Most Rugby League fans have been waiting for this game since the siren went in Origin 1 after it was declared a terrible decision cost NSW the victory. Well after much debate over this issue I think it is best that most people just move past this issue and look forward to what should be a great game of Rugby League. For the record, the rules state that it was a try, but to the naked eye (and a rugby league fan), it didn't look like a try. Nonetheless, that is all that needs to be said on the issue. If NSW were to win the game, they would have to be the better team for the entire game. Not just parts of it. Crucial mistakes did cost them, as did a lack of pressure on the QLD forwards up the middle throughout the entire game. NSW looked at their best early on when they were working over the QLD forwards in the middle of the field. It is the first time in a number of years that the QLD has look tired in defence and had NSW converted their early pressure into points, then we could very well be talking up a NSW series victory in this game. I'm sure that is how coach Ricky Stuart will be aiming to play this game. As for the Maroons, they are a class team. They have a group of players that know how to win with class. They were pressured at times by the NSW team but hung in their long enough to wreak havoc once they gained a decent amount of possession. Similar to my first preview, I will just be providing a few guides for you to make up your mind on what you would like to take and what takes your fancy. Hopefully they help!
First Try Scorers = For NSW, I cannot go past Robbie Farrah ($21), Todd Carney ($15) or Mitchell Pearce ($26). All are great players who like to play through the middle of the field. Now I understand that NSW's first try in game 1 was Uate on the right hand side of the field off a kick, but this is just a recommendation. I remain that this is the way to go. Personally, to narrow the three NSW players down I would either go Carney or Farrah. Farrah almost got one out of hooker close to the line in game 1 and Carney has to come out with a point to prove after being quiet in Origin 1. I won't buy into the rubbish that he isn't up to the occasion. Give him another chance and lets see how he goes in this one. He will also look to get involved in this game earlier than he did the last. As far as QLD go, I think there is still value in either Darius Boyd ($11) or Brent Tate ($13) to score the first try. Uate was found wanting out wide twice (lead to two QLD tries) and Jennings and Hayne were also caught out several times coming off the wing to make a tackle. I also like the fact that Dave Taylor ($26) will be starting the game and no doubt he will be running out wide at Jennings with a full head of steam up, so keep him in mind also.
Margin Double = I've said it before and I'll say it again, when I believe that Origin will be a close game, I take the first try scorer/margin double. Why not? Take two first try scorers for either team and then both teams 1-12 within it.
Farrah/NSW 1-12 ($86) Farrah/QLD 1-12 ($112)
Carney/NSW 1-12 ($31) Carney/QLD 1-12 ($41)
Boyd/NSW 1-12 ($31) Boyd/QLD 1-12 ($26)
Tate/NSW 1-12 ($41) Tate/QLD 1-12 ($31)
Taylor/NSW 1-12 ($61) Taylor/QLD 1-12 ($46)
Halftime/Fulltime Double = Lets look at this one practically. NSW will have to lead from start to finish...well that's what I said in the first game if they were to win, but now I am beginning to think that in wet and damp conditions that they can perhaps claw their way back from a small deficit. If this is going to be a close game and a tough contest like everyone is suggesting then why not take Draw/NSW($13) or Draw/QLD ($15)?
Winning Margin = I've said it all the way through, I believe that this game will be a very close game. It is very damp and wet conditions and either team 1-6 points is paying $5.75. Not a bad idea to chuck that into a multi which would include either NBA, Socceroos or NHL...or all 4 altogether!
Line/OverUnder Double = Well if I have suggested that this game will be a close one, then why not take the team you think will win the match +1.5/under 35.5? For NSW its paying $3 and QLD $3.50. Again, this could be another great bet that you chuck into a multi of your choice.
Keep it a mystery... = I am a big believer in putting a few mystery "pick-the-score" tickets on. They only cost $1 to put on and does leave things exciting all the way until the end. I definitely must say that you must not look at the tickets until the end of the match, but then again everyone is different. If you want to check them out before the game just to know what you are cheering for, then by all means, go ahead.
I hope that this preview has been helpful and does win you some money. If anything else, make sure you enjoy the game for what it is. It is a great spectacle with the best players going around and battling it out!
Good luck!
Scooby
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