Thursday, 28 February 2013

2013 NRL Season Preview



It has been a long wait for the beginning of the 2013 NRL season, but the moment is almost upon us. At this stage, the season is promising for all clubs and fans alike.  Everyone has an opinion running into a new season and there is always uncertainty over what will occur and there are a number of questions that people want answered. Some will be answered and some will not. Lets just hope that the focus of the 2013 season is on the field and not the antics off it. This is one of the most anticipated seasons in the games history. Many story lines will play out in front of our eyes and we will be left thinking and talking about games every night of the week. In amongst it all will be the chance to have a bet on some fixtures and hopefully win some money along the way. This preview is going to take a look at each teams chances running into the season, the changes to their playing roster and what could lie ahead for them.

Team: Brisbane Broncos
2012 Finish: 8th (28 Points W:12 L:12 Diff: +34) – Eliminated first week of the Finals by the Cowboys
Key Gains: Scott Prince (Titans) & David Stagg (Bulldogs)
Key Losses: Gerard Beale (Dragons), Petero Civoniceva (retired), Ben Te’o (Rabbitohs), Dane Gagai (Knights),

Everything was travelling well for the Broncos last year and they looked set to finish within the Top 6 and secure a home final. Not only that, they were looking like genuine contenders for the title.But then things came falling apart and they limped into the finals in 8th spot. They then had the tough task of facing a Cowboys team at home and they were tossed out of the finals without a second thought. It appears the transition of Darren Lockyer leaving the side has had a large impact and this talented coach, Anthony Griffin, has his work cut out for him. They really couldn’t settle on a halves pairing to get them over the line in the tough games. They have gone some way to rectifying this problem though with the acquisition of Scott Prince. Yes he is aging and isn’t a shadow of his former self, but the knowledge that he brings to a young side should be very valuable. The uncertainty surround Prince’s move though, is within the role that he will play. Once that is clear, there will be a better understanding of what effect he will have on this side. The Broncos will rely heavily on their forwards and maybe this burden will become too much.
Strength: Their forward pack is very big and they get around the park with ease. They should be able to set a very nice platform for their outside backs to work off. Then again, their halves also have to get them the ball. They are lead by Sam Thaiday and have Andrew McCullough working at hooker. McCullough is underestimated as a player and will make everyone take notice of him this year, if they haven’t already. The home ground advantage that they also have at Suncorp Stadium is also working in their favor.
Weakness: The uncertainty over the halves and the consistency they play with. Even trying to figure out which role each player will play within the halves is confusing. They will obviously have things sorted throughout their offseason but what impact could a few poor performances have for them.
Verdict: The Broncos are going to find this season very difficult. Unlike Broncos teams of the past, they do not have a recognised playmaker within their halves. They will be close to making the finals but could just fall short.
Prediction: Bottom half of the 8, but only if they’re lucky!

Team: Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
2012 Finish: 2nd (Minor Premiers 40 Points W:18 L:6 Diff: +199) – Lost Grand Final to the Storm
Key Gains: Tony Williams (Sea Eagles)
Key Losses: Jonathan Wright (Sharks), Jake Foster (Raiders) & David Stagg (Broncos)

The Bulldogs will be desperate to go one better than last year after they were trumped by the Storm in the Grand Final. Things are very positive over at the kennel and they have various reasons to be excited about the season ahead. Only a few people were able to predict the fortunes of the Bulldogs in 2012 and they quickly put everyone on notice with their talent. Des Hasler had them buying into his theory and they revolutionised forward play within rugby league. It was one of their main strengths and will continue to be in 2013. Just how much of an impact that the “Barba Saga” has had on their lineup is unknown. It is a definite advantage to them when he is playing and they need him back ASAP.
Strength: Various! Their forwards are the obvious strength and take a lot of pressure off a very inexperience halves pairing. Throw in new recruit Tony Williams into the fold and they’re even more damaging in attack and defence.
Weakness: Expectation. No one expected the Bulldogs to play as well as they did in 2012 but now people have high expectations of them. While this is mentioned as a weakness, Hasler will certainly have them focused on the job at hand and will not let them get too far ahead of themselves. In the end, he should be able to reign in any trouble related to the Bulldogs believing in their own hype.
Verdict:  The Bulldogs are going to be a contender for the 2013 premiership, even without Barba. They have class all over the field and a monster forward pack leading the way, as well as speed to burn out wide. Look for the Dogs to give this competition a shake throughout.
Prediction: Top 4

Team: Canberra Raiders
2012 Finish: 6th (30 Points W:13 L:11 Diff: +9) – Eliminated in Week 2 of the Finals by the Rabbitohs
Key Gains: Joel Edwards (Knights) & Jake Foster (Bulldogs)
Key Losses: Dury Low (Bulldogs) & Bronson Harrison (Dragons)

The Raiders had a lot of people taking notice of their young side in 2012. They finished 6th and were comprehensively beaten by the Rabbitohs in the second week of the Finals. They demonstrated a lot of attacking flair in their charge towards the finals. In the end, the experience that they would have gained from that would be invaluable. They are a side that is on the up and will give this competition a real shake. But they need to play consistent footy. Perhaps that will come in the form of their squad maturing and learning what is required for a victory. They can be a side that will look brilliant one week and then leave you wondering how they get paid the following week.
Strength: Having a very young squad at their disposal. They will back their ability when they need something special and will very rarely fear another side. Perhaps this could be a weakness as well, as it could demonstrate a lack experience. Like the Broncos, they also have a very unique home ground advantage. There is no worse trip in the NRL as a player than travelling to Canberra to play the Raiders in the middle of winter.
Weakness: As soon as things don’t go according to plan down in the nations capital, people will be calling for the head of David Furner. Having uncertainty over the coach can never sit well with the playing group. The more the players are asked, the more unsettling it will be. Of course, this will not happen if the Raiders play to their strengths and really use their home field advantage.
Verdict: The Raiders fortunes rest with the consistency of their play. If they are the clinical Raiders teams that finished 6th, they are a contender for the premiership. But if they are loose with their play and unable to put teams away, they will either limp into the finals or miss out altogether. You can never bet on the Raiders with confidence.
Prediction: Top 8, just not sure where.

Team: Cronulla Sharks
2012 Finish: 7th (29 Points W:12 D:1 L:11 Diff: +4) – Eliminated in Week 1 of the Finals by the Raiders
Key Gains: Michael Gordon (Panthers), Luke Lewis (Panthers), Jonathan Wright (Bulldogs), Beau Ryan (Tigers) & Chris Heighington (Tigers)
Key Losses: Tyson Frizell (Dragons), Colin Best (retired), John Williams (retired), Josh Cordoba (retired) & Jeremy Smith (Knights)

The Sharks were a team that improved remarkably under the guidance of coach Shane Flannaghan. He was instrumental in turning around an “also-ran” side into serious contenders. Much like the Bulldogs, teams were not expecting a lot of the Sharks running into 2012, but they will now be on their toes. Especially when they have to play the Sharks at home. Boosting their chances this year is the acquisition of some quality players to add further depth to their playing stocks, most notably is Luke Lewis. If he can remain 100% throughout the season, there will be a very formidable back row at the Sharks. They have also added speed outwide with another Penrith recruit in Michael Gordon. The pair from the Tigers will also be a great addition to their squad.
Strength: Their forwards and the depth to their squad. As noted above, they have added some quality names to their roster. It should also go along way to relieving the pressure placed upon Gallen in the middle of the field. Be sure that the Sharks will be a very tough side to break down in the middle of the field with all of the muscle they have continually rotating off the bench.
Weakness: Keeping the entire squad healthy. Gallen has had his fair share of injuries throughout his career and so has Lewis. Although they have a willing and dominant replacement in Wade Graham, beyond him, they could really struggle. Not only that, their outside backs can be quite loose in defence and opposition sides may be forced to attack the Sharks there, especially if they are strong in the middle of the field.
Verdict: The Sharks are a contender! They will really trouble teams with their strong defence and their ability to continually pressure the opposition. Whether or not they can score at a high rate will impact upon their chances but you don’t have to score too many points if you are holding your opposition to a low score.
Prediction: Top 4

Team: Gold Coast Titans
2012 Finish: 11th (24 points W:10 L:14 Points Diff: -28)
Key Gains: Dave Taylor (Rabbitohs)
Losses: Boden Thompson (Tigers), Phil Graham (retired), Scott Prince (Broncos), Michael Henderson (Dragons) & Beau Champion (Rabbitohs)

The Titans have a lot of pressure placed on them heading into this season. Amazingly, coach John Cartwright has been able to hold onto his job for another season. A few losses at the start of the season could spell trouble for him and his players. With all the quality that they posses on their roster, you would have thought that this side would have achieved a lot more since their initial inception into the competition. For some reason, they just haven’t been able to consistently cement themselves as serious contenders. They have made a very good acquisition in Dave Taylor but for every bit of talent that this bloke has, he can be lazy and needs to lead from the front and play for 80 minutes every week.
Strength: The names on their roster. They have talent all around the park and particularly in the forwards, including representative players. In saying that, a game of rugby league is never played on paper and some players may be looking for other clubs midway through this season if they are unable to perform.
Weakness: Having no certain or recognised playmaker. They have a very talented hooker in Matthew Srama continually gaining meters around the ruck with the forwards and creating some nice room for the outside backs. That extra room will be useless if the Titans halves cannot capitalise on it. If they end up playing Greg Bird at 5/8, they will lose a lot of potency in the forward pack.
Verdict: It’s going to be a long year ahead for the Titans. They are without a recognised halves pairing to lead them around the field. It is also hard to posses a lot of representative quality and have them injured in key games. They will press for the finals but will come up short in the end.
Prediction: Miss the 8, but will make a push for it.
 
Team: Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
2012 Finish: 4th (36 points W:16 L:8 Diff: +94) – Eliminated in Week 3 of the Finals by the Storm
Key Gains: Richie Fa’aoso (Storm), David Gower (Dragons), Esi Tonga (Eels) & Justin Horo (Eels)
Key Losses: Dean Whare (Panthers), Tony Williams (Bulldogs), Darcy Lussick (Eels), Daniel Harrison (Eels), Michael Oldfield (Roosters) & Josh Drinkwater (Dragons)

Everyone was tipping the Sea Eagles to struggle in 2012 after the loss of coach Des Hasler, but then Geoff Toovey had other ideas. He was able to motivate his squad and achieve the best out of them from the word go. The transition was also made easier with the retention of so many quality players. Heading into this season, they will definitely be excited after the retention of their very young and talented halves pairing. Of course, they are at their best when the forwards are tough up front. They have a formidable pack that is sure to dominate the opposition this year, despite the loss of Tony Williams. Experience is a key for most sides and it is aiding their case this season.
Strength: Their halves, Kieran Foran and Daly Cherry-Evans. They are the complete package when it comes to a halves pairing. Expect these two players to win a lot of close games for the Sea Eagles. But they have to make sure that they are not burdened with the complete weight of the team on their shoulders.
Weakness: An aging squad and injuries. No one is doubting the talent that the Sea Eagles posses, but with relatively the same players at their disposal now compared to when they won the competition, they could find it difficult to reach the same standards they have been known for. Throw in the fact that their squad doesn’t much depth and a few injuries could spell trouble and even the end to their title aspirations.
Verdict: Manly will be a very tough side on their day, but the light is beginning to fade. It could be the last chance they have at winning a premiership as their golden era comes to an end. Saving them though, is the talented halves pairing lead by a very strong forward pack. If they can keep a full strength side on the field each week, they should feature in finals football.
Prediction: Bottom half of the 8

Team: Melbourne Storm
2012 Finish: Premiers (38 Points W:17 L:7 Diff: +218)
Key Gains: Junior Sau (Knights), Junior Moors (Tigers), Lagi Setu (Broncos) & Brett Finch (Wigan)
Key Losses: Dane Nielsen (Warriors), Sika Manu (Panthers), Richie Fa’aoso (Sea Eagles), Rory Kostjaysn (Cowboys), Todd Lowrie (Warriors) & Anthony Quinn (Knights)

The Storm are a side that has continually been the benchmark for other teams to work from in the previous 5 seasons. But after all of the controversy surrounding their salary cap breaches, they were finally able to capture a “recognised” premiership. They have arguably the 3 best players within the competition at their disposal and working further in their favor is the positions they play. They make up 3/4 positions of the “spine” of the football team (the “spine” being the fullback, 5/8, halfback and hooker). The “Big 3” in Slater, Cronk and Smith are always vital to the success of the Storm but also having coach Craig Bellamy guiding the squad is invaluable.
Strength: The “Big 3”! Is there any more that needs to be said?
Weakness: Possessing three very talented players as the Storm do, they will be without them for a few games this season due to representative honors. It is never easy on them and it is always tough for the Storm to back up after a SOO game. As the games get tougher, these guys find it harder to recover. This could slow down the Storms momentum in the middle part of the season.
Verdict: The Storm will always be a contender for the title with the current roster that they have. They also have the players that are able to win the “big matches”, so long as they are playing their games. They are genuine contenders but need the “Big 3” firing each week. Each season is always a new test of their depth as well.
Prediction: Top 4

Team: Newcastle Knights
2012 Finish: 12th (24 Points W:10 L:14 Diff: -40)
Key Gains: Beau Scott (Dragons), David Fa’alogo (Huddersfield), Jeremy Smith (Sharks) & Anthony Quinn (Storm)
Key Losses: Zeb Taia (Catalans), Richie Fa’aoso (Storm), Wes Naiqama (Panthers), Joel Edwards (Raiders), Junior Sau (Storm)

After signing Wayne Bennett as coach, people were tipping the Knights to go deep into the Finals in 2012. They couldn’t be further from the fact as they were left wondering, even under the guidance of the experienced Bennett. It is fair to suggest that they were unlucky with injuries and were definitely going through a rebuilding year. Bennett is a great coach but even he had his work cut out for him heading to Newcastle. Now he has had a full season with his squad and a chance to overhaul the playing roster and recruit players that fit his mold as a coach. A lot of players were released and Bennett seems to have things running in his favor. We just have to wait and see if he is able to turn this club into premiership contenders.
Strength: Wayne Bennett at the helm. He will always get the best out his players and he is sure to take players like Kurt Gidley and Jarrod Mullen to the next level of play. He has also recruited players to the club that have done the job for him in the past with the Dragons, namely Beau Scott and Jeremy Smith.
Weakness: Financial woes off the field and the ruck on it. Owner Nathan Tinkler seems to be in a world of trouble and uncertainty over the future of the Knights is sure to impact the players regardless of their on field performance. On the field, they are going to struggle at hooker. They have one of the greats of the game in Danny Buderus playing there but his light is fading fast and whilst he is still a talent, his body is struggling to keep up with the pace of the NRL (he is apparently ruled out for the first 6-10 weeks of the season). Gidley would be able to do the job there but that will perhaps limit the impact of him in other parts of the field, especially halfback.
Verdict:  The Knights are going to be a completely different team and will be pushing strongly towards the title. They should feature in the finals with some very tough, gritty and even boring performances. Where they go from there is a mystery but they will be an improved side.
Prediction: Bottom half of the 8

Team: New Zealand Warriors
2012 Finish: 14th (20 Points W:8 L:16 Diff: -112)
Key Gains: Thomas Leuluai (Wigan), Dane Nielsen (Storm) & Todd Lowrie (Storm)
Key Losses: Lewis Brown (Panthers), Krisnan Inu (Bulldogs), Michael Luck (retired), James Maloney (Roosters) & Omar Slaimankhel (Rugby Union)

If a person is brave enough to predict the fortunes of the Warriors, they deserve a medal! There is not a more volatile team in the competition than the Warriors. The only consistent part of their play is that they are consistently inconsistent. So what does season 2013 hold for the Warriors after an extremely disappointing end to 2012? There is a new coach there in Matt Elliot and apparently a new attitude amongst the playing group. They haven’t exactly recruited talented players apart from the two from the Storm. Added to the pain is the talent that they lost to other clubs. Of course, they have one of the strongest junior programs in the NRL, so maybe they are sitting on a gold mine of talent that is yet to be unearthed. We saw the quality of junior players like Konrad Hurrell is capable of, but you can never trade talent for experience in the NRL.
Strength: The size and strength of their forwards. They are a very tough side to stop, especially when sides travel across to NZ to play them.
Weakness: Where to start? Mistakes? Defence? Consistency? There is a host of limiting factors that hamper the effectiveness of the Warriors. If they manage to get things rights for 80 minutes a week, they can be one of the hardest teams to stop in the competition. But when they’re off, they can be shocking.
Verdict: The Warriors are on a slide and it doesn’t look as though it will get any easier this season. They posses a lot of talent and will promise so much but again fail to deliver. Consistency is never a high priority for the Warriors and they always seem to struggle on the road. The hopes of the Kiwi’s should rest with the RLWC at the end of the season.
Prediction: Miss the 8 altogether

Team: North Queensland Cowboys
2012 Finish: 5th (34 Points W:15 L:9 Diff: +152) – Eliminated in Week 2 of the Finals
Key Gains: Anthony Mitchell (Roosters) & Rory Kostjaysn (Storm)
Key Losses: James Segeyaro (Panthers), Cory Paterson (Hull KR) & Aaron Payne (retired)

The Cowboys can be another side that struggles with consistency, but they play with a lot more conviction and have a great host of talent within their side. They were unfortunately dealt a very tough hand in 2012 with the amount of injuries that they had to battle. The hopes are squarely on the shoulders of Jonathan Thurston but should the Cowboys fail early on in the season, the heat will be turned up on coach Neil Henry. Due to the Cowboys decent performances in recent years, he has been able to hold onto his position. He is a quality coach but an early season slump will have people calling for his head.
Strength: JT working off a great platform set by the forwards. The forwards that the Cowboys had last year were damaging, but they must ensure that they are all fit and firing at the same time. There is no use having the wealth of talent at your disposal and not being able to use it on a consistent basis. They also need to create room for their star play on a regular occurrence.
Weakness: Uncertainty surrounding Jonathan Thurston. There appears to be a bidding war coming up over the services of one of the best players in the game.  His mind may be elsewhere at certain points. Hopefully for the Cowboys sake, he makes his decision known early and it works in their favor. If it does, the real weakness may lie within the ruck. They had Aaron Payne retire at the end of 2012 and lost James Segeyaro. Maybe the acquisition of Rory Kostjaysn, who is a very capable and talented player, can offset the trouble they might have.
Verdict: The Cowboys are genuine contenders for the premiership and their chances will only be boosted with positive news regarding JT. They are always strong at home and posses a dominating forward pack that is capable of bruising and exciting football.
Prediction: Top 8

Team: Parramatta Eels
2012 Finish: Last (16 Points W:6 L:18 Diff: -243)
Key Gains: Darcy Lussick (Sea Eagles) & Daniel Harrison (Sea Eagles)
Losses: Nathan Hindmarsh (retired), Luke Burt (retired), Casey McGuire (retired), Justin Poore (Wakefield) & Justin Horo (Sea Eagles)

The Eels have high hopes heading into 2013 and the only way is up for them after an extremely disappointing 2012. In a very positive move, they acquired the services of coach Ricky Stuart. Stepping aside from the coach of NSW was a big move, so obviously he still has a desire to coach in the NRL. He should have a positive effect on the squad and push some talented players to reach their potential on a consistent basis. Especially when Stuart-coached teams have always been built around a very strong defensive game.
Strength: Stuart demanding the best out of his players. Players such as Chris Sandow, Tim Mannah and Jarryd Hayne are only going to benefit under his guidance. As leaders of the squad, they will hold a key position in motivating the rest of squad to bigger and better things. They will also see an improvement in their work ethic, attitude and defence.
Weakness: Figuring out how to play Sandow and Hayne in the same side together. Both players are individually focused and like to dominate the play. There has to be one player leading them around the park.
Verdict: The Eels are going to be an improved side this year but they will not be contending for the title. Ricky Stuart will need more than one short preseason to turn the fortunes of this club around. They may make it to finals football but will trouble the top sides on their day.
Prediction: Pushing for the Top 8 and may just scrape in.

Team: Penrith Panthers
2012 Finish: 15th (20 points W:8 L:16 Diff: -166)
Key Gains: Lewis Brown (Warriors), Dean Whare (Sea Eagles), Sika Manu (Storm), James Segeyaro (Cowboys), Wes Naiqama (Knights), Tom Humble (Tigers) & Mose Masoe (Roosters)
Losses: Michael Gordon (Sharks), Luke Lewis (Sharks), Travis Burns (Hull KR),& Michael Jennings (Roosters)

There is a lot of change occurring out west and it seems as though they have only just begun a long road to rebuilding the club. Phil Gould has his fingerprints all over the Panthers redemption, but at the end of the day, responsibility will fall with the players and coach Ivan Cleary. It looks as though he is slowly getting the players he wants to coach, at the club. Much like the Eels, the only way up for them is up. By the clubs own admission, it is another rebuilding year ahead but they cannot continually use this as an excuse.
Strength: The exciting youngsters they have at their club. They cleared their decks last year and got rid of some club “legends”. Now the youngsters at the club have to stand up and lead from the front. This includes Lachlan Coote, Tim Grant and Luke Walsh. Otherwise further pressure will be placed on the entire squad as well as coach Ivan Cleary.
Weakness: The “Rebuilding-factor”. As stated above, the Panthers have admitted that it will be a tough season ahead. The squad doesn’t posses much talent either. A few injuries could see their season hampered further. Coach Cleary will have his coaching ability tested this year and people may be calling for his head with a few poor performances.
Verdict: It could be another long year for Panthers fans as this club continues to rebuild every aspect from the coach to the junior development. They will not play as poorly as they did last year and will be able to worry a few sides on their day. Either way, it is better than where they were last season.
Prediction: Miss out on the 8, but will be a mathematical chance at in the run home.

Team: South Sydney Rabbitohs
2012 Finish: 3rd (36 points W:16 L:8 Diff: +138) – Eliminated in Week 3 of the Finals by the Bulldogs
Key Gains: Jeff Lima (Wigan), Ben Te’o (Broncos), Thomas Burgess (Bradford) & Beau Champion (Titans)
Losses: Eddy Pettybourne (Tigers) & Dave Taylor (Titans)

Hopes are high out at Redfern and coach Michael Maguire has worked extremely hard in changing the culture and mentality of this squad. 2012 was a good season for the Rabbitohs as they reached the Finals for only the second time since 1989. A lot of it comes down to the talent they have within their roster. They have the services of some out and out NRL Stars and it is showing in their play.
Strength: Various! They have the very damaging Greg Inglis at his sublime best and playing at fullback, Sam Burgess dominating up front (or where ever he plays on the field), Issac Luke dynamic out of dummy half and Adam Reynolds experiencing a great run in his rookie season. There is no doubt that the first three mentioned will always reach their best but a cloud does hang over Reynolds. Hopefully he doesn’t suffer an injury or the dreaded “second year syndrome”. No doubt Maguire will have all of these players motivated and firing when needed.
Weakness: Reliance on their stars. We saw at times in 2012 that when their stars were out through injury or suspension, they would struggle. This could happen again this season but can be avoided if everyone stays fit.
Verdict: The Rabbitohs are genuine contenders for the premiership this season with a very talented roster. They will only be boosted when their stars are firing. Hopefully they would have learnt from the finish to 2012 and be hungry for more. Expect them to feature heavily this season in some very exciting fixtures.
Prediction: Top 4

Team: St George-Illawarra Dragons
2012 Finish: 9th (26 points W:11 L:13 Diff: -33)
Key Gains: Gerard Beale (Broncos), Tyson Frizell (Sharks), Josh Drinkwater (Sea Eagles) & Bronson Harrison (Raiders)
Key Losses: Beau Scott (Knights), Dean Young (retired) & Ben Hornby (retired)

The Dragons are a side that seems to be still struggling with a Grand Final hangover from 2010. Since then, Wayne Bennett has left and Steve Price took the reins. While not recognised as a genuine coach, he was endorsed by Bennett and was quickly introduced to the NRL with a tough season. They failed to make the finals in 2012 and they had a fairly talented roster, but they were unable to play with consistency. When they did, they were tough to stop. Things will only get tougher for the Dragons this season after a lot of recognised players either left the club or retired. Many are tipping Price to be the first coach to be sacked in 2012 but you can never be too sure of the outcome of the season, especially when no one has high expectations of them.
Strength: The young players coming through their system. These players include; Mitch Rein, Dan Hunt, Trent Merrin. Jack de Belin. They will be looking to these players when their pack needs leaders to put their hand up and take charge. 
Weakness: The halves. Jamie Soward will play 5/8, but there is a lot of uncertainty over the halfback role. Some have touted Nathan Fein as a replacement, but many would agree when I say that he is only an average halfback now. A lot of pressure will fall on Soward, especially if the side is unable to win those close games and play without structure.
Verdict: The Dragons are on a slide and they will require something very special to stop it from occurring. What that is remains a mystery. The 9th finish last season was very flattering and a lot of pressure will surround their coach. It is going to be a long season for them and they will be languishing down the bottom of the table.
Prediction: Miss out on the 8, possible spoon favorites.

Team: Sydney Roosters
2012 Finish: 13th (21 points W:8 D:1 L:15 Diff: -164)
Key Gains: James Maloney (Warriors), Sonny Bill Williams (Rugby Union) & Michael Jennings (Panthers)
Key Losses: Braith Anasta (Tigers), Sam Perrett (Bulldogs), Anthony Mitchell (Cowboys), Mose Masoe (Panthers) & Joseph ‘BJ’ Leilua (released)

The Roosters have featured heavily in the media during the offseason after they were able to secure the services of SBW, albeit for only one season. It seems a distant memory now, but the Roosters are also venturing into the season with a new coach. They now have Trent Robinson running the show. The young coach has an advantage in taking this position, he was assistance coach of defence when the Roosters reached the 2010 Grand Final. He will no doubt have knowledge of the squad and how they operate, so maybe the transition to his coaching style will be easier than most think. Don’t forget that they have also made other useful acquisitions of Michael Jennings and James Maloney.
Strength: A youthful squad. They went through some very hard times during the 2012 but no doubt that would’ve had a positive effect on the squad. They were losing very close games and looked lost at times around the field. A lot of players remain from the 2010 Grand Final team and they will no doubt be hungry to return to finals football.
Weakness: A youthful squad. While it is listed as a strength, it can also be a weakness for them. It just depends on how coach Robinson can influence the squad. He really needs to mentor playmaker Mitchell Pearce, who is still yet to reach the heights he was destined for, despite playing SOO footy. Hopefully, Maloney can help him and it could be the calming effect that he brings to games that Peirce is looking for.
Verdict: Expect to see the Roosters improve dramatically in 2013. They have recruited very well and now have a very smart coach running the club. Although a rookie, he will emphasise defence as a key part of their structure. They should feature in the finals and will not be making up the numbers by any means.
Prediction: Bottom half of the 8.

Team: West Tigers
2012 Finish: 10th (26 points W:11 L:13 Diff: -45)
Key Gains: Braith Anasta (Roosters), Eddy Pettybourne (Rabbitohs) & Bodene Thompson (Titans)
Key Losses: Gareth Ellis (Super League), Beau Ryan (Sharks) & Chris Heighington (Sharks)

The Tigers are coming to the end of a golden era at the club. It was apparent last year when they failed to make the semi finals and subsequently sacked coach Tim Sheens. Mick Potter is his replacement after coaching in the English Super League since 2006. He has served a very long apprenticeship and now it is his chance to make his mark at the NRL level. He certainly does have his work cut out for him. There is no doubt that the Tigers posses a talented roster but they seem to be lacking in areas, which may limit their potency within this competition. The Tigers have also lost a few quality players from their 2012 squad and don’t seem to have any suitable replacements “jumping up” to replace players like Ellis, Ryan and Heighington. Time will tell with the Tigers and the difference in their season could come down to the effect that Potter has on his new club.
Strength: The unpredictability of their play. The Tigers are often at their best when they have Marshall and Farrah calling the shots and working their side around the field without structure. Of course, these two players need to be consistent.
Weakness: The depth of their squad. Last year they were pushed to the limits with injuries and it was part of their downfall. If the same thing occurs again this year, their season may very well be over sooner than they would like.
Verdict: It is going to be another tough season for the Tigers. They lack depth in some key areas and place too much pressure on the shoulders of Farrah and Marshall. The best thing that could’ve happened was the hiring of a new coach. Maybe this will keep them in contention longer than most predict.
Prediction: Miss out on the 8, but will be a mathematical chance at in the run home.

For a more comprehensive look at the season including the complete list of player transfers, Dally M prediction and a Fantasy League guide, head to theprofits.com.au

Good luck!
Scooby

Monday, 5 November 2012

Melbourne Cup 2012 Betting Preview



The Melbourne Cup is “the race that stops a nation” and with good reason. It has grown from strength to strength and we see it getting to a point where international horses are filling out majority of the field and people are coming from all parts of the world to see this great show. In terms of quality racing though, one would argue that Derby Day is a better day of quality racing with the best horses on show. But for the greater public, this is it! No doubt there should be a public holiday all around Australia (and not just in Victoria) for this event and some would even argue the Wednesday as well, depending on how well the first Tuesday of November goes for you. So as majority of eyes will be fixed to the TV or ears to the radio, a lot of people will have invested some money on the race. No matter whether they are a seasoned punter or your average person just wanting to have a “flutter” at a horse because they like the name and/or colours. Perhaps it could even be a jockey or trainer (no doubt Bart Cummings for most) that increases a person’s interest or it could even be a lucky number. What ever it is, one thing is for sure and that is that the total pool will be astronomical. You can read a thousand different previews for the race on each different horse and have a differing opinion on each. But that is what is great about this race, opinion is divided and you can never be sure of where the winner is going to come from. So how do you go about picking a winner for this great race? Well for starters, you should take notice to what every single person has to say…because for this race, everyone becomes an instant expert because of what they have read or heard from a “big punting friend”. Truth is, there is always bound to be a few people who are right with their tips and full credit must go to them. At the end of the day though, a lot of luck is involved. Whether that is the barrier the horse draws or how the race is run, etc. there is always going to be a certain amount of it involved. There is no better advertisement for luck than the outcome of the 2011 Cup where Dunaden got home by the slimmest of margins. So am I going to tip you a winner? I could very well do so but I am hoping to give readers a guide as to how to invest on the big race. From a regular punter like myself, I tend to only invest a small amount of money on the race and enjoy the spectacle for what it is worth. So what’s listed below is simply a guide and a few extra though on how you should go about this great race.

My Overall tip: 
Ethiopia – I have backed this horse since the end of August and I think that he is tracking along very nicely. He ran very well in the Cox Plate when the race was not run to suit him and he is only very lightly raced. Who knows where he can pop up towards the end of the race? I am confident enough to say that he will be close enough to heighten my interest and I like the odds that are on offer for him. He is advantaged by the light weight that he will carry and has a barrier to suit his style. The only query for a few people is the jockey, but I take confidence in the fact that connections have chosen to keep him aboard rather than go for a high profile jockey. To me, this guy knows the horse better than most!

International Horses with a chance:
Dunaden – Last years winner has plenty of potential and is a fantastic horse. In saying that, he is a top chance to get the cash. The only querry for him is the weight that he will have to carry. It is not beyond him but he will certainly have his work cut out for him.
Americain – 2010 Melbourne Cup winner and was placed 4th last year. One thing is for sure, he will run the trip right out. The thing that this horse has going for him is that he has Damien Oliver on board to guide him home. Be wary if it raining, this bloke will shoot straight to the top of my calculations as he runs very well in the wet. 
Red Cadeaux – This horse was extremely unlucky last year and it has been a long time for jockey Michael Rodd to think about. He is at an advantage compared to the two horses mentioned above. He will get the distance and is sure to be there is the finish. I like the chances of this horse providing that Rodd is going to give it the same fantastic ride that he gave it last year.

Other chances:
Green Moon – He is a very talented horse but I don’t know whether he will be able to get the trip. The jockey Brett Pebble is a very talented hoop who is yet to win the cup and this may just be his chance down at the weights and with his engine.
 Maluckyday – Finished 2nd to Americain in 2010 and was gallant with that run. He is down in the weights and capable of a big finish. Be sure that he will get back in the running. The reason why I am warming to him is because he made some very good ground late in the Geelong Cup, on a track where it was almost impossible to do so. Either way, he is capable of anything (if he is feeling right!).
Kelinni – Always be wary of the horse that runs and wins the Lexus Stakes on Derby Day. This horse did this and granted himself a start in this great race. May be one for the multiples on the day as he has finished in the first four at 17 of 18 starts and won eight of them! Glenn Boss goes aboard and he certainly knows how to win this race.

Try for a Trifecta = I recommend that you through on a few mystery boxed trifectas and not look at them until after the conclusion of the race. They will cost you $6 per ticket and you can have a shot at winning a mountain of money as it will return you 100% of the dividend. Do the math and don’t go over the top in these investments, if is meant to be then lady luck will be shining on you!

Hopefully it has given you some insight and perhaps a better chance at winning. With all the betting that is going on, make sure that you enjoy the race for what it is!

Good luck!
Scooby

Sunday, 14 October 2012

NFL Week 6 Betting Preview

Colts came from behind to get an emotional victory, the Jets losing streak continues and Drew Brees broke an NFL record. These were just some of the fantastic things which occurred in Week 5 of the NFL. Teams are still enjoying a bye week and it is allowing them to come back with players fresh and fit. But all is not going to plan for every franchise but teams are trying to make the most of what they have. For some teams though, time is definitely running out and having a small margin of time to gather some momentum, the next loss could spell the end of their season. Included heavily in this outcome would definitely be the Packers, Cowboys, Saints and Lions. There is some cracking games this weekend that include a blockbuster game of the 49ers and the Giants. Lets have a look at a few games that we can look to win some money on.


Oakland Raiders @ Atlanta Falcons

Raiders 1-3 and Falcons 5-0...this game seems like a forgone conclusion and it probably is. The Falcons have been hot this season and there has been no one better for them than Matt Ryan at QB. But Ryan isn't the only player that is churning out the numbers with some decent performances. Receiver Roddy White is among the NFL leaders with 31 receptions for 481 yards and 3 TDs. Then there is TE Tony Gonzalez, who at age 36, leads the league with 39 catches and totals 388 yards and 4 TDs. It is the best start for them in the franchises history and they will look to increase this to 6-0 against a side that hasn't exactly set the world alight with their play. On the other side of things, there isn't many positives for the Raiders. There is a range of problems including the running game one averaging 3.4 yards. They need to improve on a season low of 237 yards on September 30th in a 37-6 loss to the Broncos. A must win game for them but the Falcons should be too strong at home. They're also a chance to cover the 9.5 line in this one.


TAB Sportsbet = Raiders $4.50 Falcons $1.18

Centrebet = Raiders $4.40 Falcons $1.22
Sportsbet = Raiders $4.50 Falcons $1.22
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Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns

This punter was definitely one person that was frustrated with the Bengals offensive performance last week where they went down to the Dolphins 17-13. But you have to like their chances to get things back on track this week against a Browns team that is looking to avoid the sides 12th straight defeat. It will be a franchise record if they don't but should have inspiration by playing at home. The Bengals were producing some very impressive numbers in their three game winning streak and they need to rediscover there momentum to make this happen again. The Browns will have a few players returning on defence but it looks a little unlikely they they will get the win. If they were to, it would be a very close game and the Bengals would have taken a giant leap backwards. There are much safer games for you to focus on this weekend.

TAB Sportsbet = Bengals $1.75 Browns $2.00
Centrebet = Bengals $1.74 Browns $2.13
Sportsbet = Bengals $1.70 Browns $2.21
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St. Louis Rams @ Miami Dolphins

The Rams are in a place that they have not been to in 6 years...holding a record above .500 and it would be the first 3 game winning streak since 2006 also. In their two recent wins, their defence has been the main contributing factor to their success. They have allowed a combined total of 16 points for their opponents and will only look to further trouble the Dolphins. They beat the undefeated Cardinals in their last start and they were able to restrict them to only 45 total rushing yards. Lucky their defence has been good though, because the production of their offence isn't exactly hot. QB Sam Bradford has been criticised for not leading their team and their attack is rated 29th overall in the league. For both sides, defence is their strength. Miami has been able to get to the QB on a number of occasions and the pressure they bring has opposition QB's on notice.Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill is tied 4th in the league for INT and the Rams secondary will look to pick him off more than once in this game. There is also added pressure on him with a "banged up" backfield lacking any potency. Again, this is a game to be wary of and perhaps one that you should stay away from. St Louis are a value bet as Miami aren't a team that will provide too much trouble for them around the field. If you want to back this game, go for the upset or take the Rams with the start.

TAB Sportsbet = Rams $2.80 Dolphins $1.40
Centrebet = Rams $2.95 Dolphins $1.42
Sportsbet = Rams $2.73 Dolphins $1.48
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Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This game features two sides who are on struggle street. While the Buccaneers are in a very tough situation, they are certainly far better of than the Chiefs. Hopes and expectations for the Chiefs were high but things have definitely not gone to plan. There was a lot made about the departure of Cassel from last Sunday's game and the backup Brady Quinn is expected to make his first start in the NFL in almost three years. But the Buccaneers aren't exactly over the line in this one. Their defence ranks 27th overall and allow an average of 419 yards but perhaps can take a positive away from the fact that they have only allowed 3 second half FG's in their last two games. Josh Freeman needs to fire and play consistently along with the rest of the Buccaneers roster. If they weren't playing at home I would lean towards the Chiefs, but am going to go with the Buc's to get the win.

TAB Sportsbet = Chiefs $2.65 Buccaneers $1.45
Centrebet = Chiefs $2.60 Buccaneers $1.52
Sportsbet = Chiefs $2.67 Buccaneers $1.50
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Dallas Cowboys @ Baltimore Ravens

Sitting at 2-2, you would hardly think that this game is a "season defining" game for the Cowboys, but somehow it is. They are in a very tough division and can ill-afford to let the Giants and Eagles to get a lead on them in the race for the NFC East. They have had a week off to think about their woeful performance against the Bears and incase you have forgotten, Romo threw 5 INT's. It is an uphill battle already for the Cowboys who have to face the Ravens in Baltimore. For the record, the Ravens have not lost a regular season game at home in two years. To make matters worse, the Ravens weren't too convincing in their win over the Chiefs and will want to prove themselves as an offensive force to be recognised. Dallas have a few injuries to contend with as well, so who do you go with? The team that will be desperate, or the proven side so far this season. Another tough game but I am going to suggest the Ravens to get another win and continue their great home record. Be careful though, the Cowboys could be very galvanised and lift their performance. 

TAB Sportsbet = Cowboys $2.50 Ravens $1.50
Centrebet = Cowboys $2.50 Ravens $1.55
Sportsbet = Cowboys $2.46 Ravens $1.58
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Buffalo Bills @ Arizona Cardinals

The Card's are banged up on their roster and need to get some momentum back after suffering the first loss of their season last week to the Rams. They are now missing their two tops rushers and need to lift after a performance where QB Klob was sacked 9 times. Before this loss, they believed that they had a team to be a serious contender, but now they have some serious offensive concerns. They are ranked 31st in rushing and need to lift. The Bills do not have things going to plan either. Last week, they became the first team in NFL history to let 300 yards in passing and rushing in the same game., in the 45-3 loss to the 49ers. Mario Williams has suggested that he and his side need to focus on the positives in their performances. The Card's will see this as a game where they can rectify their problems but as the Bills have elected to stay in the west for this game, so perhaps they will be better prepared in this game. It is a long shot, but I think that the Bills will rally behind their performance last week and surprise a depleted Cardinal's roster. Get on the upset.

TAB Sportsbet = Bills $2.90 Cardinals $1.38
Centrebet = Bills $2.65 Cardinals $1.50
Sportsbet = Bills $2.67 Cardinals $1.50
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New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers
The last time these two teams met, a Superbowl berth was on the line and it was the Giants that prevailed on the back of crucial turnovers committed by the 49ers. This time, while there is less riding on the outcome, it should be a vastly different result. The 49ers seemed to have learnt from their mistakes and they look like a force to be reckoned with. They are my early pick (and have been since the start of the season) to win the Superbowl, or make it at the least. Then again, I am also worried that they may have peaked too early in the season. But it is always better to be winning games at this stage as opposed to losing them. Perhaps the Giants have also learnt how to play the 49ers despite their win in that game. At the end of the day, it was an OT victory that was given hope by two muffed punts. 
The 49ers frustrated Manning through sacking him 6 times in that game. Expect the same pressure in this game. The Giants are always a team to be very wary of, but the 49ers should get a victory and some payback for that loss.

TAB Sportsbet = Giants $3.30 49ers $1.30
Centrebet = Giants $3.55 49ers $1.31
Sportsbet = Giants $3.35 49ers $1.35
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Green Bay Packers @ Houston Texans
Along with the Flacons, the Texans are the only other unbeaten side this season. Despite this, people are growing anxious about the Texans chances and after losing all star linebacker Brian Cushing, they appear to be a beatable side. While they are experiencing some troubles, it is a world away from where the Packers are at. They have a host of injuries and they are limited with their offensive output at the moment, despite the presence of MVP Aaron Rogers at QB. There is already a gap opening up in their division and if they are not careful, the Bears and the Vikings will get the jump on them. The Packers are looking a world away from the dominant team they were only a few seasons ago. They will have their hands full trying to hold the balanced Texans offence, and this game will be a true measure of where the Texans are actually at. Get on the Texans to follow the Falcons into the 6-0 realm. 

TAB Sportsbet = Packers $2.65 Texans $1.45
Centrebet = Packers $2.60 Texans $1.52
Sportsbet = Packers $2.61 Texans $1.52
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Other winners
Jets - Colts rallying behind their coach but the Jets looked ok in MNF. They have their problems, but are working towards a win each week. Don't bet on this game though, with everything that is going on at the Colts, you can never underestimate them. 
Eagles - The Lions travel to Philadelphia with a 1-3 record and they are desperate. They have their work cut out for them trying to hold Vick and his receivers. Then there is the running game. Lions can win this, but would be a big shock.
Patriots - Keep pressuring the Seahawks side that is finding each game a tough contest with an under performing offence. Brady will show them how its done. 
Vikings - Facing the Redskins at home and RG3 will be pressured like nothing else. Vikings look like a class side and while the Redskins are still build, they should sneak home a win.
Chargers - Facing the Broncos side that is gaining confidence with each game. Payton now fitting very nicely but the Chargers need to get past this game if they want people to take them seriously.

Good luck!
Scooby

Friday, 12 October 2012

Rugby League International Test Match Betting Preview

The final game of rugby league within Australian shores for the years will occur this Saturday up in Townsville. The eyes of the rugby league world will firmly be fixed on the clash between the Kangaroos and Kiwi's. One word on everybody's lips in the lead up to this game though has been motivation, and you cannot help but wonder where the motivation will come from for both sides. It has been said for a while that the Kiwi's struggle to "switch on" for a "one off" game against the Kangaroo's midseason. The only problem heading into this game is now that this is still a "one off" match that is being played at the end of the year. Normally there would be a Four Nations tournament but as their is a World Cup next year, international fixtures have been reduced to allow for extended playing time next year. So the real question will lie on the issue on whether or not this game will be a contest. Both sides are missing a host of players that probably would've played had it been the World Cup Tournament, but the game is what it is. Neither side will want to lose this clash as they have the opportunity to finish their playing season on a high, regardless of how they went for their club side. So "motivation" should not be a problem, that is until one side gets ahead on the scoreboard. It will be great to see two class teams that also feature a host of grand finals players. With no rugby league to watch or talk about, the rumor mill has been running high. There has been talk on everything from "Mad Monday's" to coaching futures involving Craig Bellamy and Tim Sheens. At least this game will give fans a temporary release from all the talk which has gone on. The only sad thing is that there is another long wait after this. This is also the last chance for punters to collect off a rugby league game, so let's aim to finish with a collect...or more!


Australia

There isn't too much to this squad other than there is a few injuries to key players that would otherwise be playing. Josh Morris will make his first start in a Kangaroo jersey on home soil in the centres and will team up along with his brother, Brett. One would think that Justin Hodges would be the player to fill this role but with his injury, Morris gets the chance to show his worth and continue a very impressive season of form. The forwards are completely different and again, players are missing through injury. James Tamou wil start up front with Matthew Scott and Paul Gallen moves back to the second row, while Dave Shillington goes back to the bench. There is a completely new back row as Thaiday, Dave Taylor and Luke Lewis are all out and they are replaced by Gallen, Bird and Myles at lock. After getting no minutes during the ANZAC Test, Daly Cherry-Evans is dropped and the utility role is filled by Robbie Farrah. It is a puzzling selection and one that could probably see Farrah not take the field either, as Smith can surely play the 80 minutes out. New faces on the bench include Tony Williams, Ben Te'o (18th man) and Ryan Hoffman. As state above, a very different looking forward pack.


New Zealand

The Kiwi's are an entirely different lineup from the side that went around in the ANZAC Test Match on their home soil. Again, injury is the main reason behind all of the changes. Players wearing jersey's 2-5 are all out, either through injury or poor form. The Kiwi's have made secret that they are picking their team on form and therefore a lot of players who featured in the Finals series will be rewarded with a start. Sam Perrett is named on one wing, with Gerard Beale on the other. The new centre pairing features two in form players in Krisnan Inu and Dean Whare. Whare will offer plenty and was hot for Manly, while Inu ressurected his career mid-season at the Bulldogs. You would never have picked him to feature in this game, midway through the season, but full credit must go to him. The halves remain the same and really need to gell. Jesse Bromwich is promoted from the bench and Sam Kasiano makes his first start in the NZ jersey and they are the two props. They will have their work cut out for them. Adam Blair has been dropped along with Jeremy Smith, they're replaced by Warriors captain Simon Mannering and Storm monster Kevin Proctor. Blair in on the bench and is partnered by three new faces to this side. Greg Eastwood is back into representative football after a stellar season and he is joined by Ben Matulino and Elijah Taylor. A completely different side that seems to be "blooding" a few youngsters, probably for next season.

Recent History
20th April 2012 - Kangaroos 20 d. Kiwis 12


Odds

TAB Sportsbet = Kangaroos $1.16 Kiwis $5.25
CentrebetKangaroos $1.18 Kiwis $5.10
SportsbetKangaroos $1.18 Kiwis $4.85
BetfairKangaroos $1.18 Kiwis $6.80


Verdict

It is hard to go past the Kangaroos in this game. They are the side with more experienced players and have the home ground advantage in the very hot and humid, Townsville. It will be a very high scoring game and not the usual close encounters that we have been accustomed to seeing in these battles. Back the Kangaroos to get a dominant win that will exceed the 13+ margin and go close to exceeding 19+.

Suggested Bet
Kangaroo's 13+ @ $1.68

A little bit more? = Kangaroos 19+ @ $2.40 - It is all mentioned in the verdict. If you want more value in your bet, then this is the option that you should be considering.

Try for a First Try = Greg Inglis @ $9 - He is back out to the centres and will give Dean Whare a very good workout in trying to stop him. He has been at his damaging best this season and after a decent rest once the Rabbitohs were knocked out, I like the chances of him scoring in this one. 

Good luck!
Scooby

Saturday, 6 October 2012

NFL Week 5 Betting Preview

The NFL road show rolls into Week 5 and there is plenty of things that are beginning to take shape. For starters, no one would have predicted that the New Orleans Saints would be 0-4 at this stage, regardless of the problems that they had in the offseason. There were three undefeated team but that all changed after Thursday nights game and now there are two undefeated sides  going and they are 1st and 2nd in the Power Rankings. I am talking about the Houston Texans and the Atlanta Falcons, two sides that no one thought be where they are. Seems as though this season is one full of surprises. Teams will now have the chance to regroup following the bye and get their season back on track. Others are momentarily interrupted, but also use it as a chance to rest tired and injured players. This is the stage of the season where teams begin to make a charge and make their presence felt amongst the rest of the league.  If they don't, they risk falling behind in their conference and find themselves on the end of a losing record. It will only be a few more weeks until the US sport shows start throwing up the "Playoff Picture" and teams need to ensure that they are in the spot to make a charge.

Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals will look to build on a 3-game winning streak with a win here over the Dolphins. This all comes after they were handed a very embarrassing defeat to the Ravens in Week 1 and it appears that this has been the catalyst for their recent form. They are back home in this game and have averaged 33-points a game. Although, their defence hasn't been anything to write home about, it is improving and they were able to hold the Jaguars to one of their worst offensive performances last week. The Dolphins will not be an easy team to mov past and the Bengals will find it difficult to hold down the Miami offence with a few injuries to players within their side. The Dolphins have played well and can consider themselves unlucky after narrow losses to the Jets and the undefeated Cardinals. Miami will have their work cut out for them on defence as they are ranked 30th overall when trying to stop the pass and they face a QB ranked 5th in the league, Andy Dalton. Combine him with the Bengals other second-year star, WR A.J. Green, they look like they have built an efficient side. The Bengals should get a narrow win in a high-scoring shootout.

TAB Sportsbet = Dolphins $2.50 Bengals $1.50
Centrebet = Dolphins $2.40 Bengals $1.59
Sportsbet = Dolphins $2.45 Bengals $1.58
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Green Bay Packers @ Indianapolis Colts
With all the news that has gone on off the field for the Colts in recent weeks, this game hardly seems important. In case you missed it, their coach was diagnosed with cancer and could spend the remainder of the year away from their franchise. They will be definitely playing this game and the reset of their season for him. Their play on the field has been interesting to watch, as they are a team moving away from one style of play to another. The Colts have plenty of improvement within them still, but they have a fair way to go before they are to really make anything of their season. They can be dangerous and the Packers would not want to give them any room to move. For the Packers, their season is 2-2 and they are tracking along nicely after a very sluggish start to their season. Having beaten the Saints last week in a very close encounter, the Aaron Rogers lead team is building nicely. The Colts were unlucky themselves last start against Jacksonville and the team which isn't going to let mistakes ruin their game, will win this match. It should be a close encounter but expect the Packers to get a win.

TAB Sportsbet = Packers $1.33 Colts $3.15
Centrebet = Packers $1.36 Colts $3.20
Sportsbet = Packers $1.36 Colts $3.30
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Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Ravens have enjoyed a week off to regroup and travel to one of the loudest venues, Arrowhead Stadium. It will be interesting to see how their no-huddle offense performs in this situation. They will try to pressure Chiefs QB Matt Cassel, a player who is a major reason why the Chiefs do not have a better record than 1-3. The interceptions have been a problem for the Chiefs and they will not want to give away possession easily as the Ravens could capitalise. The Ravens have a stronger defence that is capable of stopping the Chiefs running game. In their past two games, the Ravens have only allowed 2.4 yards per carry. They also have a far superior offence and with Flacco directing traffic, they should be too strong for the Chiefs. Be cautious though, the Chiefs will be hard to knock off at their home ground and if they don't turn over the ball, they could give the Ravens a scare.

TAB Sportsbet = Ravens $1.35 Chiefs $3.05
Centrebet = Ravens $1.38 Chiefs $3.10
Sportsbet = Ravens $1.39 Chiefs $3.12
_______

Philadelphia Eagles @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Despite being 3-1, there are plenty of people that are lining up to knock the Eagles form this season. There is no doubt that they have won ugly, but the Steelers would take their record even if is meant that they were ugly. The Steelers are coming off a bye week and will be thankful that a few of their players are returning to their lineup, two of them being previous Defensive Players of the Year. Despite being 1-2, the Steelers are quiet calm about their chances this season and are confident that they can stop blowing 4th-quarter leads. You have seen it before, everything can unravel quickly for the Eagles if they are not focused on their job. Turnovers were a big problem for the Eagles in the first three weeks but they were able to turn that around and not commit any in the win over the Giants. Amazingly they are ranked 5th in the league for average yards (417.8) but are 30th for points scored (16.5). This will be a very close game but I like the Steelers to get a win at home over the Eagles.

TAB Sportsbet = Eagles $2.40 Steelers $1.53
Centrebet = Eagles $2.38 Steelers $1.60
Sportsbet = Eagles $2.44 Steelers $1.59
_______

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Redskins
After Friday, there are only two undefeated teams in the league after the Cardinals dropped one to the Rams. They already have built a sizable lead in the NFC South and they will look to get to 5-0 while the Redskins try to end a 7-game losing streak at home. Leading them around is the highest rated QB in the league, Matt Ryan. He has transformed the Falcons passing game and even drove them 77-yards down the field to get a last second field goal win over the Carolina Panthers. On the other side of things is RG3 and his Redskins. Being back at home will help their this franchise that is slowly, but surely, working to change the level of play. Their offence will definitely be on guard and look to cause the Falcons plenty of problems with their running game. But it is the Redskins defensive unit that will have to lift to another level and try and stop the Falcons who are producing an average of 31 points per game. Whilst there has been a lot written about the Falcons offence, it is their defence that needs some credit sent their way. They are tough and bring some heat when it is needed...this week its needed more than ever. I can smell a Redskins upset, but cannot buy into it unless the Redskins defence lifts their performances. Be careful when betting on this game.

TAB Sportsbet = Falcons $1.58 Redskins $2.30
Centrebet = Falcons $1.68 Redskins $2.22
Sportsbet = Falcons $1.65 Redskins $2.30
_______

Seattle Seahawks @ Carolina Panthers
The Panthers were obviously very unlucky in their loss to the Falcons but QB Cam Newton has stepped up and excepted blame for what occurred. It was his fumble that cause the Panthers to miss a "game clinching" first down and they were forced to punt to the ball away. They will want to repay their home fans for that loss and are a side that is capable of scoring a lot of points. The one big problem for the Panthers though is that they struggle to hold opposing sides and average around 27 points allowed. Then again, the Seahawks won't exactly trouble the Panthers in this area. There are a few problems for them at the present time and majority revolves around the QB. They have the fewest yards in the league in their passing game and are ranked last in the league for red zone TD efficiency. unless they can rectify this problem, they are going to find it very tough against the Panthers. The Seahawks to possess a very good defensive unit but the Panther should bounce back from their disappointing loss last week.

TAB Sportsbet = Seahawks $2.20 Panthers $1.63
Centrebet = Seahawks $2.20 Panthers $1.70
Sportsbet = Seahawks $2.29 Panthers $1.69
_______

Chicago Bears @ Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jags are currently at 1-3 but you cannot help but think that they are lucky to even have won one game. They will certainly be tested here as the Bears will not be an easy side to beat. The key for them will be trying to pressure Cutler and break down the Bears offence. It is said that the Jaguars are have one of the worst defensive units in the NFL but then again, the Bears can be inconsistent as well. Whilst they are streaky, the Bears defence are one of the best in the league and strangle their opposition down to the point where they make simple mistakes. This is highlighted by the fact that so far this year, they have a league-high 11 interceptions, third with 15 sacks and ranks fifth in the NFL in scoring defence at 17.0 points per game. It would be extremely hard to see the Jaguars winning this game, the Bears are going to get a victory here.

TAB Sportsbet = Bears $1.38 Jaguars $2.90
Centrebet = Bears $1.42 Jaguars $2.90
Sportsbet = Bears $1.41 Jaguars $3.03
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Tennessee Titans @ Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings are surprisingly sitting a top of the NFC North, tied with the Bears, thanks to star RB Adrian Peterson. He is back to full fitness and is as damaging as ever. In Sundays win over the Lions, he carried the ball 21 times and gained 102 yards. This game is even more significant because if the Vikings get a win against a weakened Titans team, they will surpass their record from last season. Although, there is still a lot of work for the Vikings to do. They didn't score an offensive touchdown in their 20-13 win over the Lions, but they did return a Punt and a Kick off for a TD. Perhaps things may get rolling for them against a side that allows 37.1 points per game. The Titans have problems on both sides of the ball and QB Matt Hasselbeck has to step up from the bench as they have lost Jake Locker with a separated shoulder. The one shining light for the Titans would be the development of their RB, Chris Johnson. He put in a good running performance last week and it is hopefully a sign of things to come for this talented player. All the problems for the Titans will not go away easily. Three times this season they have scored 14 points or less and can ill afford to hand over possession. Vikings will look to build consistency within their offence and while a lot lies with Peterson, QB Christian Ponder is also a key player. So far this season, he has 4 TD's and 0 INT's. Another consistent performance from him at home should lead the Vikings to victory. 

TAB Sportsbet = Titans $2.90 Vikings $1.40
Centrebet = Titans $2.90 Vikings $1.42
Sportsbet = Titans $2.92 Vikings $1.43
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Other tips:
Giants - Browns will struggle when they are pressured by this defensive unit.
Jets - Going the upset, a week after they were shutout by the 49ers.
Saints - Finally get a win and go 1-4 but will do it tough against the Chargers.
Patriots - Last possible meeting of Brady & P.Manning? Good game to follow but Pats have class and Denver are still builting

Good luck!
Scooby