NFL Week 6 Betting Preview

Colts came from behind to get an emotional victory, the Jets losing streak continues and Drew Brees broke an NFL record. These were just some of the fantastic things which occurred in Week 5 of the NFL. Teams are still enjoying a bye week and it is allowing them to come back with players fresh and fit. But all is not going to plan for every franchise but teams are trying to make the most of what they have. For some teams though, time is definitely running out and having a small margin of time to gather some momentum, the next loss could spell the end of their season. Included heavily in this outcome would definitely be the Packers, Cowboys, Saints and Lions. There is some cracking games this weekend that include a blockbuster game of the 49ers and the Giants. Lets have a look at a few games that we can look to win some money on.

Oakland Raiders @ Atlanta Falcons

Raiders 1-3 and Falcons 5-0...this game seems like a forgone conclusion and it probably is. The Falcons have been hot this season and there has been no one better for them than Matt Ryan at QB. But Ryan isn't the only player that is churning out the numbers with some decent performances. Receiver Roddy White is among the NFL leaders with 31 receptions for 481 yards and 3 TDs. Then there is TE Tony Gonzalez, who at age 36, leads the league with 39 catches and totals 388 yards and 4 TDs. It is the best start for them in the franchises history and they will look to increase this to 6-0 against a side that hasn't exactly set the world alight with their play. On the other side of things, there isn't many positives for the Raiders. There is a range of problems including the running game one averaging 3.4 yards. They need to improve on a season low of 237 yards on September 30th in a 37-6 loss to the Broncos. A must win game for them but the Falcons should be too strong at home. They're also a chance to cover the 9.5 line in this one.

TAB Sportsbet = Raiders $4.50 Falcons $1.18

Centrebet = Raiders $4.40 Falcons $1.22

Sportsbet = Raiders $4.50 Falcons $1.22

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Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns

This punter was definitely one person that was frustrated with the Bengals offensive performance last week where they went down to the Dolphins 17-13. But you have to like their chances to get things back on track this week against a Browns team that is looking to avoid the sides 12th straight defeat. It will be a franchise record if they don't but should have inspiration by playing at home. The Bengals were producing some very impressive numbers in their three game winning streak and they need to rediscover there momentum to make this happen again. The Browns will have a few players returning on defence but it looks a little unlikely they they will get the win. If they were to, it would be a very close game and the Bengals would have taken a giant leap backwards. There are much safer games for you to focus on this weekend.

TAB Sportsbet = Bengals $1.75 Browns $2.00

Centrebet = Bengals $1.74 Browns $2.13

Sportsbet = Bengals $1.70 Browns $2.21

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St. Louis Rams @ Miami Dolphins

The Rams are in a place that they have not been to in 6 years...holding a record above .500 and it would be the first 3 game winning streak since 2006 also. In their two recent wins, their defence has been the main contributing factor to their success. They have allowed a combined total of 16 points for their opponents and will only look to further trouble the Dolphins. They beat the undefeated Cardinals in their last start and they were able to restrict them to only 45 total rushing yards. Lucky their defence has been good though, because the production of their offence isn't exactly hot. QB Sam Bradford has been criticised for not leading their team and their attack is rated 29th overall in the league. For both sides, defence is their strength. Miami has been able to get to the QB on a number of occasions and the pressure they bring has opposition QB's on notice.Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill is tied 4th in the league for INT and the Rams secondary will look to pick him off more than once in this game. There is also added pressure on him with a "banged up" backfield lacking any potency. Again, this is a game to be wary of and perhaps one that you should stay away from. St Louis are a value bet as Miami aren't a team that will provide too much trouble for them around the field. If you want to back this game, go for the upset or take the Rams with the start.

TAB Sportsbet = Rams $2.80 Dolphins $1.40

Centrebet = Rams $2.95 Dolphins $1.42

Sportsbet = Rams $2.73 Dolphins $1.48

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Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This game features two sides who are on struggle street. While the Buccaneers are in a very tough situation, they are certainly far better of than the Chiefs. Hopes and expectations for the Chiefs were high but things have definitely not gone to plan. There was a lot made about the departure of Cassel from last Sunday's game and the backup Brady Quinn is expected to make his first start in the NFL in almost three years. But the Buccaneers aren't exactly over the line in this one. Their defence ranks 27th overall and allow an average of 419 yards but perhaps can take a positive away from the fact that they have only allowed 3 second half FG's in their last two games. Josh Freeman needs to fire and play consistently along with the rest of the Buccaneers roster. If they weren't playing at home I would lean towards the Chiefs, but am going to go with the Buc's to get the win.

TAB Sportsbet = Chiefs $2.65 Buccaneers $1.45

Centrebet = Chiefs $2.60 Buccaneers $1.52

Sportsbet = Chiefs $2.67 Buccaneers $1.50

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Dallas Cowboys @ Baltimore Ravens

Sitting at 2-2, you would hardly think that this game is a "season defining" game for the Cowboys, but somehow it is. They are in a very tough division and can ill-afford to let the Giants and Eagles to get a lead on them in the race for the NFC East. They have had a week off to think about their woeful performance against the Bears and incase you have forgotten, Romo threw 5 INT's. It is an uphill battle already for the Cowboys who have to face the Ravens in Baltimore. For the record, the Ravens have not lost a regular season game at home in two years. To make matters worse, the Ravens weren't too convincing in their win over the Chiefs and will want to prove themselves as an offensive force to be recognised. Dallas have a few injuries to contend with as well, so who do you go with? The team that will be desperate, or the proven side so far this season. Another tough game but I am going to suggest the Ravens to get another win and continue their great home record. Be careful though, the Cowboys could be very galvanised and lift their performance. 

TAB Sportsbet = Cowboys $2.50 Ravens $1.50

Centrebet = Cowboys $2.50 Ravens $1.55

Sportsbet = Cowboys $2.46 Ravens $1.58

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Buffalo Bills @ Arizona Cardinals

The Card's are banged up on their roster and need to get some momentum back after suffering the first loss of their season last week to the Rams. They are now missing their two tops rushers and need to lift after a performance where QB Klob was sacked 9 times. Before this loss, they believed that they had a team to be a serious contender, but now they have some serious offensive concerns. They are ranked 31st in rushing and need to lift. The Bills do not have things going to plan either. Last week, they became the first team in NFL history to let 300 yards in passing and rushing in the same game., in the 45-3 loss to the 49ers. Mario Williams has suggested that he and his side need to focus on the positives in their performances. The Card's will see this as a game where they can rectify their problems but as the Bills have elected to stay in the west for this game, so perhaps they will be better prepared in this game. It is a long shot, but I think that the Bills will rally behind their performance last week and surprise a depleted Cardinal's roster. Get on the upset.

TAB Sportsbet = Bills $2.90 Cardinals $1.38

Centrebet = Bills $2.65 Cardinals $1.50

Sportsbet = Bills $2.67 Cardinals $1.50

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New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers

The last time these two teams met, a Superbowl berth was on the line and it was the Giants that prevailed on the back of crucial turnovers committed by the 49ers. This time, while there is less riding on the outcome, it should be a vastly different result. The 49ers seemed to have learnt from their mistakes and they look like a force to be reckoned with. They are my early pick (and have been since the start of the season) to win the Superbowl, or make it at the least. Then again, I am also worried that they may have peaked too early in the season. But it is always better to be winning games at this stage as opposed to losing them. Perhaps the Giants have also learnt how to play the 49ers despite their win in that game. At the end of the day, it was an OT victory that was given hope by two muffed punts. 

The 49ers frustrated Manning through sacking him 6 times in that game. Expect the same pressure in this game. The Giants are always a team to be very wary of, but the 49ers should get a victory and some payback for that loss.

TAB Sportsbet = Giants $3.30 49ers $1.30

Centrebet = Giants $3.55 49ers $1.31

Sportsbet = Giants $3.35 49ers $1.35

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Green Bay Packers @ Houston Texans

Along with the Flacons, the Texans are the only other unbeaten side this season. Despite this, people are growing anxious about the Texans chances and after losing all star linebacker Brian Cushing, they appear to be a beatable side. While they are experiencing some troubles, it is a world away from where the Packers are at. They have a host of injuries and they are limited with their offensive output at the moment, despite the presence of MVP Aaron Rogers at QB. There is already a gap opening up in their division and if they are not careful, the Bears and the Vikings will get the jump on them. The Packers are looking a world away from the dominant team they were only a few seasons ago. They will have their hands full trying to hold the balanced Texans offence, and this game will be a true measure of where the Texans are actually at. Get on the Texans to follow the Falcons into the 6-0 realm. 

TAB Sportsbet = Packers $2.65 Texans $1.45

Centrebet = Packers $2.60 Texans $1.52

Sportsbet = Packers $2.61 Texans $1.52

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Other winners

Jets - Colts rallying behind their coach but the Jets looked ok in MNF. They have their problems, but are working towards a win each week. Don't bet on this game though, with everything that is going on at the Colts, you can never underestimate them. 

Eagles - The Lions travel to Philadelphia with a 1-3 record and they are desperate. They have their work cut out for them trying to hold Vick and his receivers. Then there is the running game. Lions can win this, but would be a big shock.

Patriots - Keep pressuring the Seahawks side that is finding each game a tough contest with an under performing offence. Brady will show them how its done. 

Vikings - Facing the Redskins at home and RG3 will be pressured like nothing else. Vikings look like a class side and while the Redskins are still build, they should sneak home a win.

Chargers - Facing the Broncos side that is gaining confidence with each game. Payton now fitting very nicely but the Chargers need to get past this game if they want people to take them seriously.

Good luck!

Scooby

@scoobystips

Rugby League International Test Match Betting Preview

The final game of rugby league within Australian shores for the years will occur this Saturday up in Townsville. The eyes of the rugby league world will firmly be fixed on the clash between the Kangaroos and Kiwi's. One word on everybody's lips in the lead up to this game though has been motivation, and you cannot help but wonder where the motivation will come from for both sides. It has been said for a while that the Kiwi's struggle to "switch on" for a "one off" game against the Kangaroo's midseason. The only problem heading into this game is now that this is still a "one off" match that is being played at the end of the year. Normally there would be a Four Nations tournament but as their is a World Cup next year, international fixtures have been reduced to allow for extended playing time next year. So the real question will lie on the issue on whether or not this game will be a contest. Both sides are missing a host of players that probably would've played had it been the World Cup Tournament, but the game is what it is. Neither side will want to lose this clash as they have the opportunity to finish their playing season on a high, regardless of how they went for their club side. So "motivation" should not be a problem, that is until one side gets ahead on the scoreboard. It will be great to see two class teams that also feature a host of grand finals players. With no rugby league to watch or talk about, the rumor mill has been running high. There has been talk on everything from "Mad Monday's" to coaching futures involving Craig Bellamy and Tim Sheens. At least this game will give fans a temporary release from all the talk which has gone on. The only sad thing is that there is another long wait after this. This is also the last chance for punters to collect off a rugby league game, so let's aim to finish with a collect...or more!

Australia

There isn't too much to this squad other than there is a few injuries to key players that would otherwise be playing. Josh Morris will make his first start in a Kangaroo jersey on home soil in the centres and will team up along with his brother, Brett. One would think that Justin Hodges would be the player to fill this role but with his injury, Morris gets the chance to show his worth and continue a very impressive season of form. The forwards are completely different and again, players are missing through injury. James Tamou wil start up front with Matthew Scott and Paul Gallen moves back to the second row, while Dave Shillington goes back to the bench. There is a completely new back row as Thaiday, Dave Taylor and Luke Lewis are all out and they are replaced by Gallen, Bird and Myles at lock. After getting no minutes during the ANZAC Test, Daly Cherry-Evans is dropped and the utility role is filled by Robbie Farrah. It is a puzzling selection and one that could probably see Farrah not take the field either, as Smith can surely play the 80 minutes out. New faces on the bench include Tony Williams, Ben Te'o (18th man) and Ryan Hoffman. As state above, a very different looking forward pack.

New Zealand

The Kiwi's are an entirely different lineup from the side that went around in the ANZAC Test Match on their home soil. Again, injury is the main reason behind all of the changes. Players wearing jersey's 2-5 are all out, either through injury or poor form. The Kiwi's have made secret that they are picking their team on form and therefore a lot of players who featured in the Finals series will be rewarded with a start. Sam Perrett is named on one wing, with Gerard Beale on the other. The new centre pairing features two in form players in Krisnan Inu and Dean Whare. Whare will offer plenty and was hot for Manly, while Inu ressurected his career mid-season at the Bulldogs. You would never have picked him to feature in this game, midway through the season, but full credit must go to him. The halves remain the same and really need to gell. Jesse Bromwich is promoted from the bench and Sam Kasiano makes his first start in the NZ jersey and they are the two props. They will have their work cut out for them. Adam Blair has been dropped along with Jeremy Smith, they're replaced by Warriors captain Simon Mannering and Storm monster Kevin Proctor. Blair in on the bench and is partnered by three new faces to this side. Greg Eastwood is back into representative football after a stellar season and he is joined by Ben Matulino and Elijah Taylor. A completely different side that seems to be "blooding" a few youngsters, probably for next season.

Recent History

20th April 2012 - Kangaroos 20 d. Kiwis 12

Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Kangaroos $1.16 Kiwis $5.25

Centrebet = Kangaroos $1.18 Kiwis $5.10

Sportsbet = Kangaroos $1.18 Kiwis $4.85

Betfair = Kangaroos $1.18 Kiwis $6.80

Verdict

It is hard to go past the Kangaroos in this game. They are the side with more experienced players and have the home ground advantage in the very hot and humid, Townsville. It will be a very high scoring game and not the usual close encounters that we have been accustomed to seeing in these battles. Back the Kangaroos to get a dominant win that will exceed the 13+ margin and go close to exceeding 19+.

Suggested Bet

Kangaroo's 13+ @ $1.68

A little bit more? = Kangaroos 19+ @ $2.40 - It is all mentioned in the verdict. If you want more value in your bet, then this is the option that you should be considering.

Try for a First Try = Greg Inglis @ $9 - He is back out to the centres and will give Dean Whare a very good workout in trying to stop him. He has been at his damaging best this season and after a decent rest once the Rabbitohs were knocked out, I like the chances of him scoring in this one. 

Good luck!

Scooby

@scoobystips

NFL Week 5 Betting Preview

The NFL road show rolls into Week 5 and there is plenty of things that are beginning to take shape. For starters, no one would have predicted that the New Orleans Saints would be 0-4 at this stage, regardless of the problems that they had in the offseason. There were three undefeated team but that all changed after Thursday nights game and now there are two undefeated sides  going and they are 1st and 2nd in the Power Rankings. I am talking about the Houston Texans and the Atlanta Falcons, two sides that no one thought be where they are. Seems as though this season is one full of surprises. Teams will now have the chance to regroup following the bye and get their season back on track. Others are momentarily interrupted, but also use it as a chance to rest tired and injured players. This is the stage of the season where teams begin to make a charge and make their presence felt amongst the rest of the league.  If they don't, they risk falling behind in their conference and find themselves on the end of a losing record. It will only be a few more weeks until the US sport shows start throwing up the "Playoff Picture" and teams need to ensure that they are in the spot to make a charge.

Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals will look to build on a 3-game winning streak with a win here over the Dolphins. This all comes after they were handed a very embarrassing defeat to the Ravens in Week 1 and it appears that this has been the catalyst for their recent form. They are back home in this game and have averaged 33-points a game. Although, their defence hasn't been anything to write home about, it is improving and they were able to hold the Jaguars to one of their worst offensive performances last week. The Dolphins will not be an easy team to mov past and the Bengals will find it difficult to hold down the Miami offence with a few injuries to players within their side. The Dolphins have played well and can consider themselves unlucky after narrow losses to the Jets and the undefeated Cardinals. Miami will have their work cut out for them on defence as they are ranked 30th overall when trying to stop the pass and they face a QB ranked 5th in the league, Andy Dalton. Combine him with the Bengals other second-year star, WR A.J. Green, they look like they have built an efficient side. The Bengals should get a narrow win in a high-scoring shootout.

TAB Sportsbet = Dolphins $2.50 Bengals $1.50

Centrebet = Dolphins $2.40 Bengals $1.59

Sportsbet = Dolphins $2.45 Bengals $1.58

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Green Bay Packers @ Indianapolis Colts

With all the news that has gone on off the field for the Colts in recent weeks, this game hardly seems important. In case you missed it, their coach was diagnosed with cancer and could spend the remainder of the year away from their franchise. They will be definitely playing this game and the reset of their season for him. Their play on the field has been interesting to watch, as they are a team moving away from one style of play to another. The Colts have plenty of improvement within them still, but they have a fair way to go before they are to really make anything of their season. They can be dangerous and the Packers would not want to give them any room to move. For the Packers, their season is 2-2 and they are tracking along nicely after a very sluggish start to their season. Having beaten the Saints last week in a very close encounter, the Aaron Rogers lead team is building nicely. The Colts were unlucky themselves last start against Jacksonville and the team which isn't going to let mistakes ruin their game, will win this match. It should be a close encounter but expect the Packers to get a win.

TAB Sportsbet = Packers $1.33 Colts $3.15

Centrebet = Packers $1.36 Colts $3.20

Sportsbet = Packers $1.36 Colts $3.30

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Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs

The Ravens have enjoyed a week off to regroup and travel to one of the loudest venues, Arrowhead Stadium. It will be interesting to see how their no-huddle offense performs in this situation. They will try to pressure Chiefs QB Matt Cassel, a player who is a major reason why the Chiefs do not have a better record than 1-3. The interceptions have been a problem for the Chiefs and they will not want to give away possession easily as the Ravens could capitalise. The Ravens have a stronger defence that is capable of stopping the Chiefs running game. In their past two games, the Ravens have only allowed 2.4 yards per carry. They also have a far superior offence and with Flacco directing traffic, they should be too strong for the Chiefs. Be cautious though, the Chiefs will be hard to knock off at their home ground and if they don't turn over the ball, they could give the Ravens a scare.

TAB Sportsbet = Ravens $1.35 Chiefs $3.05

Centrebet = Ravens $1.38 Chiefs $3.10

Sportsbet = Ravens $1.39 Chiefs $3.12

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Philadelphia Eagles @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Despite being 3-1, there are plenty of people that are lining up to knock the Eagles form this season. There is no doubt that they have won ugly, but the Steelers would take their record even if is meant that they were ugly. The Steelers are coming off a bye week and will be thankful that a few of their players are returning to their lineup, two of them being previous Defensive Players of the Year. Despite being 1-2, the Steelers are quiet calm about their chances this season and are confident that they can stop blowing 4th-quarter leads. You have seen it before, everything can unravel quickly for the Eagles if they are not focused on their job. Turnovers were a big problem for the Eagles in the first three weeks but they were able to turn that around and not commit any in the win over the Giants. Amazingly they are ranked 5th in the league for average yards (417.8) but are 30th for points scored (16.5). This will be a very close game but I like the Steelers to get a win at home over the Eagles.

TAB Sportsbet = Eagles $2.40 Steelers $1.53

Centrebet = Eagles $2.38 Steelers $1.60

Sportsbet = Eagles $2.44 Steelers $1.59

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Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Redskins

After Friday, there are only two undefeated teams in the league after the Cardinals dropped one to the Rams. They already have built a sizable lead in the NFC South and they will look to get to 5-0 while the Redskins try to end a 7-game losing streak at home. Leading them around is the highest rated QB in the league, Matt Ryan. He has transformed the Falcons passing game and even drove them 77-yards down the field to get a last second field goal win over the Carolina Panthers. On the other side of things is RG3 and his Redskins. Being back at home will help their this franchise that is slowly, but surely, working to change the level of play. Their offence will definitely be on guard and look to cause the Falcons plenty of problems with their running game. But it is the Redskins defensive unit that will have to lift to another level and try and stop the Falcons who are producing an average of 31 points per game. Whilst there has been a lot written about the Falcons offence, it is their defence that needs some credit sent their way. They are tough and bring some heat when it is needed...this week its needed more than ever. I can smell a Redskins upset, but cannot buy into it unless the Redskins defence lifts their performances. Be careful when betting on this game.

TAB Sportsbet = Falcons $1.58 Redskins $2.30

Centrebet = Falcons $1.68 Redskins $2.22

Sportsbet = Falcons $1.65 Redskins $2.30

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Seattle Seahawks @ Carolina Panthers

The Panthers were obviously very unlucky in their loss to the Falcons but QB Cam Newton has stepped up and excepted blame for what occurred. It was his fumble that cause the Panthers to miss a "game clinching" first down and they were forced to punt to the ball away. They will want to repay their home fans for that loss and are a side that is capable of scoring a lot of points. The one big problem for the Panthers though is that they struggle to hold opposing sides and average around 27 points allowed. Then again, the Seahawks won't exactly trouble the Panthers in this area. There are a few problems for them at the present time and majority revolves around the QB. They have the fewest yards in the league in their passing game and are ranked last in the league for red zone TD efficiency. unless they can rectify this problem, they are going to find it very tough against the Panthers. The Seahawks to possess a very good defensive unit but the Panther should bounce back from their disappointing loss last week.

TAB Sportsbet = Seahawks $2.20 Panthers $1.63

Centrebet = Seahawks $2.20 Panthers $1.70

Sportsbet = Seahawks $2.29 Panthers $1.69

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Chicago Bears @ Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jags are currently at 1-3 but you cannot help but think that they are lucky to even have won one game. They will certainly be tested here as the Bears will not be an easy side to beat. The key for them will be trying to pressure Cutler and break down the Bears offence. It is said that the Jaguars are have one of the worst defensive units in the NFL but then again, the Bears can be inconsistent as well. Whilst they are streaky, the Bears defence are one of the best in the league and strangle their opposition down to the point where they make simple mistakes. This is highlighted by the fact that so far this year, they have a league-high 11 interceptions, third with 15 sacks and ranks fifth in the NFL in scoring defence at 17.0 points per game. It would be extremely hard to see the Jaguars winning this game, the Bears are going to get a victory here.

TAB Sportsbet = Bears $1.38 Jaguars $2.90

Centrebet = Bears $1.42 Jaguars $2.90

Sportsbet = Bears $1.41 Jaguars $3.03

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Tennessee Titans @ Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings are surprisingly sitting a top of the NFC North, tied with the Bears, thanks to star RB Adrian Peterson. He is back to full fitness and is as damaging as ever. In Sundays win over the Lions, he carried the ball 21 times and gained 102 yards. This game is even more significant because if the Vikings get a win against a weakened Titans team, they will surpass their record from last season. Although, there is still a lot of work for the Vikings to do. They didn't score an offensive touchdown in their 20-13 win over the Lions, but they did return a Punt and a Kick off for a TD. Perhaps things may get rolling for them against a side that allows 37.1 points per game. The Titans have problems on both sides of the ball and QB Matt Hasselbeck has to step up from the bench as they have lost Jake Locker with a separated shoulder. The one shining light for the Titans would be the development of their RB, Chris Johnson. He put in a good running performance last week and it is hopefully a sign of things to come for this talented player. All the problems for the Titans will not go away easily. Three times this season they have scored 14 points or less and can ill afford to hand over possession. Vikings will look to build consistency within their offence and while a lot lies with Peterson, QB Christian Ponder is also a key player. So far this season, he has 4 TD's and 0 INT's. Another consistent performance from him at home should lead the Vikings to victory. 

TAB Sportsbet = Titans $2.90 Vikings $1.40

Centrebet = Titans $2.90 Vikings $1.42

Sportsbet = Titans $2.92 Vikings $1.43

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Other tips:

Giants - Browns will struggle when they are pressured by this defensive unit.

Jets - Going the upset, a week after they were shutout by the 49ers.

Saints - Finally get a win and go 1-4 but will do it tough against the Chargers.

Patriots - Last possible meeting of Brady & P.Manning? Good game to follow but Pats have class and Denver are still builting

Good luck!

Scooby

@scoobystips

NRL Grand Final Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs v Melbourne Storm Preview

Well here it is folks, the game that teams had set out to make at the beginning of November 2011. A game that would win you the competition and crowned Premiers for season 2012. A lot of events have happened in season 2012 and all that becomes meaningless, as 80 minutes is what stands between these two teams and the "holy grail". The Bulldogs have been the "Cinderella Story" as they missed the finals in 2011. They acquired Des Hasler in a controversial move from the Sea Eagles and underwent a massive transformation. When you think about it, he inherited exactly the same squad that was under performing and got his players to buy into his coaching theory. A lot of people questioned whether or not the Bulldogs could make season 2012 successful and very few would have thought that they could have made it this far, let alone stand a chance of winning the competition. Then during the season, Ben Barba emerged as one of the real superstars of the modern game. He was rightly awarded the Dally M for NRL Player of the Year and has set a new benchmark for opposition players to reach. Many perceived his weakness in defence and defusing high kicks. But he has worked hard on his game and under Hasler's guidance, he has made this one of his strengths. It is fitting that he goes against a player who has made the number 1 jersey his own in all area's of football, both at club and representative level, Billy Slater. He would be a player that Barba would openly admit, he watched video's of and tried to model his game on him. Slater is one of the Storm's "Big 3" and is a leader of his team and a big reason why they are where they are today. Of course his season has been limited by injury but he has still pushed on. While he may not be at 100%, he is still able to dominate games in ways that only he knows how. Supporting him is the "other two", Cameron Smith and Cooper Cronk. Each of the "Big 3" bring their unique, individual brilliance to this side that allows them to get a victory in the toughest of situations. Then again, they are also very well supported by the players around them. Then of course, you have the coach, Craig Bellamy. While he didn't succeed at representative level, you cannot doubt his ability to coach and transform very ordinary players into workhorses. He brings out the best in all of his players and it shows in their attitude and enthusiasm in playing for him. No matter what is written, there is also the added motivation of the Storm having their Premiership titles stripped after their breaches of the NRL's salary cap. The "Big 3" & coach Craig Bellamy were all present when the premierships were won and stripped. They are saying that it is in the past but what would be a better way to show that they are over it then by winning here? All 24 players that take the field on Sunday will have their eyes on the big prize and so should punters. You may get sick of all that is written in the lead up to this game but enjoy it for what it is, a great spectacle where you can win yourself some money.

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

The Bulldogs come into this game off 3 very impressive victories, but more importantly, the last two were in the finals against sides that could always post as a danger. They were tougher and stronger than Manly whilst they grounded the Rabbitohs into the ground and made sure that they didn't get up once they were knocked down and out of the contest. Their forwards faced two very strong opposition packs but lifted above it all to assert their dominace on the game. Obviously, a lot comes down to the ball movement of the side around the field and the room it opens up, but each week their defence is growing stronger. In the two semi final games thus far, they have kept the opposition sides scoreless in the second half and at this point of the season, defence wins you the games. They have been tenacious in their hits and the opposition halves are placed under more pressure as their forwards are not going over the advantage line consistently. They will have their work cut out for them this week attempting to halt the Storm forwards and Cameron Smith. If there is any player within this competition who knows how to get over the advantage line, it is him. Considering how well Isaac Luke played, Smith will be loving the opportunity he gets in this game. The Bulldogs lineup remains the same and they have been a model for consistency this season. They also have a far stronger bench going into this game and Hasler interchanges his forwards very well. Again, Dene Halatau has been named as the sides 18th man and with the Canterbury side being knocked out of the NSW Cup, perhaps he may be a chance of playing. There were whispers around last week that Corey Payne might have been a late withdrawal but this never occurred. 

Melbourne Storm

The Storm are driven by the "Big 3" but they are also complimented very well by the players around them. One of the real strengths of the Storm side this season is their outside backs and the speed and agility they possess. They are a handful to deal with at the worst of times, the last thing you need as a defender is to try and stop them when they have room to move. They have this big, sweeping play where Slater comes from the back and is an extra ball player which creates room for the centres and wingers to move. This is a play that they will look to use from the opening minutes. Closer into the ball you have some very big forwards that are lead very well by Smith (sorry to mention it again but it is a major factor!). Proctor, Bromwich and Manu are all underrated players that could be considered as missing links when they are off the field, especially Proctor and Bromwich. Proctor was named to start from the bench last week but was called into the starting side at the expense of Manu. Bromwich is always strong up front and partners Bryan Norrie very well. Todd Lowrie is named at lock this week and could be considered a possible problem when they have him, Smith and Hinchcliffe on the field together. Whilst they are very good defenders, they are not an imposing side and wouldn't exactly strike fear in opposition ball runners. Then again, the way that the Storm dominate the ruck, they become a more mobile side and can play the game at their own pace. The Storm have named an extended bench of 8 this week and the new additions are Rory Kostjayson, Mahe Fonua, Siosaia Vave and Anthony Quinn. Sisa Waqa was a late withdrawal from the side that played the Sea Eagles and he copped a knock late in the warm up to his knee. His place in the game was taken by Fonua and he would probably replace him again if he was unfit to take the field. 

Recent History

Overall  = Bulldogs 15 - Storm 14

Last 5 games = Bulldogs 2 - Storm 3

At ANZ Stadium = Bulldogs 0 - Storm 3

Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Bulldogs $2.10 Storm $1.75

Centrebet = Bulldogs $2.05 Storm $1.80

Sportsbet = Bulldogs $2.02 Storm $1.82

Betfair = Bulldogs $2.16 Storm $1.85

Verdict

This is arguably one of the closest and hardest Grand Finals that we have witnessed in recent years. You can make a case for both sides winning the game and it could almost certainly come down to the last kick of the ball. I encourage you to go with your gut feeling and use this guide, like I hope you have use all of my NRL previews, to make up your own mind on the game. For what it is worth though, I am going to back the Bulldogs for a number of reasons. Firstly, they have a far superior forward pack and capable of dominating the Storm forwards throughout. They were the reason why the Storm faced a weakened Manly side in their qualifying final. Secondly, their ball movement is second to none. They promote the ball to their outside backs through attacking forward play and they have the ability to create holes in the defence with a simple pass. Thirdly, I believe they posses a stronger defence. Whilst you could say that it is alarming that all of the points conceded have been in the first half, they are able to tighten up in the middle of the field and force teams either to the outside or into mistakes. I am certainly not discounting the Storm as a genuine threat in this game. I expect the "Big 3" to rise to another level and bring the rest of their side to their level. But it is extremely hard for me to go past the Bulldogs and there is a lot of value surrounding them.

Suggested Bet

Bulldogs @ $2.16

No Margin for error = Bulldogs 1-12 @ $3 - Backing the Bulldogs and backing a close contest, then this is the margin that you would want to see. This also offers plenty of value. It would be very surprising to see a 13+ margin unless one side gets away and the other gives up towards the end of the match.

Line up for a double = Bulldogs +2.5/Over 36.5 @ $3.60 - It does seem like I am being very optimistic in choosing the total score to be over 37 points but winners of the GF in recent years have averaged around 30-points. In saying this, defence could be highlighted but there is plenty of value here. A small note, Bulldogs +2.5/Under 36.5 is @ $3.25.

Clive Churchill Medal = Be very careful when picking this option. I say this because this award is chosen by Australian Test Selectors and the best player in the match may not always be favoured because selectors might not want a non-Australian player to win the award. I am referring to the issue a few years ago when the Storm "won" the GF and Cronk was named CCM when many thought that Kiwi Adam Blair was undoubtedly the best Storm player. So where does this leave us in a selection? You have to pick a player that will have an enormous impact on the game and could prove the different in winning. Immediately the Storm's "Big 3" pop into your mind if the Storm were going to get a win and outside of them I could only think of Ryan Hoffman for the CCM as he won MOM honors in their Week 1 victory over the Rabbitohs. For the Bulldogs, you couldn't go past Ben Barba. He has been a great influence on his side but I think that if the Bulldogs were to win, it could be one of their forwards who get the award. This is where the value becomes enticing but many of them are not Australian born players. Of those, I would favor James Graham, Greg Eastwood and Frank Pritchard. Michael Ennis and Josh Reynolds would also play an influential role in the victory and for a smokey, Krisnan Inu. He was great against the Rabbitohs and will need a big performance to hold his opposition centre down.

Billy Slater $8

Cooper Cronk $5.50

Cameron Smith $7

Ryan Hoffman $11

Ben Barba $6

James Graham $11

Greg Eastwood $21

Michael Ennis $21

First Try Scorers = You would have to choose one or two players from both side here to allow for a few options. The Storm have a very good sweeping play to their right hand side which offers Will Chambers ($13) and Justin O'Neill ($13). This is the same play that is mentioned above and Slater comes from no where to be an extra ball player or running option. Going on the defensive lapses from the Dogs I would also like a nibble at Cameron Smith ($21) close to the line. For the Bulldogs, options are running all over the field and first and foremost you are going to have to take a look at Ben Barba ($7) although he does appear to be a little short. I also like the Bulldogs right hand side attack that features Krisnan Inu ($13) and Sam Perrett ($13) as they like to kick across to this side when the option is available. This is also the weaker side for the Storm side defensively, as well as in the air. For a value bet for the Bulldogs, second rower Josh Jackson ($26) is good close to the line and does always pop up on a kick chase when attacking the line.

Good luck!

Scooby

@scoobystips

NFL Week 3 Betting Preview

There has been two weeks pass by of great NFL action and this week is going to be no different. There is only a limited time for teams to make their impact and this week is going to be no different. I wouldn't say that teams are beginning to shape their season but some are definitely not reaching their potential just yet and others are exceeding themselves. It has been a tough few weeks to try and pick a clear week but you cannot help but be excited at the potential match ups. Each week brings a new battle to our screens and hopefully some more money into our pockets. Lets take a look at the games that are thrown at us this week.

St Louis Rams @ Chicago Bears

The Bears have had a mix season to date and go into this game against the Rams with a 1-1 record (as do the Rams). As in seasons gone by though, the pressure is firmly on the shoulder of QB Jay Cutler. Some days he looks unbeatable and others he looks as though he is not cut out to make it in the NFL. He is the one thing standing in the way of the Bears being a title contender. If he gets his game right, they could go "all the way". Their last start was a dismal performance to the Packers where they lost 23-10 and only produce 163-yards on offence. As admitted by Bears coach Lovie Smith, "his squad is in for a very tough contest", as the Rams overcame a 15 point deficit to beat the Redskins. It was the sides first victory under new coach Jeff Fisher and it was a great performance that had their defence holding RG3 and the Redskins to only one score in the second half. Both sides go into this game with a few injuries to key players and both will probably be without their RB. All things considered, the Bears should get home very tightly in this contest.

TAB Sportsbet = Rams $3.75 Bears $1.25

Centrebet = Rams $3.45 Bears $1.33

Sportsbet = Rams $3.75 Bears $1.29

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys started the season on fire, turning in a very dominating performance to hand the NY Giants a loss at home to begin the season. Romo was playing well and leading his offence around the park whilst the defence were defending their line very well and bringing a lot of pressure to the Giants and Manning. But then they went up to Seattle and were suffocated by a very stiff Seahawks defence and went down by 20 points and only managed one TD. This is the type of inconsistency that has plagued a very talented roster for some years now and they are well aware of what has to be done to rectify their performance. They will have no easy contest as they have to face a Buccaneers team that could very well be 2-0 had it not been for a horror 4th quarter where they gave up 25 points and went down to the Giants 41-34. Much like the Cowboys, they are aware of what went wrong and will be out for a better performance this week. They must restrict Romo but his eyes will be alight at the prospect of facing a defence that gave up a record 510-yards on passing to Manning. The problems on the defensive side of things pose a big problem for the Buccaneers and it is hard to have them in this game against a Cowboys team that should be refocused this week.

TAB Sportsbet = Buccaneers $4.00 Cowboys $1.22

Centrebet = Buccaneers $4.00 Cowboys $1.26

Sportsbet = Buccaneers $4.05 Cowboys $1.27

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San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings

The 49ers can thank their defence for the 2-0 start to the season that they have enjoyed as they have been good enough to restrict to teams to minimal yards (two great QBs as well is Rogers and Stafford). They can not afford to take their foot off the accelerator either and must put the Vikings to the sword. 49ers players seem capable of lifting to another level and their fans are starting to believe that they have a side that is capable of winning the Superbowl. The Vikings went down last week to the Colts by 3 points and it wasn't easy to take as the FG was kicked with 8 seconds remaining on the clock. They are back at home this week and have an impressive record here against the 49ers, a side that has not won at the Metrodome since 1992. Despite this, I still expect the 49ers to be too strong and take their season to 3-0.

TAB Sportsbet = 49ers $1.30 Vikings $3.35

Centrebet = 49ers $1.30 Vikings $3.60

Sportsbet = 49ers $1.31 Vikings $3.60

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Kansas City Chiefs @ New Orleans Saints

This game features two winless sides that are desperate to grab a victory before it is too late. Being 0-2 shouldn't ring any alarm bells just yet but if this is allowed to go one for to long, things might begin to snowball and they could find themselves at the wrong end of their respective divisions. The Saints are obviously still struggling with the suspension of players and coaches following the offseason controversy, but they are trying to make amends. Last week you thought that they would have been a good chance of beating the Panthers in Carolina but things did no go according to plan. Bree's wasn't at his best and he was picked off twice which placed even more pressure on a defensive unit that can leak points very easily. They can score a lot of points, they just have not been able to limit their opponents scoring. The Chiefs haven't exactly been at their best this season yet either. Last week they were thumped by the Bills despite QB Matt Cassell throwing 2 TD's. This all came after a poor performance against Atlanta. So is there any light at the end of the tunnel for the Chiefs? Not just yet. The Saints should get their season back on track with a win.

TAB Sportsbet = Chiefs $4.25 Saints $1.20

Centrebet = Chiefs $4.00 Saints $1.26

Sportsbet = Chiefs $4.25 Saints $1.24

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Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals

This is one of two games this week that features unbeaten sides. The Eagles have a lot of expectation riding on them and it all depends on the fitness of QB Michael Vick. Whilst they have managed to remain 2-0, they can consider themselves lucky having 9 turnovers in two weeks. They need to bring pressure towards Vick and force him into making mistakes. The Eagles offensive line will also have added pressure on them considering they have just lost their starting centre. Arizona have managed 7 sacks to date and will be aiming to add to this tally. The Eagles will also have to pressure Kevin Klob who was the starting QB for the Eagles back in 2010. As the story goes, he was injured in Week 1 and Michael Vick was given the starting role and has never look back since. He has now been traded away and finds himself at his new home up against his former side. The Eagles should get a win by a very slim margin but a win by the Cardinals would not shock. They can lift another level when at home and will need to establish a running game that releases pressure on Klob and his WR's.

TAB Sportsbet = Eagles $1.60 Cardinals $2.25

Centrebet = Eagles $1.57 Cardinals $2.45

Sportsbet = Eagles $1.52 Cardinals $2.57

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Atlanta Falcons @ San Diego Chargers

The second of the "undefeated clashes" promises to be a titanic battle between two sides that will be hoping to make the playoffs. It is a very interesting game that has people wondering where this game will be won. Falcons QB Matt Ryan is the highest rated QB so far this season and they boast 3 receivers who have run for over 120-yards so far this season. Whilst there is a greater emphasis on the passing game with a new offensive coordinator, they are narrowing down their options by having a running game that is ranked 28th overall and averaging less than 3.0-yards a carry. If they do not look to call upon this facet of their game, the Chargers defence will have a field day bringing mountains of pressure upon Ryan. To make matters worse, the Falcons may be without RB Mike Turner following his recent arrest. But the Chargers defence has not been the best this season and they need to limit the amount of points and yards they offer. If they are able to limit the Falcons, Chargers QB Philip Rivers has the opportunity to run riot over this game. He has the second best completion percentage at 73.9% (Ryan's is 70.3%) and they have been labelled "super unselfish" in the direction they sometimes take. This just sets the stage for a very interesting game. I am inclined to think that Charger's are a quality team yet still unproven and a waste of talent. Then again, the Falcons are yet to set the world on fire and playing at home, the Chargers just might have the edge over them.

TAB Sportsbet = Falcons $2.50 Chargers $1.50

Centrebet = Falcons $2.38 Chargers $1.60

Sportsbet = Falcons $2.47 Chargers $1.57

_______

Other winners that I am picking:

Browns

Detroit

Colts

Jets

Redskins

Broncos

Steelers

Patriots

Packers

Good luck!

Scooby

@scoobystips

NRL Week 3 Finals Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs v South Sydney Rabbitohs Preview

This game has been billed as Sydney's Grand Final and it could almost be with the quality of football that lies ahead in this game. Both sides are blessed with two of the biggest supporter bases around and all fans will be coming out of the wood work to get a glimpse of their side in action. The crowd will be packed and rightly so as this game could very well be one of the games of the season. Heading into this season, you would not have picked either side as a team that would be playing for a spot in the Grand Final but thanks to two incoming coaches to the club, the attitude and level of football has changed for the better. The Bulldogs are undoubted deserved of their place in this match but so to are the Rabbitohs. It has been a long wait for their supporters, 41 years to be precise and they now have some of their fans believing that this could be the year for them. But standing in their way will be a very strong Bulldogs outfit. They have class all around the field and whilst they do not possess a very strong halves pairing, they play a brand of football that doesn't rely on them to much but rather uses the forwards as their main ball players. This way they are getting the ball to the outside backs with more room to move. The likes of Josh Morris and Ben Barba are now more potent as they can move into the back line in more than one spot on the field. This is where the Rabbitohs defence has to be on guard. They almost have to be as good as their opposition, the Bulldogs. They are very strong in defence and have displayed one of the best defensive records this season. This is another reason why they have recorded the season they have. In the game against the Sea Eagles, they held their line very well and were as bruising as every at the line. By continually "bashing" the Sea Eagles runners, they were able to dominate the middle of the field. This also went a long way to putting the Sea Eagles players off their game. This will not happen as easily this time around and the Rabbitohs will be looking for a very physical battle up front. Playing the Storm in Week 1 of the Finals has perhaps been a positive as they were handed a thumping. Their forwards were able to walk away from that game with their pride a little battered and a reason to refocus them heading into the game against the Raiders. While they were at their dominating best, they were also only playing a side that many would consider very fortunate to be there. You will also hear the line this week about the Rabbitohs "not being able to beat a Top 4 side" (they did beat the Bulldogs earlier this season) and whilst this may be true in some part, it means very little now. All that matters is the 80 minutes of football they now have in front of them. That is all either side can focus on and they need to worry about winning that before they even think about training for the Grand Final a week later. This game is going to be a real delight to watch and with only 2 weeks left in the season, time is running out to win more money this season. So lets aim to finish on a high and take a closer look at the game.

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

Enjoying a week out of the spotlight would have suited the Bulldogs very nicely after a very physical game against the Sea Eagles. That game defined semi final football and the Bulldogs can only be better for the rest. Heading into this game, vision has surfaced of the Bulldogs working on their wrestling tactics which would be aimed at slowing down the ruck and not allowing the Rabbitohs to get rolling over the advantage line. It is no surprise that the Bulldogs have done this and they will not be the only side doing it in the lead up to their games, it is just another way of selling the game by the media. At the end of the day, the Bulldogs have to resort to playing the football that has gotten them so far this season. As mentioned above, they have used a different style of play that has their halves taking a lesser role in the attacking movement. A lot of responsibility does fall on the shoulders of Michael Ennis but he will relish the opportunity. He did leave the field with a rib injury during the game against Manly but was able to recover and retake the field at the beginning of the second half. Canterbury have therefore named an unchanged lineup heading into this clash and they will definitely be pleased to again have the same side taking the field. It has been a major factor in them playing consistent football. Dene Halatau is named as the 18th man but he will probably be the man who is left out prior to kickoff. Expect the Bulldogs to be in the right frame of mind with Des Hasler being experienced and proven at this point of the season. 

South Sydney Rabbitohs

After an embarrasing and ill-disciplined effort against the Storm, the Rabbitohs got their season back on track against the Raiders. Some of their tries were impressive and it can only act as a positive as they will no be full of confidence. Obviously though they will face a far superior opposition compared to the Raiders and this is semi final football. They learnt the hard way in their loss to the Storm that you need to be on your game for the entire duration of the contest. They gave away penalties at crucial times in the game and at crucial points on the field which only acted to get the Storm into very good field position. They also gave away two soft tries from scrums. They will be on guard against the Bulldogs and need to stick to their game plan if they are to get through with a win. They have strengths all over the field and should look to use all of them but they need to have a structure in place. Their forwards possess the majority of their potency and they are lead very well by Issac Luke. He was very good getting out of the ruck and getting the forwards over behind the Raiders defensive line. This only creates more space for their outside who will relish the extra room to move. Greg Inglis is one player who can pop up when it matters most and surprise the Bulldogs. He is at his damaging best this season and the battle between himself and Barba will be a thrilling contest. They could even be the two players who could determine this outcome. In terms of team news, Matt King is out of the game and didn't even play against the Raiders. His place in that game was taken by Chris McQueen and he is named to start in the centres. He certainly offers a lot to the Rabbitohs in defence and can get up very high and underneath a bomb to score or set up a try. Issac Luke has also officially been named to start in the number 9 jersey and Nathan Peats has been relegated to the bench. Jason Clark has been named to make a start from the bench after being a late withdrawal from the game with an ankle injury. The extended bench features six players and also include Justin Hunt who was named last week but didn't play. It will also be interesting to see the final makeup of Michael Maguire's side as last week he threw up a few changes prior to kick off that seemed to give them more power to start the game.

Recent History

Overall = Bulldogs 76 - Draw 4 - Rabbitohs 64

Last 5 games = Bulldogs 4 - Rabbitohs 1

At ANZ Stadium = Bulldogs 11 - Rabbitohs 3

Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Bulldogs $1.47 Rabbitohs $2.75

Centrebet = Bulldogs $1.48 Rabbitohs $2.72

Sportsbet = Bulldogs $1.50 Rabbitohs $2.65

Betfair = Bulldogs $1.52 Rabbitohs $2.90

Verdict

This is one game that I am still undecided on. You can make a case for both sides winning this game and as a punter, it is never a position you want to be in. Lucky though, there are several options that can almost be like placing an each-way bet. But for the sake of making a decision, I am going to make a case for both sides and let you guys choose a clear winner if you want. If not, check the suggested bets for other options.

Why the Bulldogs can win = They have one of the best defences in the competition and are a tough side. They have proven themselves this year against the top sides and play a style of play that can throw off other teams. Then you have Ben Barba and Josh Morris who can create something from nothing.

Why the Rabbitohs can win = Big forwards and Greg Inglis! They will be rolling over the advantage line and Issac Luke will be dynamic out of dummy half. Inglis also has the ability to impact on the game more than most players running around at the moment. Plus, they'll be riding a wave of emotion after not appearing in a Grand Final since 1971!

Suggested Bet

Tri Bet either team under 6.5 points @ $2.75

Safety Net Bet = Dozen start Bulldogs +12 @ $1.09 or Rabbitohs +12  @ $1.37 - This way you can take the team that you want and banking on a very close contest, you should collect a win here.

Superstar Try fest! = Try Scorer Ben Barba (First & Last @ $6)  and/or Greg Inglis (First $ Last @ $8) - Both are in great form and either player is going to be a great chance of scoring first. They both have the potential to also get over the line last and score a match winner.

Good luck!

Scooby

@scoobystips