Friday 29 June 2012

NRL Round 17 South Sydney Rabbitohs v Penrith Panthers Preview

The Sunday "match-of-the-day" is a clash that has two teams with a lot of potential, but very different seasons thus far. Whilst the Rabbitohs has their fans daring to dream of their team featuring in September, the Panthers have definitely struggled and been dragged through a host of controversies this season. All have been off the field (but with talk about who will take part on it) but apparently this is a "rebuilding" phase for the Panthers. Their season is all but gone for 2012 so perhaps the Panthers should refocus their thoughts now towards 2013. In the meantime they can hold hope of perhaps disrupting the top 8 and steal a vital two points of teams who need it most. OH, and also they can focus on not winning the wooden spoon! Souths on the other hand, will want these two points. They don't have any more byes so it is a packed schedule for them on their run home. They don't exactly have the hardest schedule ahead but they still need to learn to play for the entire 80 minutes (See Round 17 Power Rankings). If they don't, they will not last long at the business end of the season. It is pleasing for Rabbitohs fans to note that they still have a host of stars to return from injury.

South Sydney Rabbitohs
Because the QLD side have named just about 50% of the people of QLD, it is suggested that if Dave Taylor isn't required for SOO on Wednesday, he may be released to play for the Rabbitohs in this clash. Stay tuned for that one! There is talk that he will be dropped but QLD's loss is the Rabbitohs gain. If he is dropped, he should be out to play the game of his life and show Mal Meniga what he will be missing in Wednesday match. His form has definitely come under scrutiny in recent weeks and now is his chance to be a leader of the Rabbitohs pack. Minus Taylor and Inglis, there is a number of changes for this weeks lineup. Nathan Merritt moves to fullback and Shaune Corrigan comes into the centres and Andrew Everingham pushes back out to the wing. Ben Lowe comes into the starting team  from the bench for Taylor and George Burgess takes a spot on the bench. Merritt was once touted as the man to replace Wesser for the 2012 season at the back, but after Inglis was shifted there he finds himself out on the wing on a regular basis. He is no Inglis, but they certainly do not miss much having him at the back for them.

Penrith Panthers
The Panthers were very hard done by last week in their golden point loss to the Eels. They were unlucky not to get a penalty when a player was held up and then there was a play-the-ball from Hayne in the lead up to the winning field goal that could've been pulled up. But in saying that, they had 80 minutes to win the match and put away the Eels. They lead 18-6 with 22 minutes remaining and should not have allowed Parramatta back into the game. This week there is a slightly different team that will take the field. Luke Lewis, Tim Grant and Micheal Jennings are away on SOO duty. Brad Tighe comes into the centres, while Ryan Simpkins will start at lock and Nigel Plum will start up front. Tighe was the player that replaced Jennings when he was dropped to NSW Cup. Josh Mansour (was named last week but did not play) is not named this week and David Simmons (who was the late inclusion for Mansour) is on the wing. Luke Walsh has succumbed to a shoulder injury and the he is replaced by Blake Austin in the halves, with Austin playing at 5/8 and Harry Siejka (last weeks 5/8) named at half. Coming onto the bench to fill the vacant spots are Arana Taumata, Matt Robinson, Danny Galea and Mitch Achurch. It is quite a young havles combination for the Panthers so Souths should look to pressure this area of their attack (and defence).

Recent History
Overall = Rabbitohs 39 - Draw 1 - Panthers 32
Last 5 games = Rabbitohs 2 - Panthers 3
At ANZ Stadium = Rabbitohs 4 - Panthers 0

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Rabbitohs $1.20 Panthers $4.75
Centrebet = Rabbitohs $1.22 Panthers $4.50
Sportsbet = Rabbitohs $1.20 Panthers $4.80


Verdict
It would take a very brave person to back the Panthers in this game. Yes, the Rabbitohs are missing a few players to SOO duty and injury, but they should still be too strong for the Panthers here. This is a game that they must win to let the rest of the competition know that they are a force to be reckoned with this season. They will be boosted by the late inclusion of Dave Taylor and I am also told that Sam Burgess is some chance of playing also. That would be great news for Rabbitohs fans. In saying that, Penrith will put in a more spirited effort then they did last week. Coach Cleary is safe for now, but their fans will continue to become frustrated if their team is not performing.

Suggested Bet
Rabbitohs @ $1.22 (with Centrebet)


Try scoring bet = Dave Taylor 1st and/or Last @ $17 - He has been sent back from the QLD camp and spoke about how he has a point to prove. He is definitely a ball hog close to the line and will want to make up for being dropped.


Winning Margin = Rabbitohs 13-18 @ $4.50 - The Rabbits are very short in this game 19+, but they have the unfortunate habit of not playing for the entire 80 minutes. No doubt, this clash could be the same and Penrith could score some late points. They should win 19+, but this seems more realistic. 


Good luck!
Scooby
@scoobystips

Thursday 28 June 2012

NRL Round 17 NZ Warriors v North Queensland Cowboys Preview

The Warriors return to NRL action after a bye by hosting the Cowboys at their home ground. It would have been a much needed rest for the Warriors after a tough loss to the Sharks in Round 15. It is now getting to the stage of the season where one loss for the Warriors means that they are in even more danger of missing the Top 8. They are currently in 9th place and are two points away from the Tigers who are in 8th (they also have a bye in hand so make it 4 points behind). They can only take care of what happens in their games and one way to ensure their survival into September is to win matches consistently. Consistency is definitely something the Warriors lack and they must address this if their season is to go any further (just check out the Round 17 Power Rankings). The Cowboys are also another team that has lacked consistency but do sit 5th on the table on 20 points with their second bye still to come (in Round 18). In the Cowboys remaining 8 games they play 5 teams that are currently in the Top 8 and two other teams are the Dragons and the Warriors (yes again in Round 23!). So this game now becomes a very important one. They can go into the bye week firmly in the 8 or they can wait until they get their two points next week and then be out the back end of the 8. No SOO stars will also make it very difficult for the Cowboys. In saying that, news is that Matt Bowen has been released by QLD to play this weekends game. Luckily, the Warriors don't have a single player away on representative duty.

NZ Warriors
While the Warriors enjoyed a week off, it was still not enough time for winger Manu Vatuvei to recover from an injury for this clash. His spot is taken on the wing by Glenn Fisiiahi and that change is the only one to their back line. The Warriors also welcome back tough hooker, Nathan Friend from a broken jaw and he is thrown straight into the starting team. Lewis Brown who was filling in for him now moves back to the second row which pushes Elijah Taylor back to lock and regular lock, Feleti Mateo, back to the bench. There is also a swap between a front rower and an interchange player with Sione Lousi moving back to the bench and Russell Packer starting up front. The Warriors have also named an extended bench, with Steve Rapira the man most likely to miss out. It is an interesting side that coach Brian McClennan has gone with here. He has a very powerful bench that has fantastic depth. This should ensure that when these players come onto the field, there is no intensity lost from the starting forwards departure. He has also found a way of continually inspiring dynamic lock Mateo to reach his best in each game. Sometimes this season he has started, while others he has come off the bench, a tactic which allows Mateo to come into the game and create second phase play for the Warriors when he wants to.

North Queensland Cowboys
Matt Bowen was always named for the Cowboys, so it is good news that he has now been offically released for this game. As far as SOO players go, the Cowboys ranked second in terms of players out on SOO duty. The Broncos have 6 away for this clash while the Cowboys have 4 (would've been 5 had Bowen played). So this game becomes a test of their depth at the club, but the shear volume and quality of player that is missing from their side has people already writing them off. Antonio Winterstein moves from the wing to the centres to cover for Tate while Kalifa Faifai Loa takes a spot on the wing. Michael Morgan, a bench player against the Raiders, comes into 5/8 for Thurston. In the forwards, the Cowboys lose their starting front rowers in James Tamou and Matt Scott (Scott didn't play last week after the passing of his mother). Ashton Sims, who is back from suspension, starts up front and is joined by bench player Ricky Thorby. The Cowboys have also named an extended bench that features new inclusions, Joel Riethmuller and Mosese Pangai, as well as Scott's replacement in the last game, Corey Patterson.

Recent History
Overall = Warriors 15 - Cowboys 14
Last 5 games = Warriors 3 - Cowboys 2
At Mt Smart Stadium = Warriors 11 - Cowboys 5

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Warriors $1.18 Cowboys $5.00
Centrebet = Warriors $1.18 Cowboys $5.15
Sportsbet = Warriors $1.20 Cowboys $4.75

Verdict
Looking at the two teams, it appears as though the Warriors will be too strong for their weakened opponents. The Cowboys are missing 4 players to SOO duty whilst the Warriors are virtually at full strength. They also have the added advantage of a very strong bench to come into the game and continue to dominate the Cowboys forwards. This isn't saying the Cowboys are going to lie down easily. They will be tough. But there is always the worry of which Warriors team should show up for this game. As stated above, they virtually have to win 80-90% of their remaining games if they want to make the Top 8. So if they cannot switch on for this game, then they do no deserve to feature in September.

Suggested Bet
Warriors 13+ @ $1.70


Super line = Warriors 19+ @ $2.30 - If you want a little more value in your bet and think that the Warriors will completely dominate the Cowboys, then go for a bigger margin.


Can they stop him? = Konrad Hurrell 1st and/or Last Try @ $11 - He is an extremely damaging ball runner that is hard to stop. Players who have marked up against him have suggested that he is one of the toughest players to tackle. With weakened centres, then perhaps he will find his way to the try line. I am inclined to go 1st try over last but will definitely be investing in both.


Good luck!
Scooby
@scoobystips 

NRL Round 17 Parramatta Eels v Newcastle Knights Preview

Only one game this Saturday night due to the reduced round for SOO. But for the second Saturday night in a row we will see a battle against two teams who are ranked at the wrong end of the table. Interestingly, both are last start winners and will be look to salvage another two points to keep the harsh critics off their back for another week. The pressure is also on the coaches, but in a very different way. Stephen Kearny is on very thin ice and each win makes it more likely that he will see out the season and perhaps survive the off season as well. On the other hand, Wayne Bennett is the coach with a great winning record who is seemingly safe and rebuilding a club to be very dangerous in years to come, this just is a year they have to go through in order to get results in the future. At some point though, responsibility has to fall on the players. There was a marked improvement in both teams on the weekend in terms of their application and overall effort on the field. The Knights were obviously more impressive after they scored 38 unanswered points against a very good attacking team in the Tigers. It should be interesting to see which team wants it more this week and perhaps they are playing to see which team will move closer to winning the dreaded wooden spoon.

Parramatta Eels
The Eels lose fullback Jarryd Hayne to SOO and Luke Burt moves to fill that position on the field. Ryan Morgan moves from the centres to the wing and the Eels welcome back representative centre Willie Tonga to their lineup. This is a big boost for their team as he offers plenty in both attack and defence for the Eels. They also welcome back Reni Maitua from suspension, he is named on an extended bench. Also named on the bench (18th man last week) is Taniela Lasalo, no doubt he may be the player that misses out again this week. Ben Roberts has also not been named (perhaps dropped as there has been minimal mention of injury) and his place is taken by Luke Kelly. Kelly was a feature in the clubs last game so the NRL isn't too new to him. As mentioned earlier, this could be a battle for the wooden spoon and that is the last thing that the Eels want with long serving clubman Nathan Hindmarsh and Luke Burt both retiring at the end of this season. These two players definitely deserve to go out with some dignity and their teammates should be doing everything possible to avoid this situation. If that isn't added incentive to win, then saving "loved" coach Kearny surely is. Half Chris Sandow must also aim to get move involved in the game and perhaps it is a good thing that Hayne is out because Sandow has played his best footy this season when he has dominated and controlled the team, something that Hayne doesn't always allow as he likes to step in at first receiver.

Newcastle Knights
There would have been a big sigh of relief when the Knights kicked back after being down 14-nil. For a period there, it looked like it could have gotten really ugly for the Knights but full credit to them. The Tigers probably weren't at their best, but you can only play what is infront of you. This week, the Knights are only missing Darius Boyd to SOO duty. Coming into the side to replace him at fullback is Peter Mata'utia. There is also another omission that wouldn't be as noticable and that is Chris Adams has not been named and 18th man from the Tigers clash, Zane Tetevano is named on an extended bench Kevin Naiqama is also present on the bench and will probably be the player that is left out of the lineup. Having a core group of players that are backing up since there last win is definitely significant for the Knights and they will look to build on the momentum that the win has given them. The Knights forwards were beginning to live up to their potential, none more so than Willie Mason. Although he is paid considerably less than Kade Snowden, there is no doubt that Mason is playing well above and beyond what he is paid. Their defence at times against the Tigers had certain ball runners looking around and forced the Tigers into crucial mistakes when bringing the ball out of trouble. They must play with the same level of conviction this week.

Recent History
Overall = Eels 19 - Draw 1 - Knights 22
Last 5 games = Eels 2 - Knights 3
At Parramatta Stadium = Eels 13 - Knights 5


Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Eels $2.10 Knights $1.75
Centrebet = Eels $2.04 Knights $1.81
Sportsbet = Eels $2.05 Knights $1.80

Verdict
This is a tough choice here. Both teams have under performed this season and are definitely in need of a win here. Of course, both are also last start winners and both have their fullback away on SOO duty. Pride is again on the line for these teams so the winner is going to be the team that wants it more (obviously!). But you need to weight up the last start performances and their season to date. While the Knights have been poor in parts, they have also put in some decent performances. Parramatta on the other hand, have been very poor and diabolical this season. On that, you have to go the Knights. They also have a far superior coach on their side that will be using all of his knowledge of how to win without your SOO players. The Eels are at home but the Knights have a better team with a better coach in this clash.
Suggested Bet
Knights @ $1.81 (with Centrebet)


To Prove a Point! = Akuila Uate 1st Try ($7) and/or Last Try ($7) - He was dropped at the beginning of this week and the message from Ricky Stuart was that he was very positive when he heard the news. If he is looking to get back into the team then why not prove a point by scoring some?


Margin = Knights 1-12 @ $3 - It should be a close game due to the Knights poor record at Parramatta stadium so why not take them to win 1 - 12? There is plenty of value in this.


Good luck!
Scooby
@scoobystips

Wednesday 27 June 2012

NRL Round 17 Brisbane Broncos v Cronulla Sharks Preview

Welcome to Suncorp Stadium, the home of the gallant Brisbane Broncos and the passionate QLD Maroons. Come Wednesday next week, there will be a sea of Maroon there ranting and raving to see some Blues blood spilt on the turf. But first, an NRL clash between the Broncos and the Cronulla Sharks will wet the palet of fans hanging out until Wednesday. Both teams are going to be missing some key players in their lineup due to SOO but I've said it time and time again, that is part and parcale with the NRL and a clubs depth must be tested. NSW and QLD have both named extended squads to cover for injuries and perhaps those players that will be missing SOO or being named as 18th, 19th and 20th man may be released to play their club games. But I would not count on that happening. You will also hear the age old argument that SOO should be played on a stand alone weekend, but people seem to adapt quiet well regardless, so why the need for change? As the representative season will conclude after SOO, every team in the NRL will refocus on their run home towards September. This game could be very critical to the winner as a vital two points minus their representative stars. But to the loser, they may be left ruing this missed chance and have to play sudden death football from week 1 of the finals or, dare I say, miss the finals altogether. So before SOO begins, lets enjoy a great round of NRL action.

Brisbane Broncos
You will need to have a rest after reading out all the players that are missing for the Broncos. This is a very proud club that has always boasted a mountain of depth in the junior ranks so perhaps the players coming into the lineup are players that we may see on a regular basis in a few years time. In the backs, the Broncos are just missing Justin Hodges. As a result, Dale Copely moves from the wing into the centres and Lachlan Maranta comes into fill Copely's boots on the wing. In the forwards, Ben Hannant, Sam Thaiday, Corey Parker, Ben Te'o, Petro Civoniceva and Matt Gillett are all drawn away for SOO duty. Hannatt was missing from the Broncos lineup last week as a late withdrawal but Parker was a late inclusion. Josh McGuire and Mitchell Dodds move into the front row, Brendon Gibb and Dunamis Lui come into the backrow to partner Alex Glenn, with Lui to wear 13. The Broncos have named an extended bench going to this game so along with Ben Hunt, Aaron Whitchurch, Jarrod Wallace, Nick Slyney and Kurt Baptiste are present. Many of the young Broncos coming into the lineup have tasted NRL in the past and feature heavily in the clubs Toyota Cup program or regularly in the Intrust Super Cup (QLD Cup). It must also be pointed out, that after this week, the Broncos will enjoy a week off. A win going into their second bye would certainly have the Broncos firmly cemented into the Top 8. After that, they have a fairly tough run home but do have a easier games against lowly ranked teams.

Cronulla Sharks
The Sharks will definitely be missing there two SOO stars but the holes left by them can be filled to some extent. The Sharks were without Gallen so perhaps another game without him this season wouldn't cause too much of a disruption for them. Wade Graham is named to start at lock and his play this season has been great for the Sharks. A one time 5/8, he is no doubt better suited to playing at lock. Chad Townsend comes into the lineup to replace Carney. The Sharks have also named an extended bench that now include Tyson Frizell and Sam Tagataese, no doubt one of those players will drop off. As a squad, the Sharks will definitely be refreshed after having the bye following a tough win against the Warriors. They do lose a lot with the players that they have away on representative duty but certainly have the depth to cover those positions. They also have an adequate run home with a mix of tough and easier opponents. Two points here against a weakened Broncos team would definitely come in handy should they drop a game in their run home.

Recent History
Overall = Broncos 30 - Sharks 16
Last 5 games = Broncos 5 - Sharks 0
At Suncorp Stadium = Broncos 11 - Sharks 1


Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Broncos $1.53 Sharks $2.50
Centrebet = Broncos $1.50 Sharks $2.60
Sportsbet = Broncos $1.55 Sharks $2.45

Verdict
I smell an upset. I am sick of saying it, but the Sharks team this team is not like the old Sharks teams of the late 2000's. At $2.45+ they are posing great value. They are only missing two SOO stars to the Broncos six, but the two players the Sharks are missing are very key to their success. But remember the Sharks beat the Storm this season without Gallen and then ground out a tough 1 point victory over the Warriors. Yes, both victories were at home and they have a terrible record at Suncorp Stadium...but please read the second sentence! The Broncos will put up a fight and will have a bumper crowd to play in front of but they are going to have to work overtime to win this game.

Suggested Bet
Sharks @ $2.60 (with Centrebet)


Bite off more = Sharks 1-12 @ $3.75 - If you think the Sharks can win this game, then why not try to grab a better price with a margin? The Broncos will not lye down easily but the Sharks should win a close game.


Still not convinced? = Sharks +5.5 @ $1.90 - If you are not convinced the Sharks can win the match and it is too hard to decide, then take the +5.5 points on offer.


Good luck!
Scooby
@scoobystips

Monday 25 June 2012

NRL Round 17 Power Rankings


NRL ROUND 17


Round 16 was a fantastic occasion that saw the NRL and its supporters celebrate the Women in League Round for 2012. It was a great occasion to see so many teams get behind the concept and celebrate the women in our lives that we love so dearly. But now our focus will be taken up by a certain game that will take place in Brisbane on Wednesday week...and what a game it promises to be. People must not forget though that once that game is all said and done, it is back to the NRL action as some teams push towards the finals and hopefully take their place in the first Sunday of October.


Bold = This week  ( ) = Last week

1 (3) Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs = Welcome to the top of the Power Rankings for the first time this season. Played extremely well against a tough Storm team. Despite the Storm not being at full strength, the Dogs still had great defence on their own line. No flying under the radar now for Des.


(1) Melbourne Storm = Went to Mackay to face the Dogs and were restricted by some fantastic play. Will definitely be happy that they have their second Bye this weekend. Despite not being at full strength, they are playing very well.

3 (7) Brisbane Broncos = Rocket back up to the right end of the Power Rankings after playing some good footy against the Bunnies. Were definitely lucky with a few tries that could have been called back for forward passes but you make your own luck. Tough game against the Sharks this weekend minus the SOO players.


(4) Cronulla Sharks = Had the Bye and a good week for their players to freshen up for their run home. No need to move up or down the rankings as they are tracking along nicely. Will be tested without their SOO stars this week. Not to worry, they play a Broncos team that is in the same boat this weekend.


5 (2) West Tigers = Looked great early getting to a 14-nil lead but then let the Knights score 38 unanswered points! Poor form against a team that is down the wrong end of the table. Did look tired towards the end and will be happy to have the Bye this weekend.


6 (8) North Queensland Cowboys = Great performance at home against the Raiders. Blew them off the park after conceding and early try. This is the attacking Cowboys team that we are accustomed to seeing and the team that has to remain around for them to finish this season strong.

(10) Manly Warringah Sea Eagles = Dominated the Roosters after slightly letting them back into the game early in the second half. A few injury worries around key players, but have their halves firing. When all fit, a very strong roster.


(5) Gold Coast Titans = Injuries to key players becoming a big problem for the Titans with another SOO star, Ashely Harrison ruled out with a broken toe. Have a Bye this weekend and will need to regroup and refresh to make a run for the Top 8.


(6) South Sydney Rabbitohs = Can consider themselves hard done by in a few of the Broncos tries. But then again, they failed to play for the full 80 minutes. When they relise how to do this, the competition better look out. They still are minus some massive names.

10 (11) St George Illawarra Dragons = Finally move up from number 11. They grounded out a tough win but have to start showing more to make the top teams worry about them. They are good in defence but struggle in attack. Face old enemy in the Raiders in Canberra, a must win game for their season.

11 (9) NZ Warriors = Didn't really deserve to drop a place but other teams played better when they had the Bye. Should beat the Cowboys minus their SOO players and then will set their sights on the run home. Need to play with consistency!

12 (16) Newcastle Knights = The Bye week might have helped the Knights players focus on what it means to represent such a proud area of Australia! Played some great footy but one more loss could spell the end to their season.


13 (15) Parramatta Eels = Ground out a tough win in golden point over the Panthers but it could all be too little, too late. Tough run home facing 6 Top 8 teams in 10 games. Will the coach be punted by the end of the season? Keep winning and he won't.

14 (12) Canberra Raiders = Same situation as a few other clubs, their coach is under a mountain of pressure and their star players are under performing. A few more losses and their season is over. Now have Josh Dugan sidelined for 4 weeks. Will it be the Raiders to hire SOO coach Ricky Stuart for 2013 after Origin 3? You heard it here first.

15 (13) Sydney Roosters = Such a talented roster that is not playing the footy that they are capable of. The Roosters PR managers salary should be doubled because the trouble at this club is very well hidden. Coach Brian Smith isn't winning any friends and players are asking for releases. Fingers on the panic button!

16 (14) Penrith Panthers = Coach Michael Cleary is surely desperate for answers. Each time Gus Gould is interviewed he says its a work in progress. Start focussing on 2013 fella's because this season is done and dusted. Must say they should have got a penalty in front of the posts in golden point, but thats football!

Sunday 24 June 2012

NRL Round 16 Newcastle Knights v Wests Tiges Preview

With the Women in League Round drawing to a close, all the talk will unfortunately surround Robbie Farrah and whether or not he will play following the passing of his mother last Sunday. It was a great mark of coach Tim Sheens after the match to put things into perspective and say that their loss to the Roosters was just a footy game and that they were only focussed on supporting Farrah and his family through this tough time. From me, my sincere condolences go out to Farrah and his family, as well as Cowboys forward Matt Scott who also lost his mother this week. This is just a game, but I am sure that both men are proud to be part of this great game and it is great to see the Rugby League community gather around these men and offer them every support possible. Onto the footy and all has been quiet in Newcastle since their loss to the Raiders and it has been good for them because it is quite evident that they are struggling this season. Coach Bennett definitely is finding it tough working with a roster which he has yet to have a major say in. But then again, former coach and assistant coach Rick Stone was able to reach the semis with almost an identical squad, all be it with a few less injuries. The Tigers will look to come out strong in this game to make up for their loss to the Roosters. Obviously players were not in the best frame of mind but they would still be very disappointed with the effort overall. With the NSW squad already picked and the QLD squad to be named tomorrow, attention will quickly shift to SOO. Lets see how much the Knights want this game. It is a make or break game for their season as it hangs in the balance. If they lose, they can start looking forward to an early holiday come September.

Newcastle Knights
Searching for a sudden spark, midseason transfer Dane Gagai retains his place in the starting team, as does Willie Mason. Mason has been great this season and other overpaid forwards at the club can definitely take a leaf out of his book, on the field anyway. Darius Boyd and Akuila Uate come back into the team after SOO. Interestingly, Uate has been left out of the SOO squad but he has been struggling for form this season both at club and international level. He will look to come out and prove that he should've been picked. For what it is worth, he was in danger of being dropped and I believe that this is definitely the write move for NSW on the flanks. Boyd will also have to lift his performance. At times this season, he has almost gone through game without being noticed or placing his stamp on the game. Bennett will look to have his team fighting tooth and nail for a win here. This is their season on the line right now.

Wests Tigers
With the obvious distraction leading up to last weeks loss to the Roosters and going into this match, after being named, it will seem as though Robbie Farrah will take his place in the lineup. The Tiger will be happy to welcome Farrah back as he is an integral part of their attacking play. Apart from that, the Tigers will field the same team that played the previous week, right down to the extended bench. Last weeks loss did end a 7 game winning streak for them and they will look to get things back on track here. A win here would firmly cement their place in the Top 8 and give them a great basis to return from after they have the Bye in Round 17.

Recent History
Overall = Knights 7 - Tigers 9
Last 5 games = Knights 1 - Tigers 4
At Hunter Stadium = Knights 4 - Tigers 4

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Knights $2.80 Tigers $1.45
Centrebet = Knights $2.65 Tigers $1.50
Sportsbet = Knights $2.70 Tigers $1.48

Verdict
It would take a very brave person to back the Knights in this game. They have been playing very poorly this season have had little to offer their fans with some terrible performances being displayed thus far. If one can cast their mind back earlier this season when they scored a win over the Bulldogs, it was a game whereby the Dogs were dragged down to the Knights level of play and were beaten there. It had touches of the Dragons about it. But fast forward the clock to Round 16 and the Knights are desperately fighting to keep their season alive. While they are infront of their home crowd and the Tigers will obviously still be affected by the passing of Farrah's mother, they will be out to prove a point and cement themselves inside the Top 8 of this competition and enjoy a Round 17 Bye.

Suggested Bet
Tigers @ $1.45

Margin = Tigers 1-12 @ $3 - If the Knights are fighting to keep their season alive, then one would suggest that they are going to push the Tigers in this game. Tigers have sometimes this season just one games that they should've won easily, suggesting that they only have to do what is needed for the victory.

Fairytale Try Scorer = Robbie Farrah 1st ($26) & Last ($26) - I hate to dwell on it, but everyone would love to see this happen regardless of whether you like Farrah or not. I'm not suggesting that he will be the selfish type of player that goes looking for this, but it would be great to see him cross once.

Good luck!
Scooby
@scoobystips

NRL Round 16 North Queensland Cowboys v Canberra Raiders Preview

The Harvey Norman Women in League Round continues on Saturday when the Cowboys host the Raiders at home. Two teams who have different records but who have both been able to play some great footy, whilst also being guilty of not living up to their potential. The Cowboys pulled off a great victory last week over the Broncos by grinding out a 12-0 win. Many would say that perhaps this is a game which will have the Cowboys focussed on finishing strong towards September and perhaps pushing teams in the semi's for a shot in the Grand Final. But that's if they can continue the level that we have seen in their good performances this year. On the other hand, you have the Raiders, a team that has definitely left their fans wondering what they must have done to deserve this type of season. Of course, injuries have not been kind to them, but that is part and parcle with the NRL competition. It is always percieved as a very tough trip up to Dairy Farmers Stadium to take on the Cowboys, but after a much needed week off with a Bye and a win over the Knights, perhaps the Raiders are back on track. If they want to make a run for the Top 8, then this is a game they must win. If they don't, then it would almost be too late for them in coming weeks. But first, they have Jonathan Thurston and the rest of the Cowboys team standing in their way.

North Queensland Cowboys
The Cowboys did have their full host of SOO players back for last weeks game, but will definitely welcome the return of prop James Tamou to the starting team. He is a very damaging ball runner and is proving very difficult to stop. The Raiders have a very big pack of forwards and he will relish the opportunity to draw first blood in this match. They lose Ashton Sims to suspension after taking a guilty plea for a high shot last week and will miss one game. They have named an extended bench with Corey Patterson and Scott Bolton fighting out the final spot. The Cowboys definitely have a more experienced roster and also have the added class of Thurston. One player who will look to involve himself as much as possible is fullback Matty Bowen, a player who is definitely being considered to replace Slater for QLD. It isn't as though he has been suggested for his experience this season, it's due to his fantastic level of play that he has always push towards, even in the absence of Thurston who is sometimes away on representative duties. He has become a real leader this season.

Canberra Raiders
After a last start win over the Knights, coach David Furner has retained Josh Dugan at 5/8. This is a very bold move considering he never looked comfortable playing there against the Tigers. But perhaps as time has gone on and he has more time at training to become accustomed to the position, the better he will go. Supercoach favorite Shaun Fensom is under some injury cloud coming into the game and may miss this game with a knee injury. It has been suggested that he could be a bolter for the NSW SOO team to replace Glenn Stewart, so no doubt he will be doing everything possible to play in this clash. The Raiders have also named an extended bench with one to be omitted. The week off would have been great for a struggling team to get out of the spotlight, but it was made even sweeter with a dominating display against the Knights at Hunter Stadium. They will again have to ensure that their forwards set a good platform early to give extra room to Dugan and their speedy outside backs to create something.

Recent History
Overall = Cowboys 11 - Raiders 18
Last 5 games = Cowboys 4 - Raiders 1
At Dairy Farmers Stadium = Cowboys 7 - Raiders 7

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Cowboys $1.30 Raiders $2.80
Centrebet = Cowboys $1.32 Raiders $2.85
Sportsbet = Cowboys $1.32 Raiders $2.85

Verdict
The Cowboys are a team that displays a lot more experience around the park then the Raiders. If they were to lose this game, I would consider it a massive upset. They have been playing very well in recent weeks and can ill afford to become side tracked with another loss with could have them losing touch with the top sides. It is hard to judge the effect that the win over Newcastle would have had on the young Raiders team, but playing at this ground ensures that it is always a tough game regardless of your form. The Raiders wil have to be on their game and play mistake-free football if they are to win this one.

Suggested Bet
Cowboys 13 + @ $2.90


Matty Bowen Magic = First Try @ $8 - He will be looking to press his claims so why not look for him to score the first or even the last try.


Winning Margin = Cowboys 19+ @ $3.25 - If you aren't convinced about the 13+ and believe that you can get more value, then try this betting option.


Good luck!
Scooby
@scoobystips

Thursday 21 June 2012

NRL Round 16 St George Illawarra Dragons v Gold Coast Titans Preview

The Titans are a team that have been climbing up the table as well as my Power Rankings in recent weeks. They are playing some very good football and perhaps finally living up to their hefty price tag that some of their players are getting. While on the other hand you have a Dragons team that is definitely struggling with an ageing team that is now dangerously falling back into the pre-Bennett Dragons team that was coached by Nathan Brown. But coach Steve Price definitely has his work cut out for him and has to make a few tough calls in coming weeks otherwise a tough call may be made on him. They need to get their act together very quickly otherwise they will lose touch with the Top 8 and becoming very desperate. They remain at Wollongong for this game where they lost to the Bulldogs 28-20 after being down by 28-10 late in the second half only 7 days ago. They have held teams down early but once their opposition relise that they can beat them with attacking football, they struggle to reply with any creativity in attack. I am sure that Dragons fans will be hoping that their fortunes turn around very soon.

St George Illawarra Dragons
Chase Stanley has been called into the team to replace his brother who was injured in last weeks game. This is only his second game of the year. Something which has been overlooked in this clash is also the return of Matt Prior from a five-game suspension. He was the first player to be sent of in the 2012 season and I am pretty sure he was lucky to get off with only a five match ban after almost taking Thurstons head off with his elbow. He is one of a host of Dragons players that will be pushing for selection in the NSW team in the absence of Glenn Stewart. Beau Scott is another player who has been talked about as a suitable replacement. The thing with Scott is that he has plenty of raw aggression and perhaps that could get him over the line. But first, he must look towards using that to get his club side the two points in this clash. The Dragons halves in Hornby and Soward also have to stand up and be counted in this game. They have been getting a decent platform to work off with Mitch Rein (and to a lesser extent Nathan Fien) playing well out of dummy half. They tend to look very narrow minded with their attack and almost out of idea's when they need to score points quickly. They definitely have some speed out wide as well as Morris at fullback, but unless the ball is getting out there on a regular basis, then it almost becomes irrelevant.
Gold Coast Titans
Just as the Titans are looking to push for a Top 8 spot, they suffer a whole host of injuries to key players. There are further more changes to the team that was named on Tuesday which will play havoc with their fluency in attack. Hooker Matt Srama who has been at his dynamic best this season is named to play even though he suffered a shoulder injury in last Sundays win. He only returned to the field as the Titans suffered an injury to Greg Bird as well as losing Beau Champion early to a calf injury. Both of those players are not named to play and I doubt if they will travel down with the team. Steve Michaels was named on an extended bench to cover to the possible loss of Champion. Nate Myles will now start that game after coming off the bench after SOO 2. In further news, interchange forward Michael Henderson is out of the clash after suffering from Tonsilitis. There is some good news though, bulking centre Jamal Idris is set to make a return. Some have suggested that Idris should perhaps take time away from the game to lose some extra kilos but no doubt he will be damaging out wide for the Titans. They will just have to make sure that he gets the ball with plenty of room to move.
Recent History
Overall = Dragons 7 - Titans 3
Last 5 games = Dragons 2 - Titans 3
At WIN Stadium = Dragons 3 - Titans 0

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Dragons $1.41 Titans $3.00
Centrebet = Dragons $1.45 Titans $2.80
Sportsbet = Dragons $1.45 Titans $2.80

Verdict
I have been one person in recent weeks who has applauded the Titans for their recent performances, however I find it very hard to have them in this game. It isn't a matter of whether or not I think they are up to it, I just think that they will find this game extremely difficult with their massive injury toll to key players. The Dragons will also be desperate. They have a great record at WIN Stadium against the Titans and will look to ensure that this continues on in this game. I think with the conditions that are coming into Sydney late today, it should be very windy and cold down there. I'm not sure if this game will have a large margin when you also consider the fact that the Dragons haven't exactly shown that they can score a lot of points.
Suggested Bet
Dragons 1-12 @ $2.75

Line/OverUnder Double = St George -6.5/Under 38.5 @ $3.90 - Call it cynical, but I believe that this game will not be the most exciting game you will see, hence not a lot of points scored. Think of this option if you also agree.

First Try Scorer = Brett Morris @ $8 - He is always in and around the ball for St George. He has been playing well enough and should again reach the line for a try. Lets hope this week that he is the first player to do so.

Good luck!
Scooby
@scoobystips

NRL Round 16 Brisbane Broncos v South Sydney Rabbitohs Preview

What a great fixture of NRL action we have coming up in Round 16. This week we will begin to see Top 8 teams try to assert their dominance over their opponents in matches that could be critical come September, while lowly placed teams fight just to keep their season alive. While we will see 15 v 16 on the NRL Ladder battle it out, we will also be privilaged to watch 1 v 2 and 3 v 4, and this is where this clash takes us. The Broncos (3rd) are at home to the Rabbitohs (4th)  in a clash which is going to give punters a great guide to where both teams are at in terms of their premiership credentials. Whilst the Broncos are familiar with the position that they are in, it is definitely unfamiliar territory for Souths at this point of the season. Normally, they find themselves either at the bottom of the table of just fighting to stay in touch with the 8. But things have turned around this year under new coach Michael Maguire and they are a team that should worry others coming into September. First things first, they have to take on the Broncos at home. A very young and raw team with plenty of talent and potential to use. A team that holds their home ground as a definiate advantage over the rest of the competiton. Their coach, Anthony Griffin, has done a fantastic job of motivating his players each week and playing some great football. They are the benefit of some great direction under Peter Wallace at 7 and are seemingly coping with the retirement of Darren Lockyer very well. Nonetheless, this is the stage of the season which becomes very difficult for young players. The part of the season which seems to resemble "no man's land" and the mental toughness of an individual is definitely tested. This is where the experience and guidance of Lockyer could be recognised and sorely missed. In saying that, they do have a healthy roster of SOO and International players that will no doubt mentor the younger players. The winner of this clash is almost certain of finals football (if they both aren't now), while the loser is taking down a few pegs and caught up with the log jam of teams that are on 18 points. This is definitely a game that many will be tuning in to watch!

Brisbane Broncos
The Broncos went up north and faced old rivals the Cowboys in a very tough clash last week, losing 12-0. They were certainly tested and the fact that they were not able to score any points was a big whack to their pride. But their performance will be better for that clash this week and it must be noted that in that game they were missing several SOO players who were either injuried or rested. This week they are welcoming back captain Sam Thaiday from an injury that ruled him out of SOO 2. They are also glad to have centre Justin Hodges back as well as Corey Parker who suffered a horrific gash to his lower leg in SOO 2. Parker was not named but both players were passed fit to play on Thursday after completing a fitness test. And then their is Petro...a player who this week returns to play his 300th NRL game. Is is great that he gets to complete this milestone in a Brisbane jersey in front of a home crowd. He has not only been a great servant to the Broncos, but a great servant to the game who is a role model that younger players should definitely strive to immulate. Josh McGuire was named at lock and Matt Gillet and Ben Te'o shift back to the bench but expect there to be a few late changes to the side that will take the field. In late news coming out of Brisbane, Ben Hannat is said to be ruled out of this match with injury, so again, make sure that you are watching the final team changes listed in Fridays publications. No doubt Corey Parker will be the player to come into the lineup.

South Sydney Rabbitohs
THere is no changes to the team that beat the last placed Eels 24-6 on Saturday night. Fullback Greg Inglis was named in the team despite picking up what appeared to be either a shoulder or elbow injury in that match. I would expect him to play this match such is the talent and determination of this individual, but there is also the point that he will be looking to press his claims for the vacant QLD fullback spot with the recent injury to Slater. One would expect that QLD will go with this option but many reports in recent weeks have suggested that perhaps QLD might not. He will be a big factor in Souths either winning or losing this game. It should also be noted that Souths still have a host of players missing this clash through injury which at this point of the season, is serverly testing their depth. Expect their big forward pack to take it to the Broncos pack early and set a good platform for their halves and outside backs to work off.

Recent History
Overall = Broncos 20 - Draw 1 - Rabbitohs 5
Last 5 games = Broncos 3 - Rabbitohs 2
At Suncorp = Broncos 8 - Rabbitohs 2

Odds
TAB Sportsbet = Broncos $1.45 Rabbitohs $2.80
Centrebet = Broncos $1.45 Rabbitohs $2.80
Sportsbet = Broncos $1.45 Rabbitohs $2.80

Verdict
This is a very tough game to pick. The Broncos get a few stars coming back into the lineup and are at home. Throw in the fact that they are also coming off a last start loss to the Cowboys and they certainly have a good basis that sets them up for a win in this game. Obviously, Souths will have to take a step up to the next level if they are to win this one, but if they did, it would certainly make the rest of the competition take notice of them. Another thing that Souths must also combat is their tendency to make a lot of mistakes at crucial point in the game. But to be on the safe side of things in this game, it would be very hard to go past the Broncos.

Suggested Bet
Broncos1-12 @ $3

Rabbitohs Super Line = Rabbitohs +10.5 @ $1.55 - If you think that the Bunnies will make a good fist of this match and are some chance, then take them with a big start. Not enough, they are also at +14.5 ($1.35) and +16.5 ($1.26).

First Try Scorers = Justin Hodges ($11) or Jack Reed ($13) - The one weakness which I see defensively in Souths does appear to be in their centres. Look at the players that will be attacking them and perhaps you have two players to choose from.

Good luck!
Scooby

Tuesday 19 June 2012

NRL Round 16 Power Rankings


ROUND 16



An interesting week of football and many experts are beginning to say that the teams that will make the Top 8 are already set in stone. There is a 4 point gap between 8 and 9 but it does seem as though those teams can definitely make the 8. Teams at the bottom of the table are now becoming more desperate with each week that goes by. For some players, this will also be their last chance to push for SOO selection as many star players begin to suffer serious injuries. Who is ranked where for Round 16?


Bold = This week  ( ) = Last week

1 (2) Melbourne Storm = No Billy Slater, no worries! The Storm were impressive in their win over Manly at Brookvale Oval. Proved why they are top of the table this season. Have another tough game this weekend against the Bulldogs.


2 (1) West Tigers = Were obviously effected by the sad passing of Farrah's mother. Can not hold that against them at all. Their 7 game winning steak does come to an end now. 


3 (3) Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs = Were great against the Dragons early. Was a little scary there towards the end of the game as the Dragons started to gain momentum. Are definitely a team to be recognised. Have now won 4 in a row and will have to prove their worth this weekend against the Storm. 


(6) Cronulla Sharks = Were down by 12 against the Warriors without Gallen. Fought back hard and won the game by 1 point in the final few minutes. Keep saying it, but this is a different Sharks team for previous. Will now enjoy a week off after a very tough win.


5 (7) Gold Coast Titans = Beat the Panthers in the first half by blowing them off the field. They did fight back late but the damage was already done. Unfortunately they picked up a few injuries to some key players


6 (9) South Sydney Rabbitohs = Faced a Parramatta team that was high on confidence after a last start win. Had a few players missing but got the job done. They were great in defence, but in saying that, they didn't have a lot thrown at them.

7 (4) Brisbane Broncos = Were missing a few players but were still unable to score any points against the Cowboys. Host the Bunnies this week on Friday night which see's 3 v 4 on the competition table. Will have to show better effort this week.

8 (10) North Queensland Cowboys = A great win against the Broncos at home, even if they weren't facing their best team. They fought very hard and did keep a very good attacking team to nil. This is the Cowboys team that we are capable of seeing each week.

9 (5) NZ Warriors = Two weeks in a row they have held a two try lead and had that taken away. They weren't so lucky this week to win the game. Payed the price for not putting away their opponent when they had the momentum. Luckily the have a Bye to regroup.

10 (8) Manly Warringah Sea Eagles = Brookvale Oval, MNF, Storm returning since the famous brawl and they were missing Slater. But they still couldn't get the job done. Obviously effected by losing Glenn Stewart but they were their own worst enemies. Scoreline was flattering in the end.

11 (11) St George Illawarra Dragons = Third consecutive week in this position and those same questions are still being asked. Their attack struggles to find any fluency. Now their defence is being broken down. Season defining game this weekend against the Titans.

12 (13) Canberra Raiders = Enjoyed the week off but perhaps that win against the Knights was definitely something they can build on. If not, they may as well starting booking their end of season trip. Come up against the Cowboys away from home in a tough game.


13 (14) Sydney Roosters = Played very well against a team which was obviously rattled due to personal reasons. Regardless of their opposition, they are capable of such performances on a regular basis. Need to make it 2 in a row against Manly at home.


14 (12) Penrith Panthers = Struggled again this week up against the Titans. Obviously it didn't help with a few injuries before kickoff. Were good at points. Their season is seriously on the slide. Must win game against Parramatta

15 (15) Parramatta Eels = After a win people were suggesting a run similar to 2009, but a loss to the Rabbits has people questioning when the coach will go. If their season isn't already over, it will be with a loss to the Panthers on Saturday night.

16 (16) Newcastle Knights = A week out of the spotlight with a Bye, but they now need to fire this week. The coach is safe, but people are now questioning whether or not he can get them back on track. Not playing until MNF and should be ready to fire against the Tigers.