Flacco comes into his own. He has a very good offence functioning around him and it is making them more potent each game. Things are now starting to balance out within the side and their great defence is now being complemented and supported with points to defend. They will be ready to face an Eagles side that is also full of promise, except a lot of their hopes hinge on the performance on QB Michael Vick. The Eagles scraped home last week over the Panthers after they overcame the fact that Vick threw 4 interceptions. Despite this, the Eagles amounted more yards compared to the Ravens. They also allowed fewer yards than the Ravens (Eagles 210 - Ravens 322) in their game. But this is only after the first game of the year so expect things to change dramatically depending on their effort. The Eagles also have the home field advantage but I still like what the Ravens have to offer in this game. Get on the upset!

TAB Sportsbet = Ravens $2.10 Eagles $1.60
Centrebet = Ravens $2.15 Eagles $1.72
Sportsbet = Ravens $2.20 Eagles $1.70
_______

New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers
The Saints received a reality check last week as they were handed a loss by the Washington Redskins who were extremely happy with the debut of RG3. It was an 8 point loss but it came at their home ground and this week they must aim to get their first win on the road against the Panthers. Obviously they have had a lot of trouble occur during their off season which still appears to be effecting their performance. The Panthers were beaten in a close game by the Eagles and managed to pick Michael Vick off 4 times during the game. Brees looked hot against the Redskins throwing 3 TD's but peel back the layers of that game and he also had 2 INT's and only completed 24 out of 52. This completion rate of  46.2% is his worst since 2006. If the Saints are to win here, they must look to limit Newton and the spark he can deliver to his side. Tension will be high for the division rivals and the loser will be without a win and becoming desperate. The Saints should be able to rise above the troubles they have had to date.

TAB Sportsbet = Saints $1.65 Panthers $2.15
Centrebet = Saints $1.63 Panthers $2.35
Sportsbet = Saints $1.65 Panthers $2.30
_______

Washington Redskins @ St. Louis Rams
RG3 debuted for the Redskins and the what a debut it was! He threw for 320 yards, 2 TD's and completed 19/26 and better than all of this was the fact that he showed a very cool head. It was always going to be a tough game against the Saints in New Orleans but at the end of the day he was the star that drove the Redskins towards the win. The best thing was that the coach, Mike Shanahan, was quick to pour cold water on the situation by saying that they have a fair way to go before the franchise is turned around. The Rams are also a side that is aiming to turn around their franchise but they have a bit more work to do before the light grows stronger for them. They gave up the lead with 10 seconds remaining in the game but were gallant in defeat. Regardless of how gallant they were though, they are still winless. Being at home will be a big boost for them but they need to lockdown RG3. It is hard to go past the Redskins in this game as the Rams do not really posses a defence that is capable of holding him or their offence.

TAB Sportsbet = Redskins $1.50 Rams $2.50
Centrebet = Redskins $1.50 Rams $2.65
Sportsbet = Redskins $1.48 Rams $2.73
_______

Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers
Two undefeated sides meet here in what should be an interesting clash between two young sides that are trying to be a force to be reckoned with. Of course, the 49ers are there already and they only supported this theory by knocking the Packers off in Week 1. Detroit on the other hand were not as lucky as they battle hard to get a win over a weaker Rams side. This win also came with 10 seconds remaining in the game and it was Stafford's TD for the match. He threw for 355 yards but also produced 3 INT's. This will immediately light up the face of any 49er fan as the win over the Packers came on the back of a very good defensive effort. If they can pressure Stafford early they can get some turnovers on defence and subsequently, some ball in good field position. This is where QB Alex Smith can step in and return to the form he displayed late last season. The 49ers will also rely heavily on their running game to set up a good foundation for them. The 49ers are a genuine threat for the title and should get a solid win here.

TAB Sportsbet = Lions $3.50 49ers $1.28
Centrebet = Lions $3.65 49ers $1.30
Sportsbet = Lions $3.66 49ers $1.30
_______

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
The Jaguars have all sorts of problems going on within their team at the moment and things are only going to get worse before they get better. They showed some promise in an OT loss to the Vikings but were out gunned by a stronger side and couldn't finish off when it mattered most. Some progress has been made from last season into this one but their is still plenty of work to be done. The Texans are also a side that has room to improve after looking impressive at times during their win over the Dolphins. Their offence does rely heavily on the running game but has Schaub their to throw the crucial pass. He was limited in his performance but can give plenty of hope to Texans fans. At the end of the day, they are playing one of their division rivals and should aim to extend their winning streak and go top of their division. I will be hoping that this comes true and backing them to perform in front of their home fans.

TAB Sportsbet = Jaguars $3.50 Texans $1.28
Centrebet = Jaguars $3.45 Texans $1.33
Sportsbet = Jaguars $3.70 Texans $1.30
_______


Good luck!

Scooby

Thursday 13 September 2012

NRL Finals Week 2 South Sydney Rabbitohs v Canberra Raiders Preview

Amongst the hype of the Rabbitohs finishing within the Top 4 and making their first finals series since 2007, many people (including myself) overlooked the enormity of their task heading into Week 1 of the Finals. They had to travel down to Melbourne and do something that they had never achieved in previous years, win at AAMI Stadium. It was a task that seemed reachable...until the 20th minute at least. They have a young side and it was evident that majority of their players were playing on emotion rather than the game plan and structure that had gotten them this far already. In the end, they were comprehensively beaten and walked away from that game with their tails between their legs as the Storm coasted into Week 3 of the Finals. Looking back at that game, they only have themselves to blame. They gave away silly penalties which allowed the Storm to get out of trouble with ease and then they were unable to mount any serious pressure when they were down the attacking end of the field due to decisions made in attack. Although this form can be a little misleading. The Storm scored two tries off set plays at scrums which lead to poor defensive reads and perhaps on another day, they would be able to defend such tries. Nevertheless, their attack was still missing and it is alarming considering the ease at which they mounted points during some games this season. It does say a lot about the quality of side that the Storm is and how they can force you into making mistakes. The Rabbitohs will be looking to resurrect their form in this game as they face a Raiders side that is riding high on confidence after an impressive finish to the season and a home semi final win over the Sharks. The emphatic fashion of the victory was impressive as they were able to pile on a lot of points against a Sharks side that is generally very strong in defence. The thing is though, they were good in defence and were hitting the Raiders hard in defence early. They also managed to get the Sharks off their game plan through a few "late" hits to some key players. The Sharks kept coming but towards the 60th minute, the Raiders kicked into another gear and left the Sharks pondering a season that "could have been". All roads now lead to this clash and rugby league fans around the league will definitely be tuning into this game because of the possibilites and unknowns of just what this game is capable of. It is sure to make some great football. Both sides are not without their changes though this week and whilst the Rabbitohs will be hoping to change their regular play, the Raiders will be hoping to change the opinion of people that has them considered as a genuine title threat.


South Sydney Rabbitohs

As stated above, the Rabbitohs definitely struggled with their performance last week. Perhaps out of their depth down in Melbourne, it could have clicked them into gear and had their minds refocused on the job. The job is simple to understand, play mistake free football, get a win and move onto Week 3 to face the Bulldogs. But things will be changed around a bit this week as an injury to Matt King has forced a reshuffle of the back line. Andrew Everingham moves into the centres and his vacant wing spot is taken by Justin Hunt. Hunt was good in the limited exposure that he had throughout the year but semi final football will certainly have him nervous. Shaun Corrigan has been called into the side on the extended bench so perhaps coach Michael Maguire is still unsure of the final make up of his side. The pack remains the same for the Rabbitohs and that is where they were comprehensively beaten and it is surprising considering the names within this side. The Storm showed that a pack that can dominate the ruck will always win the game. Smith lead from the front and Souths found themselves giving away silly penalties in crucial positions (i.e. 3rd-5th tackle and in the Storms half). But they must put all of this behind them now and move forward into this game. The Raiders posses a good pack also and they will not want to give them any room to move. Interestingly, Nathan Peats has been named at hooker and Issac Luke is on the bench. Peats started the game last week but Luke came onto the field to boost the speed of the Rabbitohs play. Maybe Maguire will also throw a "curve ball" in this crucial position. No doubt about it, Peats is developing into a strong player but they are a better side with Luke on the field. Their halves were limited against the Storm and that was due to poor forward play. Look for the halves to have more room to move if the big Souths forwards can dominate this game early.


Canberra Raiders

The Raiders continue to develop their play each week that has people taking notice of their potential and ability to beat sides who have played well all season. Still seeing the Raiders playing at this point in the season though, you cannot help but think they are pretenders as some of their play this season was borderline woeful. But they are here now and they will take each game on its merits. Unfortunately they suffered a blow in their win over the Sharks with solid centre and goal kicker, Jarrod Crocker, ruled out for the remainder of the season with a leg injury. It does leave a whole out wide in defence and attack but David Furner has patched things up with back rower-come-centre Joel Thompson. Thompson is no stranger to playing out wide and will definitely be a good aquisition in defence for them. Joe Picker comes from the bench to fill the vacant spot in the back row. The new face on the bench is Jack Wrighton and he is there along with the 3 extra players who were dropped off prior to kick off last week. The Raiders must nullify the Rabbitohs pack early and they certainly have the quality up fron to do so. Not only that, they can create plenty of space for their outside backs. The Raides backs have proved that they can finish tries when needed and the Rabbitohs will want to make sure that this doesn't happen too often. The more confidence they have, the more dangerous they become. 


Recent History

Overall = Rabbitohs 18 - Raiders 27
Last 5 games = Rabbitohs 3 - Raiders 2
At ANZ Stadium = Rabbitohs 2 - Raiders 3


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Rabbitohs $1.43 Raiders $2.90
Centrebet = Rabbitohs $1.42 Raiders $2.95
Sportsbet = Rabbitohs $1.42 Raiders $2.95
Betfair = Rabbitohs $1.46 Raiders $3.10


Verdict

The Rabbitohs were overawed last week and it showed through their performance. The best thing heading into this game is that those nerves should now have settled and they should focus on sticking to their game plan. The Raiders will have something to say about the result though and will be using their confidence to surprise the Rabbitohs and have them moving around the field. All things considered, it is hard to go past the Rabbitohs when you compare the two sides. Yes the Raiders have a mountain of momentum in their favor but the Rabbitohs have a better pack of forwards that is complimented well by a halves pairing that can fire on their day. Then they have the superstar in Inglis. He was quiet against the Storm and will be looking to single handedly get the Rabbitohs into Week 3 with a big performance. I do expect this game to be a high scoring contest as both sides can score points but it should be the Rabbitohs who prevail at the end of the day.


Suggested Bet

Rabbitohs -6.5 @ $1.80

Raiding the fortress = Rabbitohs 13+ @ $2.75 - If the Rabbitohs get on a role, they could very well get away from the Raiders and look to build momentum into Week 3. This could be crucial as the Raiders have been playing sudden death football for so long now that they could tire late in this game.

Queenslandeeer = First Try Scorer Greg Inglis ($8) and/or Dave Taylor ($17) - Both players have been playing well this season but being representive players, they will have to lift. A good way to lift would be to lead the way for the Rabbitohs and get over the line first. They're always dangerous when they are running close to the line.


Good luck!

Scooby

Wednesday 12 September 2012

NRL Finals Week 2 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles v North Queensland Cowboys Preview

Finals football is definitely heating up this week as two teams were eliminate from the competition after suffering losses away from their home ground. There was a real highlight on how important home ground advantage can be when the pressure is on as all 4 teams that were playing at home, won. Now though, home field advantage is taken away and the "city" takes priority for the two clashes that lie ahead. Where ever this game is played though, it is sure to be a cracker. The Sea Eagles were out muscled by a Bulldogs side that showed plenty of belief within themselves and they took the fight to them early. It was a bruising encounter that left a few players worse for wear the next day. The Sea Eagles will look to regroup and aim to get things back on track here. It is amazing how quickly their fortunes have changed as well. A few weeks ago, they were the side to beat with a quality roster and a halves pairing dominating games. Now they are exposed to a few injuries and they are under the pump. As the Sea Eagles appear to be struggling, the Cowboys seem to be growing with each performance. They knocked out the Broncos on Saturday night in dominating fashion and they were able to get a few late points. This all came after a Broncos comeback was looming large. But the class of the Cowboys prevailed and they moved onto Week 2. There were a lot of positives to come out of that performance and of course, Thurston and Bowen were in fantastic form. Aside from this, their forwards again stepped up to the mark and made a statement to the other sides within the competition that they are to be recognised. They are now a side which people are thinking can take out the competition. Either way, this is going to be a thrilling contest and one side will be dropping out of contention and another will be pushing onto Week 3 to face the Storm. Tension will be high and excitement is not hidden. Get on board the NRL "Show Train" where dreams are made and hopes are dashed. Punters should also jump on board as plenty of money is there to be won.



Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

The Sea Eagles are not without their troubles heading into this clash. It was mentioned in last weeks preview that the Sea Eagles definitely will struggle to cover a few players in key positions should they succumb to injury or suspension. This week, they have to deal with both. Centre Steve Matai has been ruled out of this game through suspension after a high shot on Bulldogs winger Sam Perrett and perhaps he can consider himself lucky that the suspension handed down was not more serve.  His spot in the centres is taken by Dean Whare who shifts from the wing and Michael Oldfield is the new face in the team. There is also a lot of speculation surrounding the fitness of Jamie Lyon. He only lasted 23 minutes in the loss to the Bulldogs and appears to be racing the clock to get his calf injury right for this game. He has been named and will be given right up until kick off to prove his fitness, but it would be extremely surprising to see him take the field. There is no clear indication as to who will be the player to take his position either. They have named an extended bench of 5, so perhaps Jamie Buhrer will come off the bench and into the centres and no player will be left out. It all remains unseen, but as soon as news comes to hand, it will be posted on my twitter feed. The Sea Eagles also have to worry about getting some pride back into their forwards. Often feared and proven as a factor behind their success, they were well and truly beaten by the Bulldogs pack. It was an "old fashion battle" between the two sides and the Sea Eagles will not want the same thing to happen hear. If it does, their superstar halves will struggle to impact the game playing behind a beaten pack. Look for improved performances from Watmough, Williams and Stewart, one of the best back row combinations in the competition. The intensity set by them early will just have to be maintained right up until the end.

North Queensland Cowboys
While the Cowboys did only beat a Broncos team that was on a slide, they still did it through some fantastic football. This included the first hat-trick in his short career to halfback Michael Morgan. They were firing on all cylinders and as mentioned above, their forwards were tough for the Broncos players to handle. This meant that they were continually rolling over the advantage line and had the Broncos on the back foot. Room was created for Thurston and Bowen and the outside backs were delivered quality ball with plenty of room to move. It all make for some great football but they were also solid in defence. More often than not, it will be defence that wins sides very close games at this point of the season. The Cowboys are still improving theirs each week and hopefully for them, it continues in this game. They need to control the ruck and dominate the Sea Eagles in the middle of the field. Again, this will fall on the shoulders of the forwards. As for their side this week, hooker Aaron Payne has been named but appears to be in a lot of doubt as he only played 10 minutes in the game against the Broncos. That meant exciting young gun James Segeyaro came onto the field and played 70 minutes. This was a great replacement for Payne and he played out of his skin. Like Lyon, Payne will be given right up until kick off to prove his fitness but if he is to withdraw, the Cowboys have named an extended bench of 6 to cover. This could mean that Segeyaro is promoted to the starting side and Anthony Mitchell becomes the utility player on the bench. That issue will have a small impact on the sides performance and they are definitely boosted by an unchanged lineup apart.


Recent History

Overall = Sea Eagles 12 - Cowboys 7
Last 5 games = Sea Eagles 4 - Cowboys 1
At Allianz Stadium = Sea Eagles 2 - Cowboys 0


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Sea Eagles $1.95 Cowboys $1.88
Centrebet = Sea Eagles $2.00 Cowboys $1.85
Sportsbet = Sea Eagles $1.90 Cowboys $1.94
Betfair = Sea Eagles $2.02 Cowboys $1.96


Verdict

You can see from above, things are very tough to pick. These two sides both have their positives and people are struggling to tip a clear winner. No doubt if Manly were at full strength, they would be clear favorites for this match. But they're not and momentum is beginning to grow for the Cowboys. In terms of picking a winner, it is hard to go past the Cowboys. Do so cautiously though as one step out of their recent, consistent play and things could become ugly. Banking on that not happening and the Cowboys playing good football, they will get a very tough win over the Sea Eagles. Last week, the Sea Eagles again struggled to score points in the second half. This is something which has been overlooked for some time now and it is beginning to catch up on them. With their centres below strength, the Cowboys are stronger around the park. They also have a better bench than the Sea Eagles to call upon. I am not writing them off completely because this game could go down to the final play, I am just picking the Cowboys to get the win and progress towards facing Melbourne. 


Suggested Bet

Cowboys @ $1.96

Small margin of victory = Cowboys 1-12 @ $2.90 OR (If you're feeling game) Cowboys 1-6 @ $5.50 - I've listed two options here and the reason is simple...I believe that the Cowboys will win the game but it will be a close game. If you want some value then the second option is for you but also consider a "safer" bet and allow for a maximum of 12 points.

Centretwon = First try scorer Brent Tate ($13) and/or Kane Linnett ($11) - The Sea Eagles are playing "weak" out wide with their first choice centres missing. Their replacements will have their work cut out for them here trying to hold these two players in pressure situations.


Good luck!

Scooby